620 W Cedar St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover an exceptional investment opportunity in Allentown City. This five-bedroom, one-bathroom residence offers significant potential for various strategies, whether for a primary home, rental, or a fix-and-flip project. The first floor features a spacious living area flowing into the kitchen. Upper levels include the bedrooms and the full bathroom. A decent-sized backyard and off-street parking enhance this property. Delivered vacant, it provides a clean slate for the new owner. This property is being sold as-is and requires a cash-only transaction due to its current condition and disconnected utilities.
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Off-street parking
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property tax and assessed value available in listing (financial details excluded per instructions)
- Financial info: Operating expense reported: $2,877; Insurance expense reported: $1,000
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street and on-street parking available; 1 total parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (heating)
- Home design: 3-story building; Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Zoned R-MH
Interior
- Bedrooms: No bedroom details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric)
- Interior features: Baseboard electric heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $328 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,046/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $200k implies a 261% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.04%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 W Cedar St | 0.08mi | 5/1.5 | 1,578 (+10%) | 2mo | $255,000 | $162 | 77 |
| 613 W Allen St | 0.26mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,480 (+3%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $149 | 76 |
| 732 W Whitehall St | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,524 (+6%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $151 | 74 |
| 634 N New St | 0.41mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,391 (-3%) | 2mo | $216,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 736 N Lumber St | 0.25mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,330 (-8%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $147 | 69 |
| 318 N Lumber | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $132,000 | $92 | 67 |
| 904 N 5th St | 0.16mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,595 (+11%) | 3mo | $229,000 | $144 | 65 |
| 622 Park St | 0.22mi | 5/1.5 | 1,638 (+14%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 816 W Allen St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,328 (-8%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $124 | 62 |
| 732 N 10th St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,310 (-9%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $187 | 57 |
| 408 N 2nd St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,380 (-4%) | 0mo | $202,500 | $147 | 51 |
| 215 N 10th St | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,590 (+10%) | 1mo | $267,000 | $168 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,265
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $43,967
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18102
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$156 /mo · $1,877/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $328
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,698 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 622 Park St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1638 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 856 N 8th St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 814 Washington St #2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 631 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1695 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 823 W Washington St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,250 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 626 N 11th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 3d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 213 Chew St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1725 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1670 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1338 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $2,000 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1348 W Liberty St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1561 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1455 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1520 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1538 Chew St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1874 | $2,800 | $1.49 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 144 S 12th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 216 S 14th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1640 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1542 Walnut St Apt 2 Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1132 | $1,850 | $1.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 450 Hanover Ave Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1692 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 615-char remark
-
2026-06-07$199,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,877 · $156/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,518 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- +$641/yr (+$53/mo · 34.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,554
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$1,877
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,964
- − Management
- −$1,964
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$177
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,001
- Household income
- $43,085
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4313.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.01%
- Current HPI
- 404.834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+316.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $199,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $199,900 GLVRMLS
- 2009-11-01 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2009-08-20 Listed $77,500 GLVRMLS
- 2007-02-05 Sold (MLS) $55,300 GLVRMLS
- 2006-12-15 Listed $55,000 GLVRMLS
- 1994-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,877 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…