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714 5th Ave S
F Composite 34.27
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,500

714 5th Ave S · Moorhead, MN 56560
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,990 sqft · SingleFamily · 189 Days on market
Built 1951 5,456 sqft lot Est $185k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-right in! This 2 bedroom rambler could easily be a 4 bedroom, with the addition of egress windows. Hardwood floors, decorator paint colors, wood blinds, no-maintenance metal siding, fenced yard and deck., Total SqFt: 987

Key facts

  • Wood deck
  • Newer furnace
  • Patio

Tags

FULLY FENCED YARDSTEEL SIDEDPATIOWOOD DECKGAS FORCED AIRNEWER FURNACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Standard rental license (property is licensed for rental)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One-story; Main-level living area layout
  • Construction: Block foundation; Above and below grade finished living areas (total living area 1,990)
  • Exterior features: Full yard fencing; Lot size approximately 5,456 square feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement with block foundation; Full fenced yard; Deck; Patio; Storage room; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $214k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-38/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Moorhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#143 in MN, #3,111 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Moorhead Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in MN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $127k; list at $214k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $188,760 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.06%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,070
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
216 6th Ave S 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,209 (+11%) 11mo $204,900 $93 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-37,911
Equity at exit
$31,983
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-44,990
Equity at exit
$18,546

Cash invested: $60,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 56560

Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
390
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,898 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,125
Tax from tax record
$289 /mo · $3,464/yr
Insurance
$89
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$-3

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,902
Max offer price $213,934
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,625
Closing costs
$6,435
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
810 4th Ave S Unit 138 Moorhead, MN 3.0 2.0 1750 $1,325 $0.76 20d 1 0.12mi
1521 1st Ave N Moorhead, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $1,440 $1.37 43d 1 0.77mi
337 10th Ave S Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0 979 $1,235 $1.26 20d 1 0.85mi
23 Broadway N Fargo, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 912 $1,700 $1.86 20d 5 0.95mi
23 N Broadway Dr Unit 406 Fargo, ND 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,700 $1.39 13d 1 0.96mi
419 3rd St N Fargo, ND 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1023 $2,600 $2.54 13d 21 0.99mi
630 1st Ave N Fargo, ND 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1098 $1,700 $1.55 13d 6 1.06mi
624 2nd Ave N Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 914 $2,025 $2.22 13d 32 1.08mi
405 Broadway N Fargo, ND 3.0 1.0–2.0 973 $2,250 $2.31 13d 24 1.13mi
21 8th St N Fargo, ND 4.0 1.0–3.0 949 $1,680 $1.77 13d 6 1.21mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  3. 2026-03-11
    price $214,500
  4. 2026-02-18
    price $216,000
  5. 2026-01-06
    price $218,900
  6. 2025-11-04
    listed $219,900 Active
  7. 2013-05-28
    soldstatus $127,000
  8. 2013-05-24
    soldstatus $126,999 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Move-right in! This 2 bedroom rambler could easily be a 4 bedroom, with the addition of egress windows. Hardwood floors, decorator paint colors, wood blinds, no-maintenance metal siding, fenced yard and deck., Total SqFt: 987

  9. 2013-04-17
    listed $126,999 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Move-right in! This 2 bedroom rambler could easily be a 4 bedroom, with the addition of egress windows. Hardwood floors, decorator paint colors, wood blinds, no-maintenance metal siding, fenced yard and deck., Total SqFt: 987

  10. 2010-03-16
    soldstatus $121,500
  11. 2008-04-15
    soldstatus $119,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,464 · $289/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,464 · $289/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,780
− Mortgage interest
−$12,015
− Property taxes
−$3,464
− Insurance
−$1,072
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,822
− Management
−$1,822
− Depreciation
−$6,240
Taxable loss
−$3,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$878
After-tax cash flow
$839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moorhead Public School District
NCES district ID
2721420
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,009
Composite
36.83/100
National rank
#4560
State rank
#202 of 301 in MN

Livability — Moorhead

Score
77/100
State rank
#143
US rank
#3111

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moorhead, MN
County
Clay County · 44,405 people
City population
44,405
Metro
Fargo, ND-MN
Population (ZIP)
44,405
Household income
$75,406
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
2229.0

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,880 people
By 2030
70,881 · +4.4%
By 2040
76,865 · +13.2%
By 2050
83,205 · +22.6%
By 2075
98,719 · +45.4%
By 2100
111,657 · +64.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 26% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.2% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+8.0 2008: D+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.32%
Current HPI
177.038
Rent YoY
▲ 1.41%
Metro
Fargo, ND-MN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $214,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $216,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $218,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $219,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2013-05-24 Sold (MLS) $126,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-04-17 Listed $126,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $121,500 Public Records
  • 2008-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $119,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,464 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…