Water Lily Plan · Kiawah Island, SC 29455

$1

4 bd · 4.5 ba · 2,902 sqft · SingleFamily · 35 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Cash flow +0.0/30.0
• 1% rule +0.0/10.0
• DSCR +0.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This elevated coastal retreat invites you into a light-filled great room, where 10-foot ceilings and a custom fireplace framed by built-ins shape a warm and welcoming gathering place. The open floor plan and main living spaces spill onto porches that frame views of the Lowcountry from every angle. Beautiful wide-plank white oak floors flow throughout the home with custom craftsman trim and molding throughout. The chef's kitchen features paneled Thermador appliances, shaker cabinetry and is accented with warm brass fixtures. Designed for effortless living, an elevator connects each level of the home, from the drive-under garage with storage and workshop space to the main living areas and bed

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Custom fireplace
• Porches

Tags

• GREAT ROOM
• CUSTOM FIREPLACE
• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• PORCHES
• VIEWS OF THE LOWCOUNTRY
• WIDE-PLANK WHITE OAK FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Inventory type: Plan; Modification timestamp: 2026-05-22T10:02:41.172Z
• Financial info: Listing status: Active; List price not disclosed
• HOA & community: HOA/community details not provided

Exterior

• Parking: 2 parking spaces
• Security: Security details not provided
• Utilities: Utility details not provided
• Home design: New construction plan (Water Lily)
• Construction: Construction details not provided
• Exterior features: Property located at 2501 Mullet Hall Dr, Johns Island, SC 29455

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen included (details not provided)
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Flooring details not provided
• Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
• Interior features: Open-plan living area (approx. 2,902 total living area); Plan named Water Lily
• Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided

🏗️ New construction. The $1 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $1,793,436.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10k ($-120k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $1).
• Cap rate -0.4% vs local median 0.0% in Kiawah Island — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#154 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Charleston 01 (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #7 of 80 in SC (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 568 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,156 units permitted in Charleston County in 2024 (857 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $54k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Charleston County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2690154.0% of price.

Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.17% ✗
• Cap rate: -0.41%
• Cash-on-cash: -23.93%
• DSCR: -0.06
• GRM: 49.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $1,793,436
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3035 Eventide Dr	0.19mi	4/4.5	3,196 (+10%)	1mo	$2,475,000	$774	73
2523 Helmsman Rd	0.16mi	4/3.5	2,647 (-9%)	1mo	$1,350,000	$510	73
3015 Eventide	0.26mi	3/4.5 (-1)	3,052 (+5%)	2mo	$1,930,328	$632	72
3011 Eventide Dr	0.27mi	3/4.0 (-1)	3,052 (+5%)	3mo	$1,884,777	$618	70
6056 Honey Hole Hvn	0.48mi	4/4.5	3,082 (+6%)	4mo	$1,565,000	$508	64
4023 Chantey Crst	0.68mi	4/3.5	2,875 (-1%)	1mo	$1,688,000	$587	62
5015 Saltspray Ln	0.47mi	4/4.5	3,211 (+11%)	3mo	$2,359,000	$735	58
8072 Jack Island Dr	0.39mi	3/3.5 (-1)	2,631 (-9%)	3mo	$1,400,000	$532	55
5005 Saltspray Ln	0.55mi	3/3.0 (-1)	2,638 (-9%)	3mo	$1,715,000	$650	45
4039 Chantey Crst	0.60mi	4/3.5	3,253 (+12%)	3mo	$1,749,500	$538	45
9017 Stern Aly	0.74mi	3/3.5 (-1)	2,756 (-5%)	4mo	$1,515,000	$550	45
7059 Sounding Ln	0.69mi	3/3.5 (-1)	2,576 (-11%)	3mo	$1,750,000	$679	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -69.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.85×
• Total profit: $-928,501
• Equity at exit: $267,407

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: -2.25×
• Total profit: $-1,630,203
• Equity at exit: $155,064

Cash invested: $502,162 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29455

• Rents YoY: 3.0%
• Active inventory: 568

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,013 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$9,405
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$2,242 /mo · $26,902/yr
• Insurance: −$747
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$633
• Net cashflow: $-10,014

Break-even live

Break-even rent $15,689

Max offer price $344,431

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $448,359
• Closing costs: $53,803
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $1 Active 35 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $1 Active 34 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $1 Active 33 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $1 Active 32 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $1 Active 27 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $1 Active 26 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $1 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $1 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $1 Active 21 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1 Active 20 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1 Active 18 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $36,156
• − Mortgage interest: −$100,460
• − Property taxes: −$26,902
• − Insurance: −$8,967
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,892
• − Management: −$2,892
• − Depreciation: −$52,173
• Taxable loss: −$158,130
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$37,951
• After-tax cash flow: $-82,214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Charleston 01
• NCES district ID: 4501440
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $52,376
• Composite: 43.41/100
• National rank: #3018
• State rank: #7 of 80 in SC

Livability — Kiawah Island

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #154
• US rank: #14517

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Charleston County · 366,793 people
• Metro: Charleston-North Charleston, SC
• Population (ZIP): 27,576
• Household income: $121,372
• Rent vs Own: 11.8% rent · 88.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 304.0

Population outlook (Charleston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 480,562 people
• By 2030: 525,921 · +9.4%
• By 2040: 612,189 · +27.4%
• By 2050: 691,627 · +43.9%
• By 2075: 847,979 · +76.5%
• By 2100: 926,482 · +92.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Charleston

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.7) · D 51.9% · R 46.3% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.7pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: 5.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+12.9 2016: D+7.9 2012: D+2.4 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -223.02%
• Current HPI: 297.7408
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.95%
• Metro: Charleston-North Charleston, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B