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4830 Pimlico Rd
C- Composite 53.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

4830 Pimlico Rd · Baltimore, MD 21215
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 512 sqft · Townhouse public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1925 1,751 sqft lot $215/sqft · 144% above area Est $119k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!

Key facts

  • Built 1925
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Land assessed at $30,000; Improvements assessed at $100,000; Year built source: Assessor
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Community water; No septic system; Natural gas for heating, hot water, and cooling
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,350 (estimated)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space and concrete perimeter foundation; Other structures above and below grade
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; Property is in city limits (Baltimore City); Property manager present

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom on main level
  • Heating & cooling: Radiator heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement with poured concrete

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,350 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.17%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$118,639
List price
$110,000
Delta
-7.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-10,029
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-522
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21215

Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,245 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,740/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,077
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3016 Thorndale Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 700 $1,020 $1.46 4d 14 0.11mi
4910 Poe Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $990 $1.32 24d 1 0.33mi
4936 Lanier Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,370 $1.83 3d 5 0.41mi
3702 Hayward Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 640 $1,695 $2.65 24d 1 0.73mi
5447 Park Heights Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 663 $950 $1.43 16d 1 0.75mi
4037 Edgewood Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 726 $1,100 $1.52 43d 1 1.05mi
5902 Cross Country Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 720 $1,575 $2.19 24d 1 1.05mi
5902 Cross Country Blvd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 785 $1,699 $2.16 4d 6 1.05mi
2001 W Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1154 $2,690 $2.33 1d 31 1.07mi
3912 W Northern Pkwy Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 583 $1,250 $2.14 43d 2 1.12mi
4008 Hilton Rd Unit 1st Fl Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 43d 1 1.13mi
5801 Western Run Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,771 $2.12 2d 7 1.21mi
4411 Falls Bridge Dr Unit L Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 700 $1,395 $1.99 43d 1 1.31mi
4412 La Plata Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $1,534 $2.36 2d 12 1.32mi
1701 Mount Washington Ct Unit D Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 546 $1,300 $2.38 16d 1 1.32mi
6101 Park Heights Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 660 $1,200 $1.82 4d 1 1.39mi
6111 Berkeley Ave Unit C1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 430 $1,150 $2.67 24d 1 1.44mi
3600 Garrison Blvd Unit T2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 750 $1,149 $1.53 24d 1 1.47mi
3600 Garrison Blvd Apt A3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 600 $999 $1.67 3d 1 1.47mi
3600 Garrison Blvd Unit B3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 43d 1 1.47mi
2709 Hanson Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,495 $2.06 14d 7 1.49mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    status $110,000 Pending 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-05-08
    listed $110,000 Active 1037-char remark
  9. 2026-04-30
    historical
  10. 2026-03-02
    price $110,000
  11. 2026-02-06
    listed $120,000 Active
  12. 2026-02-02
    historical
  13. 2022-04-09
    price $1,225
  14. 2019-09-03
    soldstatus $89,500 Closed
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!

  15. 2019-08-05
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!

  16. 2019-07-15
    listed $89,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!

  17. 1991-12-23
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,740 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,740 · $228/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,944
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,740
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,196
− Management
−$1,196
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$99
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$24
After-tax cash flow
$1,617/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
52,229
Household income
$51,587
Rent vs Own
45.2% rent · 54.8% own
Severe rent burden
3644.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -318.58%
Current HPI
291.4926
Rent YoY
▲ 2.41%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+292.9% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-09 Price Changed $1,225 RENT.
  • 2019-09-03 Sold (MLS) $89,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-08-05 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-07-15 Listed $89,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1991-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+27.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,740 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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