201 S Howell St · Rocky Mount, NC
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!
Key facts
- Plumbing
- Roof
- Hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax listed
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: House; Two stories
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; Lot approximately 0.17 acres; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Two-level living area (no finished basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $114k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.71%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,888
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 S Grace St | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,230 (-1%) | 19mo | $62,000 | $28 | 70 |
| 511 Hammond St | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,985 (-12%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $50 | 62 |
| 827 Sunset Ave | 0.19mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,520 (+12%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $31 | 58 |
| 700 York Street St | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,125 (-5%) | 4mo | $247,000 | $116 | 48 |
| 707 W Thomas St | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,956 (-13%) | 18mo | $200,000 | $102 | 45 |
| 817 York St | 0.73mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,056 (-8%) | 18mo | $305,000 | $148 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-1,071
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,475
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27804
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 392
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $994/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $140,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $150,000
-
2026-05-08$155,000 Active
-
2025-11-14soldstatus $114,500
-
2025-10-17historical
-
2025-10-09price $125,500
-
2025-09-26price $127,500
-
2025-09-23$137,500 Active
-
2014-04-10soldstatus $5,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!
-
2014-01-17historical
-
2013-11-13$5,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!
-
2013-09-18$11,900
-
2013-01-14historical
-
2013-01-14historical
-
2012-08-17$10,000
-
2012-08-16$10,000
-
2005-11-08soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $994 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$154/yr (+$13/mo · 15.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$994
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,568
- − Management
- −$1,568
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $2,856
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$685
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,295/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703270
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,553
- Composite
- 22.04/100
- National rank
- #8198
- State rank
- #155 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rocky Mount
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #7692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rocky Mount, NC
- County
- Nash County · 50,768 people
- City population
- 70,300
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,713
- Household income
- $61,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 710.0
Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,107 people
- By 2030
- 89,193 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 84,959 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,517 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 72,941 · -19.9%
- By 2100
- 63,602 · -30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nash
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.83%
- Current HPI
- 183.0082
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+200.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $150,000 TMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $155,000 TMLS
- 2025-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $114,500 Public Records
- 2025-10-17 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $125,500 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $127,500 Hive MLS
- 2025-09-23 Listed $137,500 Hive MLS
- 2014-04-10 Sold (MLS) $5,900 Hive MLS
- 2014-01-17 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2013-11-13 Listed $5,900 Hive MLS
- 2013-09-18 Listed $11,900 Hive MLS
- 2013-01-14 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2013-01-14 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2012-08-17 Listed $10,000 Hive MLS
- 2012-08-16 Listed $10,000 Hive MLS
- 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $994 · +122.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…