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7637 Bellingham Dr
F Composite 32.89
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$224,900

7637 Bellingham Dr · Houston, TX 77028
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,160 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1953 7,200 sqft lot Est $179k · 26% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully renovated in 2026, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a fresh, modern feel with updates throughout. The renovation included a room addition, creating a functional floor plan with spacious bedrooms and comfortable living areas. Recent improvements include updated flooring, paint, fixtures, kitchen finishes, bathrooms, and more. The home is move-in ready and provides an excellent opportunity for a first-time homebuyer, growing family, or investor. Conveniently located with easy access to major highways, shopping, dining, and downtown Houston. If you're looking for a home with the major updates already completed, this one is worth a look.

Key facts

  • Fully renovated
  • Updated paint
  • Updated flooring

Tags

FULLY RENOVATEDROOM ADDITIONUPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED PAINTUPDATED FIXTURESUPDATED KITCHEN FINISHES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1953; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Seller disclosure on file
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (18.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $169k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Mcgowen El (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #4,048 of 4,322 statewide, top 95%, 385 students, 99% FRL); Key Middle (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,569 of 1,662 statewide, top 95%, 615 students, 100% FRL); Kashmere H S (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 725 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 16% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,564 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$178,640
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7410 Glen Manor Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-2%) 6mo $225,000 $197 68
7421 Claiborne St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-8%) 0mo $129,900 $121 58
7534 Bywood St 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,107 (-5%) 10mo $179,000 $162 58
7706 Claiborne St 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,129 (-3%) 9mo $84,900 $75 55
7429 Springdale St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,230 (+6%) 9mo $190,000 $154 55
8117 Snowden St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,201 (+4%) 11mo $200,000 $167 53
8121 Homewood Ln 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-3%) 15mo $155,000 $138 52
7229 Springdale St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,247 (+8%) 6mo $195,000 $156 52
7833 Linda Vista Rd 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,207 (+4%) 16mo $135,000 $112 52
7901 Richland Dr 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,108 (-4%) 10mo $115,000 $104 51
7551 Fawnridge Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,326 (+14%) 14mo $175,000 $132 51
7925 Crestview Dr 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,032 (-11%) 15mo $160,000 $155 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$35,163
Equity at exit
$130,808
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$109,413
Equity at exit
$228,586

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77028

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,686 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$226 /mo · $2,717/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$-234

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,982
Max offer price $183,505
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-107 -5% $-171 +0% $-234 +5% $-298 +10% $-362
Rent -10% $-367 -5% $-301 +0% $-234 +5% $-168 +10% $-101
Rate -1.0pp $-121 -0.5pp $-177 base $-234 +0.5pp $-293 +1.0pp $-352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7601 Springdale St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,200 $0.98 17d 1 0.38mi
8006 Lynette St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,475 $1.05 26d 1 0.48mi
9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,900 $1.27 45d 1 0.49mi
9410 Firnat St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,900 $1.27 0d 1 0.49mi
7914 Laura Koppe Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,850 $1.32 45d 1 0.51mi
9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,399 $1.56 3d 5 0.53mi
7804 Crestview Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 23d 1 0.60mi
7418 Bywood St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 26d 1 0.62mi
8015 Elbert St Unit A Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1021 $1,650 $1.62 9d 1 0.71mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 45d 1 0.74mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 985 $740 $0.75 45d 1 0.74mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 222 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 985 $700 $0.71 45d 1 0.74mi
7119 Bywood St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,795 $1.56 45d 1 0.85mi
8213 Linda Vista Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,625 $1.25 26d 1 0.92mi
8216 Richland Dr Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 45d 1 0.97mi
8113 Denton St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,750 $1.52 45d 1 0.98mi
7252 Parker Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 916 $1,650 $1.80 45d 1 1.00mi
7176 Parker Rd Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1152 $1,200 $1.04 45d 1 1.02mi
8122 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,450 $1.25 16d 1 1.04mi
8122 Sterlingshire St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1160 $1,525 $1.31 16d 1 1.04mi
8126 Sterlingshire St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,350 $1.17 26d 1 1.05mi
8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 938 $1,350 $1.44 45d 1 1.10mi
8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $1,000 $1.02 45d 1 1.12mi
8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $975 $0.99 45d 1 1.13mi
8213 Bigwood St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,595 $1.39 45d 1 1.17mi
10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1496 $3,865 $2.58 0d 1 1.19mi
8302 Caddo Rd Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 896 $1,450 $1.62 45d 1 1.26mi
9222 Hillis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,850 $1.23 45d 1 1.30mi
7973 Ritz St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1076 $2,250 $2.09 9d 1 1.36mi
10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 26d 1 1.36mi
7314 Saunders Rd Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1339 $1,723 $1.29 15d 1 1.42mi
7726 Spinet St Houston, TX 4.0 2.0 1456 $2,375 $1.63 9d 1 1.42mi
9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1461 $1,875 $1.28 45d 1 1.42mi
7830 Nashville St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,800 $1.53 9d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $224,900 Pending 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $224,900 Pending 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $224,900 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    remarks 649-char remark
  9. 2026-06-02
    listed $224,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,717 · $226/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,116 · $343/mo
Expected delta
+$1,399/yr (+$117/mo · 51.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,228
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,717
− Insurance
−$1,922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,618
− Management
−$1,618
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$6,788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,629
After-tax cash flow
$-1,183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,109
Household income
$38,357
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1177.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.25%
Current HPI
267.7798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.55%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+359.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $224,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-09-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-01-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-11-28 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-10-30 Listed $82,950 HARMLS
  • 2005-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-06-01 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2004-10-20 Listed $49,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-07-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+13.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,717 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…