2723 S Queen St Lot 75 · Spry, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$24,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom 1976 singlewide has seen several renovations over the past 3 years and is move-in ready. The most recent upgrades include a new roof in 2024, new hot water heater in 2025. It is located in the M & G Mobile Home Park. The home features an enclosed porch, off-street parking, and includes the refrigerator, stove (propane), washer, and dryer. Forced hot air oil heat. Lot rent is $602/month, covering water, sewer, and trash. All buyers must be park-approved by PMI and adhere to all park rules and pet policies. Cash only due to age of home. No financing available.
Key facts
- New hot water heater
- Includes stove
- Enclosed porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#173 in PA, #1,445 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Dallastown Area SD (suburban): math 47% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #102 of 539 in PA (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Dallastown Area Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 2,014 students, 33% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 223 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $169 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $735 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 51% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 31.38%
- DSCR
- 2.40
- GRM
- 1.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $5,350
- Equity at exit
- $3,653
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.33×
- Total profit
- $22,842
- Equity at exit
- $2,118
Cash invested: $6,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17403
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 1.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,174 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$128
- Tax from tax record
- −$8 /mo · $91/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$602
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $127 | -5% $120 | +0% $113 | +5% $106 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $20 | -5% $67 | +0% $113 | +5% $159 | +10% $206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $125 | -0.5pp $119 | base $113 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,125
- Closing costs
- $735
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232 Oak Manor Dr York, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,080 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $602 · $7,224/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-16status Pending
-
2026-03-09$24,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $91 · $8/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $239 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 162.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,091
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,372
- − Property taxes
- −$91
- − Insurance
- −$920
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − HOA
- −$7,224
- − Depreciation
- −$713
- Taxable income
- $1,516
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $991/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallastown Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4207230
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,805
- Composite
- 48.0/100
- National rank
- #2199
- State rank
- #102 of 539 in PA
Livability — Spry
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #1445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spry, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 184,764
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,287
- Household income
- $75,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.51%
- Current HPI
- 284.0731
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $24,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $91 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…