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407 S Minnesota Rd 5-Plex
D Composite 41.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$535,000

407 S Minnesota Rd · Palmview, TX 78572
None bd · None ba · 4,940 sqft · MultiFamily · 493 Days on market
Built 2004 Fair condition 0.50 ac lot $108/sqft · 29% above area Est $413k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Investment Opportunity: 5-Plex at 407 S Minnesota, Palmview, Mission This fully occupied 5-plex offers steady cash flow with 2-bed, 2-bath units. A solid, income-generating asset for investors seeking growth. All units are leased, ensuring immediate returns. The well-maintained property offers a tranquil environment with low tenant turnover, maximizing investment stability. Situated in a desirable area with easy access to local amenities, this 5-plex is an ideal addition to any real estate portfolio. Don’t miss out on this income-producing property.

Key facts

  • Steady cash flow
  • Low tenant turnover
  • Desirable area

Tags

STEADY CASH FLOWINCOME GENERATING ASSETLOW TENANT TURNOVERDESIRABLE AREAEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIESINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 2-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $535k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $637 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $127/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $535k).
  • Recommended offer: $471k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in Palmview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,267 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • La Joya ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #759 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Leo J Leo El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 372 students, 92% FRL); Cesar Chavez Middle (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 666 students, 90% FRL); La Joya Palmview H S (math 20% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,157 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,155 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 54% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 852 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,486/mo this rent would consume 121% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 493 days — a 12% lower offer ($471k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 94% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $470,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 493 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.10%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$413,294
List price
$535,000
Delta
29.45%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-57,255
Equity at exit
$79,770
10-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-41,376
Equity at exit
$46,257

Cash invested: $149,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78572

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
852
Price-to-rent
40.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,486 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,806
Tax est. 1.5%
$669 /mo · $8,025/yr
Insurance
$223
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,152
Net cashflow
$637

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,680
Max offer price $535,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,006 -5% $822 +0% $637 +5% $452 +10% $267
Rent -10% $203 -5% $420 +0% $637 +5% $853 +10% $1,070
Rate -1.0pp $906 -0.5pp $773 base $637 +0.5pp $498 +1.0pp $357

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $5,486

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$133,750
Closing costs
$16,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $535,000 Active 493 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $535,000 Active 490 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $535,000 Active 489 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $535,000 Active 488 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $535,000 Active 487 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $535,000 Active 485 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $535,000 Active 484 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $535,000 Active 482 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $535,000 Active 481 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $535,000 Active 480 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $535,000 Active 479 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $535,000 Active 476 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $535,000 Active 475 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $535,000 Active 474 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $535,000 Active 473 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $535,000 Active 472 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $535,000 Active 471 DOM
  18. 2025-02-13
    listed $535,000 Active 562-char remark
    Show marketing remark (562 chars)

    Investment Opportunity: 5-Plex at 407 S Minnesota, Palmview, Mission This fully occupied 5-plex offers steady cash flow with 2-bed, 2-bath units. A solid, income-generating asset for investors seeking growth. All units are leased, ensuring immediate returns. The well-maintained property offers a tranquil environment with low tenant turnover, maximizing investment stability. Situated in a desirable area with easy access to local amenities, this 5-plex is an ideal addition to any real estate portfolio. Don’t miss out on this income-producing property.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 94% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$65,832
− Mortgage interest
−$29,968
− Property taxes
−$8,025
− Insurance
−$2,675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,267
− Management
−$5,267
− Depreciation
−$15,564
Taxable loss
−$933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$224
After-tax cash flow
$7,864/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 5-plex requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, and paint the interior walls. These updates will significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and worn
  • Minor exterior siding — some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $6,500–33,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
  • Both replace bathroom fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Joya ISD
NCES district ID
4826130
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -35.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$27,845
Composite
18.65/100
National rank
#8891
State rank
#759 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palmview

Score
57/100
State rank
#1267
US rank
#22043

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palmview, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
78,024
Household income
$54,298
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 47% White 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 80%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Portuguese 0%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
22% English-only · Spanish 76%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -62.35%
Current HPI
209.3573
Rent YoY
▲ 0.93%
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-02-13 Listed $535,000 MCALLENMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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