17090 NE 14th Ave · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tropical paradise! Furnished and equipped 2 bedrooms in very good condition in very quiet and secured gated community. 2 pools, GYM, clubhouse, sauna. 10 minutes to the Beach, Walmart is just a few steps from the door, easy access to all major roads, and very close to Aventura mall.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Clubhouse
- Sauna
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $744 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 3.8% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greynolds Park Elementary School (math 39% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 527 students, 74% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,074 students, 67% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,576/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 21% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.14%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,746
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -32.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16750 NE 10th Ave #214 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 1,218 (+2%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 16750 NE 14th Ave #212 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-20%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 1351 NE Miami Gardens Dr Unit 1605E | 0.92mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (-5%) | 0mo | $155,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 2196 NE 167th St Unit 1-114 | 1.01mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,182 (-2%) | 0mo | $307,000 | $260 | 55 |
| 2054 NE 167th St Unit 3-122 | 1.01mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,182 (-2%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $262 | 55 |
| 1481 NE Miami Gardens Dr #168 | 0.88mi | 2/2.0 | 1,132 (-6%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $93 | 53 |
| 1300 NE Miami Gardens Dr Unit 201E | 0.83mi | 2/2.0 | 1,257 (+5%) | 7mo | $248,000 | $197 | 51 |
| 1300 NE Miami Gardens Dr Unit 506E | 0.83mi | 2/2.0 | 1,257 (+5%) | 10mo | $258,000 | $205 | 49 |
| 2075 NE 164th St #105 | 0.93mi | 2/2.0 | 1,042 (-13%) | 0mo | $225,000 | $216 | 43 |
| 1401 NE Miami Gardens Dr #488 | 0.87mi | 2/2.0 | 1,067 (-11%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $127 | 42 |
| 2072 NE 169th St #10 | 0.85mi | 2/2.0 | 1,025 (-15%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $166 | 32 |
| 1670 NE 191st St #401 | 1.12mi | 1/1.5 (-1) | 1,036 (-14%) | 20mo | $187,500 | $181 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $19,902
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $50,424
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 61 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 61.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $230,000 ($203/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 124 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -24.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33162
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,576 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$541
- Net cashflow
- $744
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $831 | -5% $787 | +0% $744 | +5% $701 | +10% $658 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $541 | -5% $643 | +0% $744 | +5% $846 | +10% $948 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $807 | -0.5pp $776 | base $744 | +0.5pp $712 | +1.0pp $679 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 46 events
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2026-08-08days on market $125,000 Active 249 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $125,000 Active 246 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $125,000 Active 245 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $125,000 Active 244 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $125,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $125,000 Active 234 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $125,000 Active 233 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $125,000 Active 232 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $125,000 Active 231 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $125,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $125,000 Active 228 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $125,000 Active 226 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $125,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 223 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $125,000 Active 222 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $125,000 Active 221 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $125,000 Active 220 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $125,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $125,000 Active 217 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $125,000 Active 216 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $125,000 Active 215 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $125,000 Active 214 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $125,000 Active 212 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $125,000 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $125,000 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $125,000 Active 209 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $125,000 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $125,000 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $125,000 Active 206 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $125,000 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $125,000 Active 201 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-04pricedays on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $138,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $138,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $138,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $138,000 Active 180 DOM
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2025-12-04price $138,000
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2025-12-02$110,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$5,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,473
- − Management
- −$2,473
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $7,705
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,849
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This property is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a well-maintained pool and landscaping, and is located in a quiet and secure gated community.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior walls — Painting the exterior walls can enhance the curb appeal and increase the property's value. ↑
- Both Clean the pool and maintain the landscaping — A clean pool and well-maintained landscaping can attract more potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
- City population
- 90,324
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,606
- Household income
- $60,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 21% of renters
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -445.57%
- Current HPI
- 596.6178
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.59%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+25.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $138,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-12-02 Listed $110,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…