9240 Brookhurst Dr · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.8/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Make income from the first day. Great investment opportunity. Section 8 renter with potential for rent increase in future. Home features 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Kitchen and large living room all on one level. Laundry in the basement. Carport. Roof age 6 years. Water heater 5 year old. No viewing till inspection. Occupied by long term renter has lived there over 6-7 years. Leased out till Aug 2026.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $771 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $112k implies a 213% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.46%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,417
- List price
- $111,500
- Delta
- -15.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 744 Rose Dr NE | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-4%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $134 | 72 |
| 437 Dalton Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,002 (-5%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 201 Carol Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,096 (+4%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $141 | 53 |
| 520 Valley Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+5%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $159 | 50 |
| 629 Barclay Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,181 (+12%) | 3mo | $127,400 | $108 | 50 |
| 552 Valley Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+4%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $160 | 49 |
| 957 Hillcrest Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+5%) | 9mo | $167,500 | $152 | 46 |
| 827 Hillcrest Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,151 (+10%) | 9mo | $157,500 | $137 | 45 |
| 701 Carolyn Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+14%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $125 | 41 |
| 604 Annie Laura Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,142 (+9%) | 12mo | $88,000 | $77 | 40 |
| 669 Ridge Top Cir | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,202 (+14%) | 3mo | $153,500 | $128 | 40 |
| 756 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,172 (+12%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $111 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-2,862
- Equity at exit
- $16,625
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $25,663
- Equity at exit
- $9,640
Cash invested: $31,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35235
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$585
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $257 | -5% $226 | +0% $194 | +5% $163 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $103 | -5% $148 | +0% $194 | +5% $240 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $250 | -0.5pp $223 | base $194 | +0.5pp $165 | +1.0pp $136 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,875
- Closing costs
- $3,345
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9228 Brookhurst Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $999 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 726 Orchard Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,095 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 603 Camp Ct Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 600 Sundale Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 216 Sanford Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 529 Robison Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $960 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 736 Gene Reed Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,220 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 201 Rose Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 628 Annie Laura Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,195 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 818 Sunset Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,225 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1108 Sherwood Forest Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1118 | $1,370 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,100 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 630 Lisa Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1201 | $1,095 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $1,125 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8917 Roebuck Blvd Apt 11 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $725 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9844 Greenlee Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $950 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 221 Lawson Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $1,325 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 204 McCormick Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $980 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 426 Buckingham Cir Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,013 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 252 Westwood Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 209 Tucker Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 837 Wear Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,195 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 252 Meadowdale Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $995 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 316 Pine St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1028 Broadmoor Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,085 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 208 Sam Pate Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,385 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 425 87th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,077 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $111,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $111,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $111,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $111,500 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $111,500 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $111,500 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $111,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $111,500 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $111,500 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $111,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $111,500 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,500 Active 159 DOM
-
2025-12-23$111,500 Active 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Make income from the first day. Great investment opportunity. Section 8 renter with potential for rent increase in future. Home features 3 bedroom, 1 bath, Kitchen and large living room all on one level. Laundry in the basement. Carport. Roof age 6 years. Water heater 5 year old. No viewing till inspection. Occupied by long term renter has lived there over 6-7 years. Leased out till Aug 2026.
-
2008-07-11soldstatus $35,600
-
2006-10-05soldstatus $86,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,246
- − Property taxes
- −$1,070
- − Insurance
- −$558
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,111
- − Management
- −$1,111
- − Depreciation
- −$3,244
- Taxable income
- $552
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$133
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,198/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,526
- Household income
- $63,295
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 941.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.62%
- Current HPI
- 204.6532
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.39%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+28.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-23 Listed $111,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2008-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,600 Public Records
- 2006-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $86,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,070 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…