2623 W Mount Vernon St · Springfield, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $1,224/month. Located in an established Springfield neighborhood near Zagonyi Park and within close proximity to Walmart Neighborhood Market on W Mt. Vernon St.
Key facts
- Near zagonyi park
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing broker: Murney Associates - Primrose; Listing agent: Langston Group Group
- Financial info: Tax amount provided (financial specifics excluded per instructions)
- HOA & community: HOA details not provided
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached garage not specified, includes 1 garage space
- Security: Security details not provided
- Utilities: Public water supply; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Construction details not provided; Year built not provided
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Lot approximately 0.18 acre; Located in the Westport subdivision; Directions: From Springfield, head west on W Mt. Vernon St from downtown. Continue west past N West Ave. Property will be on the right.
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
- Flooring: Flooring details not provided
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating with forced air
- Interior features: One-level layout
- Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $130 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westport Elem. (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,007 of 1,115 statewide, top 91%, 384 students, 88% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 46% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 512 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.63%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,843
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -14.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2919 W Page St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,096 (-2%) | 2mo | $176,500 | $161 | 62 |
| 2223 W Elm St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 993 (-11%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $116 | 62 |
| 903 S Scenic Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,229 (+10%) | 1mo | $144,900 | $118 | 61 |
| 500 S Warren Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 | 1,000 (-11%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $150 | 60 |
| 2041 W Elm St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (-8%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $122 | 59 |
| 2634 W Phelps St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,038 (-7%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $130 | 53 |
| 2552 W Madison St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+14%) | 0mo | $225,020 | $176 | 52 |
| 2940 W Walnut St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-10%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $134 | 51 |
| 3036 W Water St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,040 (-7%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $130 | 50 |
| 3121 W Harrison St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,052 (-6%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $178 | 50 |
| 521 N Warren Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 2mo | $119,500 | $95 | 45 |
| 3132 W College St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+14%) | 3mo | $183,995 | $145 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-9,221
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $10,992
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65802
- Home prices YoY
- -31.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 512
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $543/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $130
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1034 | $975 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2412 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,295 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2602 W College St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $995 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $995 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3002 W Elm St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,295 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1020 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $950 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $850 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1040 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $945 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 547 S Hilton Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,175 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 250 N Hilton Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $628 | $0.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1740 W Olive St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,195 | $1.62 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 741 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 740 N West Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1152 S Hillcrest Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1365 S Scenic Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,550 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 922 N Glenn Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1500 W Grand St Springfield, MO | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1365 | $1,245 | $0.91 | 13d | 3 | 1.13mi |
| 539 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,025 | $0.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1735 W Bennett St Springfield, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,124 | $1.41 | 13d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $995 | $0.99 | 13d | 3 | 1.23mi |
| 1036 W Monroe Ter Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $795 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1625 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,321 | $1.47 | 13d | 5 | 1.39mi |
| 513 S Broadway Ave Springfield, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $855 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3016 W Hovey St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 930 W Harrison St Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1046 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 412 S Duke Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,585 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1634 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,404 | $1.66 | 13d | 23 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-14$120,000 Active 225-char remark
-
2019-05-24soldstatus $350,000
-
2016-07-01$99,900
-
2014-03-12$75,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $543 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,164 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$621/yr (+$52/mo · 114.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,974
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$543
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,038
- − Management
- −$1,038
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$457
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield R-XII
- NCES district ID
- 2928860
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,886
- Composite
- 32.45/100
- National rank
- #5717
- State rank
- #174 of 324 in MO
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #4121
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, MO
- County
- Greene County · 244,327 people
- City population
- 223,044
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,739
- Household income
- $55,019
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1818.0
Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,054 people
- By 2030
- 335,135 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 366,186 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 397,431 · +24.6%
- By 2075
- 477,035 · +49.5%
- By 2100
- 520,828 · +63.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Greene
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.72%
- Current HPI
- 212.9826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Springfield, MO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+58.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Relisted — SOMO
- 2026-05-23 Pending — SOMO
- 2026-05-14 Listed $120,000 SOMO
- 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 2016-07-01 Listed $99,900 SOMO
- 2014-03-12 Listed $75,600 SOMO
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $543 · +22.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…