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413 North St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A- Composite 83.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,900

413 North St · Minersville, PA 17954
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · Townhouse public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1920 1,307 sqft lot Est $106k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Coming soon! 3 bedroom 1 bath single family home. Currently rented at $850 a month, Tenant pays water, sewer, trash, electric and heat. A great property with plenty of upside to add to your portfolio! Showings to begin on March 20th!

Key facts

  • Built 1920
  • Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total actual rent reported: $12,000

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,380 (estimated)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Permanent foundation; Other above- and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot dimensions approximately 15 x 75 (assessor)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement present (permanent foundation)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $79,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$106,260) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 8.0% in Minersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#742 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment F.
  • Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,701 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.43%
Cash-on-cash
18.33%
DSCR
1.82
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,260
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 S 3rd St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-2%) 1mo $32,500 $24 87
466 N North St 0.08mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+1%) 1mo $90,000 $64 86
325 New Castle St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,320 (-4%) 2mo $68,000 $52 86
311 Pine St 0.10mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (+2%) 1mo $170,000 $121 85
428 North St 0.03mi 3/1.5 1,307 (-5%) 6mo $46,500 $36 83
235 S 4th St 0.19mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,420 (+3%) 6mo $139,900 $99 76
457 Church St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,500 (+9%) 2mo $72,000 $48 72
137 Carbon St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,482 (+7%) 8mo $85,000 $57 71
711 N 2nd St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,470 (+6%) 5mo $113,800 $77 71
418 N North St 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,572 (+14%) 7mo $135,000 $86 68
709 N 2nd St 0.30mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,473 (+7%) 0mo $147,000 $100 67
528 Lytle St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,176 (-15%) 4mo $120,000 $102 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.57×
Total profit
$35,124
Equity at exit
$43,597
10-year hold
IRR
24.9%
Equity multiple
5.08×
Total profit
$91,329
Equity at exit
$73,887

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17954

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,150 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,373/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $788
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
504 Laurel St Minersville, PA 3.0 2.0 1059 $1,150 $1.09 44d 1 0.44mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 227-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,373 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,800
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,373
− Insurance
−$1,066
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,104
− Management
−$1,104
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$2,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$565
After-tax cash flow
$2,870/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minersville Area SD
NCES district ID
4215510
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$40,865
Composite
29.77/100
National rank
#6433
State rank
#420 of 539 in PA

Livability — Minersville

Score
70/100
State rank
#742
US rank
#7439

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minersville, PA
City population
27,121
Population (ZIP)
4,564

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 11%
Common ancestry
Polish 5% Romanian 5% Subsaharan African 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.65%
Current HPI
209.7647
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-04 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-22 Listed $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-05-07 Sold (MLS) $67,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-28 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-03-20 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-02-28 Coming Soon $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 2019-06-25 Sold (MLS) $18,750 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-04-26 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-04-08 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $18,275 Public Records
  • 2006-04-20 Sold (MLS) $18,275 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2005-04-22 Listed $18,275 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1996-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,373 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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