4010 Karnack Hwy · Marshall, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.
Key facts
- 1.92 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $552 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall J H (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 1,105 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.95%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,300
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -52.78%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $22,430
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.94×
- Total profit
- $65,082
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75672
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,052/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $552
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $597 | -5% $574 | +0% $552 | +5% $530 | +10% $507 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $435 | -5% $494 | +0% $552 | +5% $611 | +10% $669 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $592 | -0.5pp $572 | base $552 | +0.5pp $532 | +1.0pp $511 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-19days on market $79,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $79,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $79,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-03price $79,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-04status Active 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.
-
2026-05-01status Pending 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.
-
2026-04-28price $90,950 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.
-
2026-04-08$94,950 Active 527-char remark
Show marketing remark (527 chars)
Fresh on the market! 3 bedroom home in Marshall is located within the city limits, yet sits on nearly 2 acres, giving you that peaceful country feel with the convenience of town just 2 minutes away. Enjoy 1.92 acres of usable land—perfect for gardening, cattle, chickens, or horses. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, additional space for a game room and 1,732 square feet of comfortable living space, offering plenty of room for your family. Bring your tool belt and make this great property shine again.
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2016-06-08soldstatus
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2016-04-28soldstatus
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2007-12-17soldstatus
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2004-06-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,052 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,052 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,052
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,422
- − Management
- −$1,422
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $5,762
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,383
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829160
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,095
- Composite
- 24.43/100
- National rank
- #7680
- State rank
- #658 of 826 in TX
Livability — Marshall
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #9156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marshall, TX
- City population
- 18,670
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,636
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,691 people
- By 2030
- 69,317 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 69,973 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 70,090 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 70,607 · +2.8%
- By 2100
- 67,546 · -1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.59%
- Current HPI
- 140.8166
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-01 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $90,950 NTREIS
- 2026-04-08 Listed $94,950 NTREIS
- 2016-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-04-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-12-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,052 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…