615 Viewpoint Dr · Somerset, TX 78065-4560

$49,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 94 Days on market

Built 1994 0.69 ac lot ↓ 29% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Located at 615 Viewpoint Dr, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers great potential for buyers looking to put their personal touch on a property. It presents an excellent opportunity for someone willing to roll up their sleeves and make it their own. This is great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to invest some time and energy into a home with great potential. If you're ready for a project, this home could be exactly what you've been searching for.

Key facts

• 0.69 acre lot
• Built 1994
• Listed 94 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $509 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 5.9% in Somerset — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#639 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Somerset ISD (rural): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #417 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Somerset El (math 60% / reading 48%, grade C, #664 of 4,322 statewide, top 16%, 727 students, 86% FRL); Somerset H S (math 12% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,436 of 1,632 statewide, top 88%, 1,148 students, 86% FRL).
• Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 224 units permitted in Atascosa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Atascosa County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.40% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.45%
• DSCR: 3.42
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 49.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.75×
• Total profit: $38,490
• Equity at exit: $22,437

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.8%
• Equity multiple: 7.56×
• Total profit: $91,722
• Equity at exit: $34,578

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 78065-4560

• Active inventory: 1
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,200 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$32 /mo · $379/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$252
• Net cashflow: $509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16055 Texas 16 Unit 38 Poteet, TX	2.0	1.0	800	$1,200	$1.50	44d	1	1.06mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2025-08-20
   status Pending
2. 2025-06-20
   price $49,900
3. 2025-06-04
   status Back on Market
4. 2025-02-24
   status Pending
5. 2025-02-22
   price $59,900
6. 2025-02-07
   listed $69,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $379 · $32/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $913 · $76/mo
• Expected delta: +$534/yr (+$45/mo · 141.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,400
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$379
• − Insurance: −$1,752
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,152
• − Management: −$1,152
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $5,718
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,372
• After-tax cash flow: $4,733/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Somerset ISD
• NCES district ID: 4840740
• Math proficiency: 41% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $44,712
• Composite: 34.01/100
• National rank: #5315
• State rank: #417 of 826 in TX

Livability — Somerset

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #639
• US rank: #12187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

• HPI YoY: —
• Current HPI: —
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-28.6% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2025-08-20 Pending — LERA
• 2025-06-20 Price Changed $49,900 LERA
• 2025-06-04 Relisted — LERA
• 2025-02-24 Pending — LERA
• 2025-02-22 Price Changed $59,900 LERA
• 2025-02-07 Listed $69,900 LERA

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $379 · -62.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.