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1233 11th St
B- Composite 68.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$78,800

1233 11th St · Tell City, IN 47586
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 292 Days on market
Built 1942 5,663 sqft lot Est $132k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Nice 3 bedroom, 2 Bath home. Full unfinished basement, electric fireplace, hardwood floors, replacement windows, recently painted exterior, large deck & fenced in backyard. Close to city park.

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Hardwood floors
  • Fenced rear yard

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFENCED REAR YARDFULL BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Full unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($873 rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#60 in IN, #4,053 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tell City-Troy Twp School Corporation (rural): math 37% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #108 of 301 in IN (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: William Tell Elementary School (math 34% / reading 43%, grade F, #535 of 994 statewide, top 54%, 757 students, 52% FRL); Tell City Jr-Sr High School (math 39% / reading 61%, grade D+, #120 of 369 statewide, top 33%, 643 students, 47% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 31 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $545 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Perry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 292 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,344 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 292 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.76%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,610
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1002 14th St 0.36mi 2/1.0 1,218 (-1%) 4mo $122,000 $100 78
1401 10th St 0.17mi 2/1.0 1,350 (+10%) 18mo $145,000 $107 61
1320 Main St 0.20mi 2/1.0 1,068 (-13%) 21mo $122,000 $114 51
539 13th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,203 (-2%) 9mo $118,000 $98 50
1014 12th St 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,048 (-15%) 22mo $61,000 $58 45
916 19th St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,184 (-4%) 11mo $157,000 $133 45
1827 Fulton St 0.70mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,317 (+7%) 11mo $168,900 $128 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-186
Equity at exit
$11,749
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$15,988
Equity at exit
$6,813

Cash invested: $22,064 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47586

Home prices YoY
-22.5%
Active inventory
31
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$873 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$413
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $548/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$183
Net cashflow
$198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $622
Max offer price $78,800
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $242 -5% $220 +0% $198 +5% $176 +10% $153
Rent -10% $129 -5% $163 +0% $198 +5% $232 +10% $267
Rate -1.0pp $238 -0.5pp $218 base $198 +0.5pp $177 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,700
Closing costs
$2,364
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
602 12th St Unit A Tell City, IN 1.0 1.0 900 $975 $1.08 23d 1 0.67mi
1002 20th St Tell City, IN 2.0 1.0 805 $750 $0.93 45d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $78,800 Active 292 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $78,800 Active 291 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $78,800 Active 290 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,800 Active 288 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,800 Active 287 DOM
  6. 2026-06-17
    price $78,800 Active 286 DOM
  7. 2026-06-16
    days on market $82,900 Active 286 DOM
  8. 2026-06-15
    days on market $82,900 Active 285 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $82,900 Active 283 DOM
  10. 2026-06-12
    days on market $82,900 Active 282 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $82,900 Active 279 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $82,900 Active 278 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $82,900 Active 277 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $82,900 Active 273 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $82,900 Active 272 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $82,900 Active 271 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 270 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $82,900 Active 269 DOM
  19. 2026-05-12
    price $82,900
  20. 2026-04-10
    price $89,900
  21. 2026-03-10
    price $99,900
  22. 2026-02-09
    price $106,000
  23. 2026-01-06
    price $111,500
  24. 2025-12-04
    price $117,000
  25. 2025-11-05
    price $122,000
  26. 2025-10-04
    price $127,000
  27. 2025-09-03
    listed $129,900 Active
  28. 2018-07-09
    soldstatus $80,200 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom, 2 Bath home. Full unfinished basement, electric fireplace, hardwood floors, replacement windows, recently painted exterior, large deck & fenced in backyard. Close to city park.

  29. 2018-01-18
    listed $79,900 198-char remark
    Show marketing remark (198 chars)

    Nice 3 bedroom, 2 Bath home. Full unfinished basement, electric fireplace, hardwood floors, replacement windows, recently painted exterior, large deck & fenced in backyard. Close to city park.

  30. 2017-07-14
    listed $79,900
  31. 2008-10-02
    soldstatus $69,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$548 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$609 · $51/mo
Expected delta
+$61/yr (+$5/mo · 11.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,475
− Mortgage interest
−$4,414
− Property taxes
−$548
− Insurance
−$394
− Repairs & maintenance
−$838
− Management
−$838
− Depreciation
−$2,292
Taxable income
$1,151
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$276
After-tax cash flow
$2,098/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tell City-Troy Twp School Corporation
NCES district ID
1811260
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,706
Composite
37.35/100
National rank
#4435
State rank
#108 of 301 in IN

Livability — Tell City

Score
75/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#4053

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tell City, IN
Population (ZIP)
10,994

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,125 people
By 2030
18,912 · -1.1%
By 2040
18,239 · -4.6%
By 2050
17,402 · -9.0%
By 2075
15,420 · -19.4%
By 2100
11,987 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% English 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.8) · D 34.3% · R 64.0% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-52.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.8pp · 2024: -29.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.8 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: D+11.6 2008: D+22.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.86%
Current HPI
196.1925
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $82,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $89,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $99,900 IRMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $106,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $111,500 IRMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $117,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Price Changed $122,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Price Changed $127,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-09-03 Listed $129,900 IRMLS
  • 2018-07-09 Sold (MLS) $80,200 IRMLS
  • 2018-01-18 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
  • 2017-07-14 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
  • 2008-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-12.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $548 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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