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4010 Karnack Hwy
B- Composite 68.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

4010 Karnack Hwy · Marshall, TX 75672
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,732 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1950 1.92 ac lot $46/sqft · 53% below area ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.

Key facts

  • 1.92 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Marshall J H (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 1,105 students, 76% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
14.68%
Cash-on-cash
29.95%
DSCR
2.33
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,300
List price
$79,000
Delta
-52.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.01×
Total profit
$22,430
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
32.4%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$65,082
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75672

Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$171 /mo · $2,052/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$552

Break-even live

Break-even rent $783
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $597 -5% $574 +0% $552 +5% $530 +10% $507
Rent -10% $435 -5% $494 +0% $552 +5% $611 +10% $669
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $572 base $552 +0.5pp $532 +1.0pp $511

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $79,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $79,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    price $79,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    status Active 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.

  18. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.

  19. 2026-04-28
    price $90,950 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.

  20. 2026-04-08
    listed $94,950 Active 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.

  21. 2016-06-08
    soldstatus
  22. 2016-04-28
    soldstatus
  23. 2007-12-17
    soldstatus
  24. 2004-06-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,052 · $171/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,052 · $171/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,777
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$2,052
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,422
− Management
−$1,422
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$5,762
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,383
After-tax cash flow
$5,242/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall ISD
NCES district ID
4829160
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$40,095
Composite
24.43/100
National rank
#7680
State rank
#658 of 826 in TX

Livability — Marshall

Score
68/100
State rank
#451
US rank
#9156

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marshall, TX
City population
18,670
Population (ZIP)
16,636

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,691 people
By 2030
69,317 · +0.9%
By 2040
69,973 · +1.9%
By 2050
70,090 · +2.0%
By 2075
70,607 · +2.8%
By 2100
67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -161.59%
Current HPI
140.8166
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-01 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $90,950 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $94,950 NTREIS
  • 2016-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-04-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-12-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,052 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…