Duplex
1425 Edwards Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$630,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Two-family home featuring a fully finished basement. The property offers a total of 4 bedrooms and 2 bathroom, along with a comfortable living room and kitchen.
Key facts
- 1,425 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 33 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Duplex property; Townhouse structure
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (multi-unit property)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $630k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $583/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $630k).
- Recommended offer: $611k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,740/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 4430% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $176k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($611k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.93%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,091,475
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1335 Herschell St | 0.40mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,744 (-3%) | 8mo | $999,999 | $364 | 65 |
| 1711 Mahan Ave | 0.69mi | 6/3.0 | 2,912 (+3%) | 2mo | $1,350,000 | $464 | 58 |
| 2875 Harrington Ave | 0.23mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 3,078 (+9%) | 16mo | $750,000 | $244 | 57 |
| 1307 Vreeland Ave | 0.21mi | 7/5.0 (+1) | 2,772 (-2%) | 15mo | $800,000 | $289 | 57 |
| 1317 Hobart Ave | 0.47mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,961 (+4%) | 12mo | $895,000 | $302 | 52 |
| 3070 Lasalle Ave | 0.56mi | 6/4.0 | 2,970 (+5%) | 9mo | $1,125,000 | $379 | 50 |
| 2901 Paine St | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 3,150 (+11%) | 11mo | $940,000 | $298 | 50 |
| 1624 Seddon St | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 | 2,410 (-15%) | 1mo | $1,215,000 | $504 | 46 |
| 1163 Havemeyer Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 3,032 (+7%) | 5mo | $1,202,000 | $396 | 45 |
| 2443 Maclay Ave | 0.68mi | 6/3.0 | 2,520 (-11%) | 4mo | $970,000 | $385 | 42 |
| 1740 Mahan Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,730 (-4%) | 15mo | $1,080,000 | $396 | 42 |
| 2711 Bruckner Blvd | 0.61mi | 7/— (+1) | 2,496 (-12%) | 10mo | $1,100,000 | $441 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $7,645
- Equity at exit
- $93,935
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $263,879
- Equity at exit
- $54,471
Cash invested: $176,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10461
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 15.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,740 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,304
- Tax from tax record
- −$593 /mo · $7,119/yr
- Insurance
- −$262
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,415
- Net cashflow
- $1,165
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $6,740 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,370 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,370 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,740 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $157,500
- Closing costs
- $18,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-09$630,000 Active
-
2007-08-07soldstatus $585,000
-
2005-07-28soldstatus $395,000
-
2003-03-05soldstatus $280,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,119 · $593/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,883 · $740/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,764/yr (+$147/mo · 24.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $80,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,290
- − Property taxes
- −$7,119
- − Insurance
- −$3,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,470
- − Management
- −$6,470
- − Depreciation
- −$18,327
- Taxable income
- $4,053
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$973
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,012
- Household income
- $67,028
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4430.0
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 47% White 30% Asian 13% Two or more races 10% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 20% Cuban 1% Dominican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 30% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 34% Other Indo-European 13% Tagalog/Filipino 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.06%
- Current HPI
- 266.5457
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+125.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $630,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $585,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $7,119 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…