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226 E Penning Ave
D- Composite 36.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

226 E Penning Ave · Wood River, IL 62095
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1920 5,998 sqft lot Est $131k · 44% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Come take a look at all of the possibilities this home has to offer!! It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, main level laundry, open dining/kitchen area, deck, fenced yard and a full basement. With a little bit of love this house will make someone a great home!! Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own. Schedule your appointment today.

Key facts

  • 5,998 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1920

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered; Home warranty available; Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Two garage spaces; Driveway, gravel and off-street parking (total parking for 6 vehicles)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service from Ameren; Cable available, phone available, electricity connected, sewer connected, water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled condition; Two levels; Private ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; House structure; Built area above grade from assessor
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Wood privacy fencing in the backyard; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Free-standing electric range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total (one on the main level, two on the upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level, one on the upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Block basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (6.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#214 in IL, #4,027 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, employment D+.
  • East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14 (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #793 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lewis-Clark Elem School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 231 students, 0% FRL); Lewis-Clark Jr High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 195 students, 0% FRL); East Alton-Wood River High Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 537 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $99k; list at $189k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,747 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$130,900
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
135 E Acton Ave 0.10mi 5/2.0 1,560 (+1%) 18mo $125,000 $80 74
449 N 2nd St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (-3%) 15mo $180,000 $120 67
319 N 2nd St 0.07mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (+9%) 12mo $39,900 $24 64
344 E Acton Ave 0.14mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,677 (+9%) 14mo $126,000 $75 58
523 N 6th St 0.41mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,736 (+13%) 2mo $169,900 $98 53
317 N 2nd St 0.06mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-13%) 20mo $114,900 $85 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-23,229
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-10,673
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62095

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,767 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,525/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,621
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $223 -5% $169 +0% $116 +5% $62 +10% $9
Rent -10% $-24 -5% $46 +0% $116 +5% $186 +10% $256
Rate -1.0pp $211 -0.5pp $164 base $116 +0.5pp $67 +1.0pp $17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 E Acton Ave Wood River, IL 4.0 2.0 1560 $1,750 $1.12 45d 1 0.09mi
1400 Brushey Grove Ave Wood River, IL 4.0 1.5 1050 $1,600 $1.52 0d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $189,000 Active
  3. 2026-05-11
    historical $189,000
  4. 2017-05-30
    soldstatus Closed 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Come take a look at all of the possibilities this home has to offer!! It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, main level laundry, open dining/kitchen area, deck, fenced yard and a full basement. With a little bit of love this house will make someone a great home!! Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own. Schedule your appointment today.

  5. 2017-05-12
    status Pending 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Come take a look at all of the possibilities this home has to offer!! It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, main level laundry, open dining/kitchen area, deck, fenced yard and a full basement. With a little bit of love this house will make someone a great home!! Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own. Schedule your appointment today.

  6. 2017-04-28
    listed $42,000 Active 345-char remark
    Show marketing remark (345 chars)

    Come take a look at all of the possibilities this home has to offer!! It features 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, main level laundry, open dining/kitchen area, deck, fenced yard and a full basement. With a little bit of love this house will make someone a great home!! Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own. Schedule your appointment today.

  7. 2016-12-22
    historical
  8. 2016-08-25
    price $72,900
  9. 2016-06-21
    listed $74,900 Active
  10. 2006-08-30
    soldstatus $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,525 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,408 · $284/mo
Expected delta
+$882/yr (+$74/mo · 34.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,210
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$2,525
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,697
− Management
−$1,697
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$1,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$417
After-tax cash flow
$1,809/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14
NCES district ID
1712990
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,977
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#14315
State rank
#793 of 919 in IL

Livability — Wood River

Score
75/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#4027

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wood River, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
10,726
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
10,726
Household income
$65,013
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
383.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.69%
Current HPI
217.1264
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+90.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $189,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Coming Soon $189,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-30 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-05-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-28 Listed $42,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-22 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-25 Price Changed $72,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-21 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,525 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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