530 Hoffman Farm Dr · York, SC 29745

$55,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 23 Days on market

Built 2002

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Sitting at the end of a private dirt road, quite and secluded. Pond dam is located on the side of the property. Sold AS IS.

Key facts

• Private dirt road
• Secluded
• Pond dam

Tags

• PRIVATE DIRT ROAD
• SECLUDED
• POND DAM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 4.6% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
• York 03 (urban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 80 in SC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 541 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $54,175 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.77% ✓
• Cap rate: 34.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 102.27%
• DSCR: 5.55
• GRM: 2.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $142,080
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1019 Perla Rd	0.30mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,411 (+10%)	2mo	$157,000	$111	62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 5.85×
• Total profit: $74,677
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 12.21×
• Total profit: $172,652
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29745

• Home prices YoY: -30.3%
• Active inventory: 541
• Price-to-rent: 2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,071 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$12 /mo · $150/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$435
• Net cashflow: $1,312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $410

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $55,000 Active 23 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $55,000 Active 22 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $55,000 Active 21 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $55,000 Active 20 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $55,000 Active 18 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $55,000 Active 14 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $55,000 Active 13 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $55,000 Active 12 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $55,000 Active 9 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 8 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $55,000 Active 7 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 6 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 5 DOM
14. 2026-05-27
    listed $55,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $150 · $12/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $314 · $26/mo
• Expected delta: +$164/yr (+$14/mo · 109.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,855
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$150
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,988
• − Management: −$1,988
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $15,773
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,785
• After-tax cash flow: $11,964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: York 03
• NCES district ID: 4503870
• Math proficiency: 36% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $47,570
• Composite: 35.46/100
• National rank: #4928
• State rank: #32 of 80 in SC

Livability — York

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #139
• US rank: #13425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: York County · 281,758 people
• City population: 34,909
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• Population (ZIP): 34,909
• Household income: $79,117
• Rent vs Own: 16.1% rent · 83.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 321.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 307,757 people
• By 2030: 335,979 · +9.2%
• By 2040: 391,378 · +27.2%
• By 2050: 443,234 · +44.0%
• By 2075: 557,102 · +81.0%
• By 2100: 625,837 · +103.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -109.42%
• Current HPI: 251.6848
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $150 · +11.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.