4081/2 New York Ave · Creston, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +7.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cozy 2 bed room home with a large family room, nice sized dinning room, 3/4 basement with indoor and out side entrance that could be used for a garage. Close to up town for an easy walk. Sellers are willing to give rebate for repairs or closing cost.
Key facts
- Alley entrance
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($866 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.0% in Creston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#76 in IA, #1,607 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
- Creston Community School District (town): math 63% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #195 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Creston Elementary School (math 60% / reading 49%, grade C, #462 of 616 statewide, top 79%, 410 students, 55% FRL); Creston Middle School (math 65% / reading 74%, grade A, #113 of 246 statewide, top 49%, 291 students, 60% FRL); Creston High School (math 63% / reading 78%, grade B+, #140 of 336 statewide, top 43%, 532 students, 46% FRL).
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 185 days — a 12% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 185 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.11%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $116,921
- List price
- $72,000
- Delta
- -38.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 W Mills St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+1%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $101 | 75 |
| 408 S Elm St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (-8%) | 7mo | $68,000 | $80 | 68 |
| 409 N Oak St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 914 (-2%) | 4mo | $19,500 | $21 | 67 |
| 303 W Mills St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 997 (+7%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $60 | 62 |
| 505 N Pine St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (+1%) | 1mo | $146,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 304 N Birch St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-5%) | 6mo | $20,000 | $23 | 55 |
| 901 W Adair St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-7%) | 7mo | $30,000 | $35 | 55 |
| 307 N Pine St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (+12%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $63 | 52 |
| 1206 W Adair St | 0.61mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 960 (+3%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $245 | 48 |
| 208 N Cherry St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 989 (+7%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $51 | 46 |
| 204 N Bureau St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+12%) | 3mo | $77,500 | $75 | 45 |
| 606 N Elm St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,004 (+8%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $115 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $234
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $15,565
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 11 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 4.4 mo (23%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $115,000 ($130/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 128 d
- This list price
- 36% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -3.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 50801
- Home prices YoY
- -5.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $866 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $236 | -5% $212 | +0% $187 | +5% $162 | +10% $137 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $118 | -5% $152 | +0% $187 | +5% $221 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $223 | -0.5pp $205 | base $187 | +0.5pp $168 | +1.0pp $149 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425 W New York Ave Apt 5 Creston, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $775 | $1.17 | 38d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 100 S Peterson St Creston, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 319 | $1,515 | $4.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.34mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Directions: From Adams turn on New York Ave; go approximately 2 blocks, house is on the right
- Financial info
- Annual property tax approximately $840
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached or attached garage with 1 garage space (concrete parking surface)
- Utilities
- Public sewer
- Home design
- Single-family residenceResidential property
- Construction
- Metal siding
- Exterior features
- Lot approximately 40 x 135 (0.12 acre)
Interior
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Interior features
- Basement presentWindow air conditioning unitsForced air heating
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $72,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $72,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $72,000 Active 183 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $72,000 Active 182 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $72,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $72,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $72,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $72,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $72,000 Active 176 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $72,000 Active 175 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $72,000 Active 174 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $72,000 Active 173 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $72,000 Active 172 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $72,000 Active 171 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $72,000 Active 170 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $72,000 Active 169 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $72,000 Active 168 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $72,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $72,000 Active 166 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $72,000 Active 165 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $72,000 Active 164 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $72,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $72,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $72,000 Active 161 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $72,000 Active 160 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $72,000 Active 159 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $72,000 Active 158 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $72,000 Active 157 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $72,000 Active 156 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $72,000 Active 155 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $72,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $72,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-10-06pricedays on market $72,000 Active 152 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $77,500 Active 151 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $77,500 Active 150 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $77,500 Active 149 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $77,500 Active 148 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $77,500 Active 147 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $77,500 Active 146 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $77,500 Active 145 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $77,500 Active 144 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $77,500 Active 143 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $77,500 Active 142 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $77,500 Active 141 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $77,500 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $77,500 Active 139 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $77,500 Active 137 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $77,500 Active 136 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $77,500 Active 135 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $77,500 Active 134 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$831
- − Management
- −$831
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $1,163
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This property requires significant exterior repairs and maintenance, but has potential for a moderate renovation to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear and tear
- Major siding — Weathered and peeling
- Major landscaping — Cluttered yard with debris
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint would improve curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscaping — A well-maintained yard would enhance curb appeal and attract tenants ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Creston Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908310
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 69% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,292
- Composite
- 55.29/100
- National rank
- #1263
- State rank
- #195 of 289 in IA
Livability — Creston
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #76
- US rank
- #1607
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Creston, IA
- County
- Union · 12,536 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,027
- Household income
- $55,453
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,536 people
- By 2030
- 12,561 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 12,583 · +0.4%
- By 2050
- 12,543 · +0.1%
- By 2075
- 12,816 · +2.2%
- By 2100
- 12,754 · +1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.2) · D 31.2% · R 67.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.9pp toward R · 2008: 3.7pp · 2024: -36.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.2 2020: R+31.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: D+3.9 2008: D+3.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.71%
- Current HPI
- 217.2057
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-3.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Price Changed $77,500 IAR
- 2026-05-06 Listed $80,000 IAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…