11436 SE 208th St #7 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy peaceful, easy living with exceptional outdoor space in this beautifully updated home in Pantera Lago. Situated on a desirable perimeter lot, this property offers a quiet setting along with a spacious wrap-around covered deck—perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or enjoying the outdoors year-round. Inside, the home features a bright, open layout with updated finishes throughout, creating a clean and inviting atmosphere. The living spaces flow comfortably, making everyday living simple and enjoyable. The kitchen offers modern touches and functionality, while the primary suite provides a private retreat with added comfort. Every detail has been thoughtfully refreshed to deliver a m
Key facts
- Perimeter lot
- Heat pump
- Newer roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 2.6% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $120k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.91%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $132,500
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -9.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11436 SE 208th St #180 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $92 | 84 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #88 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,464 (+9%) | 8mo | $126,000 | $86 | 71 |
| 20750 113th Pl SE | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+8%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $45 | 70 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #36 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+12%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $112 | 68 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #170 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (-7%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $104 | 68 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #41 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,458 (+8%) | 24mo | $250,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 20744 113th Pl SE | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,250 (-7%) | 22mo | $105,000 | $84 | 62 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #116 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,498 (+12%) | 20mo | $145,000 | $97 | 62 |
| 11436 SE 208th St #92 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 17mo | $133,500 | $87 | 57 |
| 12218 SE 206th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+10%) | 6mo | $415,000 | $280 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $49,485
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.04×
- Total profit
- $135,618
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98031
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,393 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $1,062
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,144 | -5% $1,103 | +0% $1,062 | +5% $1,020 | +10% $979 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $872 | -5% $967 | +0% $1,062 | +5% $1,156 | +10% $1,251 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,122 | -0.5pp $1,092 | base $1,062 | +0.5pp $1,030 | +1.0pp $999 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20803 110th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $2,845 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 20805 109th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 11101 SE 208th St Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $2,026 | $2.09 | 0d | 18 | 0.36mi |
| 10820 SE 211th Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 907 | $1,966 | $2.17 | 0d | 20 | 0.38mi |
| 12012 SE 210th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,820 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 20506 103rd Ave SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $2,295 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 19388 114th Pl SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $3,095 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 21822 107th Pl SE #6 Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,525 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 11500 SE 221st Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $3,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 21627 127th Pl SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,095 | $2.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9333 S 200th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,450 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11211 SE 226th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,250 | $2.22 | 19d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 10815 SE 184th Ln Renton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 860 | $2,445 | $2.84 | 16d | 3 | 1.36mi |
| 18307 121st Pl SE Renton, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 0d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $120,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $120,000
-
2026-03-21$130,000 Active
-
2019-02-28soldstatus $74,000 Sold
-
2019-02-28status Pending
-
2019-02-20status Pending Inspection
-
2019-02-07$74,000 Active
-
2014-10-07historical
-
2014-10-03soldstatus $65,000 Sold
-
2014-09-18status Pending
-
2014-09-12status Pending Inspection
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2014-08-23$70,000 Active
-
2007-05-04soldstatus $36,000
-
2007-01-02$46,000
-
2004-08-26soldstatus $32,500
-
2004-05-03$32,500
-
2003-04-30soldstatus $25,000
-
2003-01-06$29,990
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,298
- − Management
- −$2,298
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $11,513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,763
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,975/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,094
- Household income
- $105,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Asian 27% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 7% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.1747
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.53%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+300.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-21 Listed $130,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-28 Sold (MLS) $74,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-28 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-07 Listed $74,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-07 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-03 Sold (MLS) $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-18 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-23 Listed $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-04 Sold (MLS) $36,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-02 Listed $46,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-26 Sold (MLS) $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-03 Listed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-30 Sold (MLS) $25,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-01-06 Listed $29,990 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…