1500 Quartz St · Penitas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 94.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +8.2/10.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ATTENTION INVESTORS!!! Lovely curb appeal on this 2 story 2665' square foot Fixer Upper home on Half an Acre! Needs some TLC, but can be a Beauty! White Exterior Brick, Front Entry Door with Side Lights, Large Foyer, Marble floors, granite counters, custom ornate kitchen cabinets, Plantation Shutters! Unfinished masonry Guest House with 2 Bedrooms and 1 Bath as well. Easy Access to Expressway. Come See!
Key facts
- Front entry door
- Marble floors
- Large foyer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Escrow amount listed
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (2 covered spaces, garage faces side); Total of 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Not new construction
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building area approximately 2,420
- Exterior features: Balcony; Covered patio; Detached quarters; Storage; Chain link partial fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater; No conveying appliances
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet(s)
- Flooring: Marble; Tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Thermostat
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Granite countertops; Ceiling fan(s); Decorative / high ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane windows; Partial window coverings; Maid quarters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer/dryer connections
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-609 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (38.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (34.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#820 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Corina Pena El (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 546 students, 98% FRL); Dr Javier Saenz Middle (math 10% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,583 of 1,662 statewide, top 96%, 655 students, 99% FRL); La Joya H S (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,775 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 54% district-wide (43 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.05%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 12.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $267,379
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -25.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1802 Marble St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,363 (-2%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $118 | 69 |
| 1805 Platinum St | 0.34mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,370 (-2%) | 5mo | $340,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 1411 White Rock Ave | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 | 2,300 (-5%) | 2mo | $159,900 | $70 | 63 |
| 1703 Uranium Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 | 2,270 (-6%) | 18mo | $365,000 | $161 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $23,235
- Equity at exit
- $130,049
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $98,063
- Equity at exit
- $239,718
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78576
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$511 /mo · $6,137/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-609
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-496 | -5% $-552 | +0% $-609 | +5% $-665 | +10% $-722 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-712 | -5% $-661 | +0% $-609 | +5% $-557 | +10% $-506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-508 | -0.5pp $-558 | base $-609 | +0.5pp $-661 | +1.0pp $-713 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-13status $199,900 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Option 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Option 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Option 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $199,900 Option 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-04$199,900 Active 412-char remark
-
2020-12-28soldstatus
-
2004-12-03soldstatus
-
1997-01-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,137 · $511/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,137 · $511/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$6,137
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$10,955
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,629
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,678/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Joya ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826130
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -35.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,845
- Composite
- 18.65/100
- National rank
- #8891
- State rank
- #759 of 826 in TX
Livability — Penitas
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #820
- US rank
- #14866
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Penitas, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,902
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 99% Two or more races 71%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 97%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 4% English-only · Spanish 96%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Current HPI
- 238.1571
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-06-05 Contingent — MCALLENMLS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $199,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2020-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-12-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-01-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $6,137 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…