1147 Allen St · Rocky Mount, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
GREAT PRICE for this investment property or starter home! Three bedrooms, 1 bath, front and back porches. Home with attached lot included, so . 8 acre total. Currently rented. No sign.
Key facts
- 0.8 acre lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 190 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom downstairs
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric forced-air heating
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; 5 total rooms; Crawl space basement (no finished basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bailey Elementary (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,410 statewide, top 77%, 538 students, 75% FRL); Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL); Rocky Mount High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,072 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 59% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 47% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $125k implies a 317% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.23%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,056
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 Clayton St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,149 (+2%) | 1mo | $179,900 | $157 | 74 |
| 625 Powell Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,212 (+7%) | 1mo | $148,500 | $123 | 71 |
| 2585 W Raleigh Blvd | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,027 (-9%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $170 | 64 |
| 641 Powell Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,220 (+8%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $102 | 59 |
| 1809 Burton St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,135 (+1%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $70 | 57 |
| 1642 W Raleigh Blvd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (+4%) | 9mo | $158,000 | $135 | 54 |
| 2805 Chamberlain Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,203 (+7%) | 15mo | $198,000 | $165 | 53 |
| 328 Clayton St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-7%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $101 | 48 |
| 417 Kingston Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,297 (+15%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $62 | 40 |
| 125 Lisa Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,243 (+10%) | 13mo | $117,000 | $94 | 40 |
| 1009 Hazelwood Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,292 (+14%) | 13mo | $117,000 | $91 | 37 |
| 1612 Curtis St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,276 (+13%) | 15mo | $80,000 | $63 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.17×
- Total profit
- $5,953
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $49,546
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27803
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,374 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $257/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $357
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-04-16status Active
-
2026-03-26status Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-02-21status Active
-
2026-02-20historical
-
2026-01-03status Active
-
2025-12-20status Pending
-
2025-12-20historical
-
2025-11-21status Active
-
2025-11-21price $125,000
-
2025-10-15$85,000 Active
-
2015-04-24historical
-
2014-10-24$75,000
-
2010-06-30historical
-
2007-10-05$45,900
-
1999-05-26soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $257 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$768/yr (+$64/mo · 298.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,491
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$257
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,319
- − Management
- −$1,319
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,332
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$560
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703270
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,553
- Composite
- 22.04/100
- National rank
- #8198
- State rank
- #155 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rocky Mount
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #7692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rocky Mount, NC
- County
- Nash County · 50,768 people
- City population
- 70,300
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,055
- Household income
- $60,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 641.0
Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,107 people
- By 2030
- 89,193 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 84,959 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,517 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 72,941 · -19.9%
- By 2100
- 63,602 · -30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 44% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nash
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.95%
- Current HPI
- 190.0204
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.51%
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+316.7% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-26 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-01-03 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-20 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2025-12-20 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-21 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2025-11-21 Price Changed $125,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $85,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-04-24 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2014-10-24 Listed $75,000 Hive MLS
- 2010-06-30 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2007-10-05 Listed $45,900 TMLS
- 1999-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $257 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…