🏷️ Likely Rental
413 North St · Minersville, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Coming soon! 3 bedroom 1 bath single family home. Currently rented at $850 a month, Tenant pays water, sewer, trash, electric and heat. A great property with plenty of upside to add to your portfolio! Showings to begin on March 20th!
Key facts
- Built 1920
- Listed 16 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total actual rent reported: $12,000
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,380 (estimated)
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Permanent foundation; Other above- and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 15 x 75 (assessor)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement present (permanent foundation)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.0% in Minersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#742 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
- Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $67k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.33%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,260
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 S 3rd St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (-2%) | 1mo | $32,500 | $24 | 87 |
| 466 N North St | 0.08mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+1%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $64 | 86 |
| 325 New Castle St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-4%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $52 | 86 |
| 311 Pine St | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,404 (+2%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $121 | 85 |
| 428 North St | 0.03mi | 3/1.5 | 1,307 (-5%) | 6mo | $46,500 | $36 | 83 |
| 235 S 4th St | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,420 (+3%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $99 | 76 |
| 457 Church St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (+9%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $48 | 72 |
| 137 Carbon St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,482 (+7%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $57 | 71 |
| 711 N 2nd St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (+6%) | 5mo | $113,800 | $77 | 71 |
| 418 N North St | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,572 (+14%) | 7mo | $135,000 | $86 | 68 |
| 709 N 2nd St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,473 (+7%) | 0mo | $147,000 | $100 | 67 |
| 528 Lytle St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-15%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $102 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $35,124
- Equity at exit
- $43,597
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.08×
- Total profit
- $91,329
- Equity at exit
- $73,887
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17954
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Laurel St Minersville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 227-char remark
-
2026-06-03$79,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,373 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,373
- − Insurance
- −$1,066
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,104
- − Management
- −$1,104
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,353
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$565
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minersville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215510
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,865
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6433
- State rank
- #420 of 539 in PA
Livability — Minersville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #742
- US rank
- #7439
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minersville, PA
- City population
- 27,121
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,564
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 5% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Current HPI
- 209.7647
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+195.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-22 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-05-07 Sold (MLS) $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-28 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-03-20 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-02-28 Coming Soon $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-25 Sold (MLS) $18,750 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-26 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-08 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $18,275 Public Records
- 2006-04-20 Sold (MLS) $18,275 BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2005-04-22 Listed $18,275 BRIGHT MLS
- 1996-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,373 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…