2720 Graffenburg Rd · Utica, NY 13413

$225,000

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1967 0.69 ac lot $214/sqft · at area comps Est $226k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.7/15.0
• Schools +6.1/10.0
• DSCR +5.5/10.0
• 1% rule +4.9/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover the potential in this charming 3-bedroom ranch located in the desirable New Hartford School District with Frankfort taxes. Offering a flexible layout and endless possibilities, this home is ready for your personal touch. Step inside to find hardwood floors, a spacious eat-in kitchen, and an adjoining living room—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The primary bedroom features its own half bath, while the home’s setting provides beautiful views you’ll enjoy year-round. The lower level offers excellent potential for a family room along with an additional finished space—ideal for a home office, guest area, or hobby room. Outside, a large deck overlook

Key facts

• Large deck
• Finished space
• Private yard

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• SPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHEN
• LARGE DECK
• PRIVATE YARD
• AMPLE STORAGE
• FINISHED SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway; Garage includes storage and workshop area and has water available
• Utilities: Electricity connected with circuit breakers; Septic tank; Well water
• Home design: Single-story home; Existing structure; Rectangular lot with approximately 150 x 200 dimensions; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare
• Construction: Vinyl siding and wood siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Block foundation
• Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Open porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: Primary and additional bedrooms on the main level (3 main-level bedrooms total); Additional bedroom(s) located in the basement
• Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; Two total main-level bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Combined living and dining area; Pull-down attic stairs; Storage; Main-level primary bedroom; Full, partially finished basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry area in the basement; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (1.0% below list).
• Recommended offer: $223k (1.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
• New Hartford Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #128 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $222,721 (1.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.99% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.24%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.36%
• DSCR: 1.15
• GRM: 8.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $225,993
• List price: $225,000
• Delta: -0.44%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 13 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-25,158
• Equity at exit: $33,548

10-year hold

• IRR: -1.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.89×
• Total profit: $-7,213
• Equity at exit: $19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13413

• Active inventory: 100
• Price-to-rent: 8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,227 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,180
• Tax from tax record: −$309 /mo · $3,710/yr
• Insurance: −$94
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$468
• Net cashflow: $177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,004

Max offer price $225,000

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $56,250
• Closing costs: $6,750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-08
   status Pending 1048-char remark
2. 2026-05-06
   listed $225,000 Active 1048-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $3,710 · $309/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,756 · $313/mo
• Expected delta: +$46/yr (+$4/mo · 1.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,727
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,603
• − Property taxes: −$3,710
• − Insurance: −$1,125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,138
• − Management: −$2,138
• − Depreciation: −$6,545
• Taxable loss: −$1,534
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$368
• After-tax cash flow: $2,488/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: New Hartford Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3620370
• Math proficiency: 65% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 76% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $67,028
• Composite: 61.37/100
• National rank: #769
• State rank: #128 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #104
• US rank: #1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Oneida County · 89,710 people
• City population: 72,968
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• Population (ZIP): 16,742
• Household income: $95,261
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 395.0

Population outlook (Herkimer County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 59,340 people
• By 2030: 56,838 · -4.2%
• By 2040: 51,098 · -13.9%
• By 2050: 45,080 · -24.0%
• By 2075: 32,648 · -45.0%
• By 2100: 22,266 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Vietnam, China, Canada
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Herkimer

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.8% · R 68.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.1pp toward R · 2008: -9.3pp · 2024: -36.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.5 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+9.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -210.17%
• Current HPI: 295.4235
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Utica-Rome, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-05-06 Listed $225,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,710 · -5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.