Duplex
31 S Myrtle St · Vineland, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 68.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment property! Fully rented duplex in Vineland. Public water and sewer. Downstairs unit has 2 bedrooms 1 bathroom and the upstairs unit has 1 bedroom and 1 bathroom. Upstairs unit has recently been completely re-done.
Key facts
- Tenant occupied
- Rental market
- Turnkey duplex
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas available for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; 2 stories
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures; Built year sourced from assessor
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 204 feet; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating; Natural gas heating and hot water; Window air conditioning units (electric)
- Interior features: Full, unfinished basement with interior access; Two total levels; Two-unit building (Unit 1, Unit 2)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $560/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,973/mo this rent would consume 73% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 1328% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $225k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.01%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.27×
- Total profit
- $22,783
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $111,844
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08360
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,973 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,838/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$834
- Net cashflow
- $1,121
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,974 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,987 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,987 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,973 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$300,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,838 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,654 · $471/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,816/yr (+$151/mo · 47.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,676
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$3,838
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,814
- − Management
- −$3,814
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $9,177
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,203
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,244/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vineland Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416800
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,168
- Composite
- 19.17/100
- National rank
- #8819
- State rank
- #418 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Vineland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #12180
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vineland, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 45,038
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,038
- Household income
- $65,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -320.06%
- Current HPI
- 278.786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1053.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-17 Rental Removed $1,295 APPFOLIO
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $1,295 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $1,350 APPFOLIO
- 2025-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,425 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-03 Sold (MLS) $225,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-13 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-10 Listed $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-30 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-12 Listed $149,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,200 Public Records
- 2020-01-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-14 Listed $94,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-07-31 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-01-01 Listed $144,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1980-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,838 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…