2338 Ruckert Ave · Maryland Heights, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity with strong upside potential. This 3 bed, 2 bath ranch offers a solid layout and dependable structure, making it a great candidate for renovation or rental repositioning. With approximately 1,288 sqft, the home provides a functional floor plan with comfortable room sizes and a traditional single-level design that’s always in demand. The property features a 1-car carport and sits on a usable lot with plenty of potential for exterior improvements and curb appeal enhancements. While the home does need updating throughout, the fundamentals are in place—ideal for a value-add project, fix-and-flip, or long-term hold strategy. Sold as-is, this is a straightforward
Key facts
- Dependable structure
- Usable lot
- Solid layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Has a 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service with Ameren; Electricity, sewer and water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement with 8+ ft poured construction
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.3% in Maryland Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pattonville R-III (suburban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #147 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Willow Brook Elem. (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 470 students, 40% FRL); Pattonville Sr. High (math 33% / reading 64%, grade D, #147 of 521 statewide, top 29%, 1,893 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.53%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,684
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10814 Canter Way Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-3%) | 9mo | $184,900 | $193 | 79 |
| 2341 Buller Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (+11%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $192 | 69 |
| 10726 Niblic Dr | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (+4%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $239 | 68 |
| 2420 Fowler Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,089 (+10%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $174 | 56 |
| 2511 Frances Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,112 (+13%) | 6mo | $279,900 | $252 | 55 |
| 2129 N Warson Rd | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,119 (+13%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $188 | 53 |
| 2729 Link Rd | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-10%) | 7mo | $175,000 | $197 | 52 |
| 10505 Scotland Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+5%) | 10mo | $114,900 | $110 | 49 |
| 10471 Canter Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (+9%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $233 | 47 |
| 10410 Maddox | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,040 (+5%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $212 | 41 |
| 10432 Driver Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 852 (-14%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $188 | 37 |
| 10406 Driver Ave | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+11%) | 5mo | $100,000 | $91 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-297
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $22,383
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63114
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,604 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10900 Oak Forest Pkwy Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,600 | $2.00 | 3d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 1434 Willow Brook Cove Ct St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,395 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1380 Willow Brook Cove Ct St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 910 | $1,550 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 9905 Iveland Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,370 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10304 Oxford Hill Dr St. Louis, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,889 | $2.04 | 2d | 47 | 1.34mi |
| 10205 Saint Daniel Ln Saint Ann, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,450 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $130,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,175 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,175 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,539
- − Management
- −$1,539
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $2,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$546
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,649/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pattonville R-III
- NCES district ID
- 2923700
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,786
- Composite
- 33.69/100
- National rank
- #5383
- State rank
- #147 of 324 in MO
Livability — Maryland Heights
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #6808
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 21,924
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,969
- Household income
- $55,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1595.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.62%
- Current HPI
- 223.9305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2022): $2,175 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…