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1147 Allen St
C Composite 58.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.2/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.6/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1147 Allen St · Rocky Mount, NC 27803
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,128 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 191 Days on market
Built 1941 0.80 ac lot Est $115k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

GREAT PRICE for this investment property or starter home! Three bedrooms, 1 bath, front and back porches. Home with attached lot included, so . 8 acre total. Currently rented. No sign.

Key facts

  • 0.8 acre lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 190 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom downstairs
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement (no finished basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bailey Elementary (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 538 students, 75% FRL); Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL); Rocky Mount High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,072 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 47% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $125k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.72%
Cash-on-cash
12.23%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$115,056
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
637 Clayton St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,149 (+2%) 1mo $179,900 $157 74
625 Powell Dr 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,212 (+7%) 1mo $148,500 $123 71
2585 W Raleigh Blvd 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,027 (-9%) 7mo $175,000 $170 64
641 Powell Dr 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,220 (+8%) 16mo $125,000 $102 59
1809 Burton St 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,135 (+1%) 10mo $80,000 $70 57
1642 W Raleigh Blvd 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,170 (+4%) 9mo $158,000 $135 54
2805 Chamberlain Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,203 (+7%) 15mo $198,000 $165 53
328 Clayton St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,044 (-7%) 10mo $105,000 $101 48
417 Kingston Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,297 (+15%) 8mo $80,000 $62 40
125 Lisa Ct 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,243 (+10%) 13mo $117,000 $94 40
1009 Hazelwood Dr 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,292 (+14%) 13mo $117,000 $91 37
1612 Curtis St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,276 (+13%) 15mo $80,000 $63 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$5,953
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$49,546
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27803

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,374 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$21 /mo · $257/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $923
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 188 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 187 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 175 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 174 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 173 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 172 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 171 DOM
  17. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-26
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-26
    historical
  20. 2026-02-21
    status Active
  21. 2026-02-20
    historical
  22. 2026-01-03
    status Active
  23. 2025-12-20
    status Pending
  24. 2025-12-20
    historical
  25. 2025-11-21
    status Active
  26. 2025-11-21
    price $125,000
  27. 2025-10-15
    listed $85,000 Active
  28. 2015-04-24
    historical
  29. 2014-10-24
    listed $75,000
  30. 2010-06-30
    historical
  31. 2007-10-05
    listed $45,900
  32. 1999-05-26
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$257 · $21/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,025 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$768/yr (+$64/mo · 298.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,491
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$257
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,319
− Management
−$1,319
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$2,332
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$560
After-tax cash flow
$3,720/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
20,055
Household income
$60,124
Rent vs Own
38.3% rent · 61.7% own
Severe rent burden
641.0

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -162.95%
Current HPI
190.0204
Rent YoY
▲ 5.51%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+316.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-03 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-20 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-20 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-21 Price Changed $125,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $85,000 Hive MLS
  • 2015-04-24 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2014-10-24 Listed $75,000 Hive MLS
  • 2010-06-30 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2007-10-05 Listed $45,900 TMLS
  • 1999-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $257 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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