4081/2 New York Ave · Creston, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 2 bed room home with a large family room, nice sized dinning room, 3/4 basement with indoor and out side entrance that could be used for a garage. Close to up town for an easy walk. Sellers are willing to give rebate for repairs or closing cost.
Key facts
- Alley entrance
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From Adams turn on New York Ave; go approximately 2 blocks, house is on the right
- Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $840
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 garage space (concrete parking surface)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 40 x 135 (0.12 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Basement present; Window air conditioning units; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($943 rent vs $78k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 5.0% in Creston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#76 in IA, #1,607 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
- Creston Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #195 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $536 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.59%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,359
- List price
- $77,500
- Delta
- -20.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 N Sycamore St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+3%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $125 | 76 |
| 510 Wyoming Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (-4%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $130 | 75 |
| 408 S Elm St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (-8%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $80 | 71 |
| 303 W Mills St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 997 (+7%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $60 | 65 |
| 905 W Montgomery St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+10%) | 2mo | $181,500 | $178 | 65 |
| 304 N Birch St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-5%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $23 | 59 |
| 901 W Adair St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-7%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $35 | 59 |
| 500 Levy St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 4mo | $78,000 | $81 | 56 |
| 1206 W Adair St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $245 | 52 |
| 405 S Vine St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 826 (-11%) | 3mo | $86,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 208 N Cherry St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 989 (+7%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $51 | 50 |
| 606 N Elm St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+8%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $115 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $808
- Equity at exit
- $11,556
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $17,955
- Equity at exit
- $6,701
Cash invested: $21,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50801
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $943 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$406
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$97 /mo · $1,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$198
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,375
- Closing costs
- $2,325
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 250-char remark
-
2026-06-18price $77,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $80,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-06$80,000 Active 305-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,341
- − Property taxes
- −$1,162
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$906
- − Management
- −$906
- − Depreciation
- −$2,255
- Taxable income
- $1,363
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$327
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,189/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, but has potential for a moderate renovation to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and tear
- Major siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Cluttered yard with debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and value
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard would enhance curb appeal and attract tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · Signs of wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| siding · Weathered and peeling | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Cluttered yard with debris | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard would enhance curb appeal and attract tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Creston Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908310
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,292
- Composite
- 55.29/100
- National rank
- #1263
- State rank
- #195 of 289 in IA
Livability — Creston
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #1607
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Creston, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,027
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,536 people
- By 2030
- 12,561 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 12,583 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 12,543 · +0.1%
- By 2075
- 12,816 · +2.2%
- By 2100
- 12,754 · +1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.2) · D 31.2% · R 67.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.9pp toward R · 2008: 3.7pp · 2024: -36.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.2 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: D+3.9 2008: D+3.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.71%
- Current HPI
- 217.2057
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $77,500 IAR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $80,000 IAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…