191 Rainbow Dr · Opelousas, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +1.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home with tons of potential. This property features a spacious kitchen, plenty of cabinet storage and a flexible living area. Outside, you will love the large yard and covered carport. A great opportunity to make it your own.
Key facts
- Flexible living area
- Covered carport
- Spacious kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (11.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Opelousas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#187 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- St. Landry Parish (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #54 of 98 in LA (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Park Vista Elementary School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #434 of 646 statewide, top 68%, 575 students, 77% FRL); Opelousas Junior High School (math 4% / reading 12%, grade F, #205 of 218 statewide, top 94%, 456 students, 84% FRL); Opelousas Senior High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #224 of 265 statewide, top 86%, 840 students, 77% FRL).
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in St. Landry Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Landry County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.29%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,000
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 14.41%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191 Rainbow Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (0%) | 0mo | $118,000 | $79 | 100 |
| 194 Rainbow Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (+6%) | 24mo | $110,992 | $70 | 69 |
| 1710 Oakleaf Blvd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+13%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $138 | 50 |
| 1511 George Dr | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,286 (-14%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $78 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,339
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-788
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70570
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,192 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $507/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $173 | +0% $135 | +5% $97 | +10% $59 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $88 | +0% $135 | +5% $182 | +10% $229 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $169 | base $135 | +0.5pp $100 | +1.0pp $64 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Charming home with tons of potential. This property features a spacious kitchen, plenty of cabinet storage and a flexible living area. Outside, you will love the large yard and covered carport. A great opportunity to make it your own.
-
2026-04-21status Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Charming home with tons of potential. This property features a spacious kitchen, plenty of cabinet storage and a flexible living area. Outside, you will love the large yard and covered carport. A great opportunity to make it your own.
-
2026-04-07status Pending 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Charming home with tons of potential. This property features a spacious kitchen, plenty of cabinet storage and a flexible living area. Outside, you will love the large yard and covered carport. A great opportunity to make it your own.
-
2026-03-17$135,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Charming home with tons of potential. This property features a spacious kitchen, plenty of cabinet storage and a flexible living area. Outside, you will love the large yard and covered carport. A great opportunity to make it your own.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $507 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $742 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 46.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$507
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,144
- − Management
- −$1,144
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$659
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$158
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Landry Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201560
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -43.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -35.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,635
- Composite
- 21.59/100
- National rank
- #8303
- State rank
- #54 of 98 in LA
Livability — Opelousas
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #14928
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,188
Population outlook (St. Landry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,114 people
- By 2030
- 82,110 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 79,445 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 75,855 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 65,684 · -21.0%
- By 2100
- 51,739 · -37.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 37% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Landry
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.8) · D 40.0% · R 58.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -18.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+11.9 2012: R+4.3 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.38%
- Current HPI
- 98.4256
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-21 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-07 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $135,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $507 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…