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161 167 Sayles Ave Fourplex
B Composite 74.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.3/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$645,000

161 167 Sayles Ave · Burrillville, RI 02859
28 bd · 18.0 ba · 4,205 sqft · MultiFamily · 250 Days on market
Built 1850 Average condition 0.66 ac lot $153/sqft · at area comps Est $614k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity or a great portfolio addition. This 4 unit property has been maintained by its owner. Fully rented units. Updated heat and electrical- no knob/tube. Newer appliances. Plenty of off street parking. Located in Pascoag-great school district. Smaller portion of house has newer roof- the larger portion is a bit older but still in good condition. Navien on demand heat and hot water systems. Part gas and electric heat with new baseboards. Oversized lot provides great space. Short walk/drive to parks, schools recreation and amenities. Long term tenants in place in all units so rents could be adjusted. Separate utilities. Great taxes, very affordable. Set up a tour today.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Newer roof
  • Newer appliances

Tags

FULLY RENTED UNITSUPDATED HEAT AND ELECTRICALNEWER APPLIANCESOFF STREET PARKINGNEWER ROOFNAVIEN ON DEMAND HEAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.5-bath units multifamily listed at $645k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive. Per door: $668/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $645k).
  • Recommended offer: $568k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Burrillville (suburban): math 14% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #27 of 39 in RI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: William Callahan School (math 7% / reading 27%, grade F, #119 of 167 statewide, top 73%, 318 students, 50% FRL); Burrillville Middle School (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #35 of 57 statewide, top 62%, 486 students, 37% FRL); Burrillville High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #22 of 58 statewide, top 37%, 657 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $69k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $64k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $181k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$111k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($568k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 3% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $645k implies a 706% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $567,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.75%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$614,388
List price
$645,000
Delta
4.98%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$521,570
Equity at exit
$581,067
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
8.77×
Total profit
$1,402,404
Equity at exit
$1,253,093

Cash invested: $180,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02859

Home prices YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
23.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$9,024 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,382
Tax est. 1.5%
$806 /mo · $9,675/yr
Insurance
$269
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,895
Net cashflow
$2,672

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,642
Max offer price $645,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,117 -5% $2,894 +0% $2,672 +5% $2,449 +10% $2,226
Rent -10% $1,959 -5% $2,315 +0% $2,672 +5% $3,028 +10% $3,384
Rate -1.0pp $2,996 -0.5pp $2,836 base $2,672 +0.5pp $2,504 +1.0pp $2,334

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $9,024

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$161,250
Closing costs
$19,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $645,000 Active 250 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $645,000 Active 249 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $645,000 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $645,000 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $645,000 Active 245 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $645,000 Active 244 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $645,000 Active 242 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $645,000 Active 241 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $645,000 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $645,000 Active 237 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $645,000 Active 236 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $645,000 Active 235 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $645,000 Active 232 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $645,000 Active 231 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $645,000 Active 230 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $645,000 Active 229 DOM
  17. 2025-10-14
    historical
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity or a great portfolio addition. This 4 unit property has been maintained by its owner. Fully rented units. Updated heat and electrical- no knob/tube. Newer appliances. Plenty of off street parking. Located in Pascoag-great school district. Smaller portion of house has newer roof- the larger portion is a bit older but still in good condition. Navien on demand heat and hot water systems. Part gas and electric heat with new baseboards. Oversized lot provides great space. Short walk/drive to parks, schools recreation and amenities. Long term tenants in place in all units so rents could be adjusted. Separate utilities. Great taxes, very affordable. Set up a tour today.

  18. 2025-10-14
    listed $625,000 Active 708-char remark
    Show marketing remark (708 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity or a great portfolio addition. This 4 unit property has been maintained by its owner. Fully rented units. Updated heat and electrical- no knob/tube. Newer appliances. Plenty of off street parking. Located in Pascoag-great school district. Smaller portion of house has newer roof- the larger portion is a bit older but still in good condition. Navien on demand heat and hot water systems. Part gas and electric heat with new baseboards. Oversized lot provides great space. Short walk/drive to parks, schools recreation and amenities. Long term tenants in place in all units so rents could be adjusted. Separate utilities. Great taxes, very affordable. Set up a tour today.

  19. 2025-05-22
    status Active
  20. 2025-05-13
    status Pending
  21. 2025-04-10
    listed $625,000 Active
  22. 2024-04-29
    historical
  23. 2023-10-05
    listed $544,900 Active
  24. 2013-12-19
    price $140,000
  25. 2013-12-19
    price $164,000
  26. 2011-02-28
    soldstatus $80,000
  27. 2010-11-04
    historical
  28. 2010-03-09
    listed $165,000
  29. 2009-12-29
    historical
  30. 2009-07-01
    listed $269,000
  31. 2000-06-24
    historical
  32. 2000-06-08
    listed $142,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$108,288
− Mortgage interest
−$36,130
− Property taxes
−$9,675
− Insurance
−$3,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$8,663
− Management
−$8,663
− Depreciation
−$18,764
Taxable income
$23,168
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,560
After-tax cash flow
$26,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This 4-unit property requires moderate repairs to exterior siding and roof, with average condition overall. Upgrading these areas would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate exterior siding — Weathered and discolored
  • Moderate roof — Appears older with some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace siding — Improves home's appearance and value
  • Both Upgrade roof — Extends lifespan and enhances value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
exterior siding · Weathered and discolored Moderate $3,000–15,000
roof · Appears older with some discoloration Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $6,000–30,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace siding — Improves home's appearance and value
  • Both Upgrade roof — Extends lifespan and enhances value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burrillville
NCES district ID
4400090
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$66,679
Composite
20.69/100
National rank
#8529
State rank
#27 of 39 in RI

Livability — Burrillville

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Pascoag, RI
Population (ZIP)
6,803

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
653,469 people
By 2030
660,819 · +1.1%
By 2040
672,747 · +3.0%
By 2050
683,741 · +4.6%
By 2075
720,435 · +10.2%
By 2100
741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.22%
Current HPI
330.7456
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $625,000 RIS
  • 2025-10-14 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2025-05-22 Relisted RIS
  • 2025-05-13 Pending RIS
  • 2025-04-10 Listed $625,000 RIS
  • 2024-04-29 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2023-10-05 Listed $544,900 RIS
  • 2013-12-19 Price Changed $140,000 RIS
  • 2013-12-19 Price Changed $164,000 RIS
  • 2011-02-28 Sold (MLS) $80,000 RIS
  • 2010-11-04 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2010-03-09 Listed $165,000 RIS
  • 2009-12-29 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2009-07-01 Listed $269,000 RIS
  • 2000-06-24 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2000-06-08 Listed $142,000 RIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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