Multi-family
1994 Route 287 · Morris, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity! This unique property features a house with 5 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The parsonage features a full kitchen and meeting room. The church side comes complete with the pews and a vision to renovate! Live in one side and rent the other or rent the whole thing use as an investment. Bring your creative mind to this property!
Key facts
- Full kitchen
- Meeting room
- 0.63 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Residential income property; Multi-family
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Shingle roof
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Hot water heating; Oil heating; Propane heating
- Interior features: Has heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Southern Tioga SD (rural): math 25% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.84%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.97% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $41,419
- Equity at exit
- $78,475
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $122,288
- Equity at exit
- $112,722
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16938
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 6
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,389 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$250 /mo · $2,998/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$502
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,304 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,085 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,389 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 345-char remark
-
2026-06-01$199,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥91°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,668
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,998
- − Insurance
- −$1,797
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,293
- − Management
- −$2,293
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $2,273
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$545
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,727/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This multi-family property requires extensive repairs and renovations to bring it up to a fair condition. Immediate attention to the exterior, landscaping, and kitchen is crucial to increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major siding — Severe weathering and peeling.
- Major paint — Peeling and chipping paint.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn.
- Major kitchen appliances — Outdated and cluttered appliances.
- Major flooring — Worn carpet in living areas.
- Major interior walls — Worn wallpaper and paint in living areas.
Value-add opportunities
- Both exterior painting and siding repair — Enhances curb appeal and property value.
- Both landscaping and lawn maintenance — Improves curb appeal and property value.
- Both kitchen renovation — Modernizes the kitchen and increases functionality.
- Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing property value.
- Both interior wall and paint repair — Enhances the interior appearance and increases property value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| siding · Severe weathering and peeling. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| paint · Peeling and chipping paint. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and unkempt lawn. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| kitchen appliances · Outdated and cluttered appliances. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn carpet in living areas. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Worn wallpaper and paint in living areas. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both exterior painting and siding repair — Enhances curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both landscaping and lawn maintenance — Improves curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both kitchen renovation — Modernizes the kitchen and increases functionality. ↑
- Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, enhancing property value. ↑
- Both interior wall and paint repair — Enhances the interior appearance and increases property value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Tioga SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222370
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,260
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6451
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — Morris
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 786
Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,253 people
- By 2030
- 38,795 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 35,376 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 32,081 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 24,341 · -39.5%
- By 2100
- 17,180 · -57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Polish 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tioga
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.97%
- Current HPI
- 264.4214
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+14.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $199,900 NMPA
- 2024-12-09 Listed $175,000 NMPA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…