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201 S Howell St
B- Composite 69.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

201 S Howell St · Rocky Mount, NC 27804
5 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 41 Days on market
Built 1925 7,405 sqft lot Est $229k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!

Key facts

  • Plumbing
  • Roof
  • Hvac

Tags

CORNER-LOT PROPERTYMAJOR UPDATESROOFHVACPLUMBINGELECTRICAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax listed
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: House; Two stories
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; Lot approximately 0.17 acres; Publicly maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Two-level living area (no finished basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 4.5% in Rocky Mount — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 392 active listings in the ZIP; 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $114k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.85%
Cash-on-cash
12.71%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$228,888
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 S Grace St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,230 (-1%) 19mo $62,000 $28 70
511 Hammond St 0.24mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,985 (-12%) 1mo $100,000 $50 62
827 Sunset Ave 0.19mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,520 (+12%) 2mo $78,000 $31 58
700 York Street St 0.65mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,125 (-5%) 4mo $247,000 $116 48
707 W Thomas St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,956 (-13%) 18mo $200,000 $102 45
817 York St 0.73mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,056 (-8%) 18mo $305,000 $148 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-1,071
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$14,475
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27804

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
392
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,633 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $994/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$343
Net cashflow
$415

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,108
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $140,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $150,000
  18. 2026-05-08
    listed $155,000 Active
  19. 2025-11-14
    soldstatus $114,500
  20. 2025-10-17
    historical
  21. 2025-10-09
    price $125,500
  22. 2025-09-26
    price $127,500
  23. 2025-09-23
    listed $137,500 Active
  24. 2014-04-10
    soldstatus $5,900 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!

  25. 2014-01-17
    historical
  26. 2013-11-13
    listed $5,900 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    HUGE 5BR/2BA home with over 2,400 sq. ft. of living area! Hardwood floors, screened-in porch, and much more! Great deal for a large family with a handyman! SEE AGENT REMARKS FOR SELLER REQUIREMENTS/INSTRUCTIONS!

  27. 2013-09-18
    listed $11,900
  28. 2013-01-14
    historical
  29. 2013-01-14
    historical
  30. 2012-08-17
    listed $10,000
  31. 2012-08-16
    listed $10,000
  32. 2005-11-08
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$994 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$154/yr (+$13/mo · 15.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,601
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$994
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,568
− Management
−$1,568
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$2,856
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$685
After-tax cash flow
$4,295/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
NCES district ID
3703270
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,553
Composite
22.04/100
National rank
#8198
State rank
#155 of 178 in NC

Livability — Rocky Mount

Score
70/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#7692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rocky Mount, NC
County
Nash County · 50,768 people
City population
70,300
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
Population (ZIP)
30,713
Household income
$61,359
Rent vs Own
46.0% rent · 54.0% own
Severe rent burden
710.0

Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
91,107 people
By 2030
89,193 · -2.1%
By 2040
84,959 · -6.7%
By 2050
80,517 · -11.6%
By 2075
72,941 · -19.9%
By 2100
63,602 · -30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Nash

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.83%
Current HPI
183.0082
Rent YoY
▼ -0.17%
Metro
Rocky Mount, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+200.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $150,000 TMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $155,000 TMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $114,500 Public Records
  • 2025-10-17 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $125,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $127,500 Hive MLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $137,500 Hive MLS
  • 2014-04-10 Sold (MLS) $5,900 Hive MLS
  • 2014-01-17 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2013-11-13 Listed $5,900 Hive MLS
  • 2013-09-18 Listed $11,900 Hive MLS
  • 2013-01-14 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2013-01-14 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-17 Listed $10,000 Hive MLS
  • 2012-08-16 Listed $10,000 Hive MLS
  • 2005-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $994 · +122.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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