4830 Pimlico Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!
Key facts
- Built 1925
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Land assessed at $30,000; Improvements assessed at $100,000; Year built source: Assessor
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Community water; No septic system; Natural gas for heating, hot water, and cooling
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,350 (estimated)
- Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space and concrete perimeter foundation; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually; Property is in city limits (Baltimore City); Property manager present
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Radiator heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning (natural gas)
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Unfinished basement with poured concrete
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $90k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.17%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,639
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -7.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,029
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-522
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21215
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,245 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,740/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3016 Thorndale Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,020 | $1.46 | 4d | 14 | 0.11mi |
| 4910 Poe Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $990 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4936 Lanier Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,370 | $1.83 | 3d | 5 | 0.41mi |
| 3702 Hayward Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,695 | $2.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5447 Park Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $950 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4037 Edgewood Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5902 Cross Country Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $1,575 | $2.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5902 Cross Country Blvd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $1,699 | $2.16 | 4d | 6 | 1.05mi |
| 2001 W Cold Spring Ln Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1154 | $2,690 | $2.33 | 1d | 31 | 1.07mi |
| 3912 W Northern Pkwy Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $1,250 | $2.14 | 43d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 4008 Hilton Rd Unit 1st Fl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,295 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 5801 Western Run Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $1,771 | $2.12 | 2d | 7 | 1.21mi |
| 4411 Falls Bridge Dr Unit L Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4412 La Plata Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,534 | $2.36 | 2d | 12 | 1.32mi |
| 1701 Mount Washington Ct Unit D Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 546 | $1,300 | $2.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6101 Park Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 6111 Berkeley Ave Unit C1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $1,150 | $2.67 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3600 Garrison Blvd Unit T2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,149 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3600 Garrison Blvd Apt A3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $999 | $1.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3600 Garrison Blvd Unit B3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2709 Hanson Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,495 | $2.06 | 14d | 7 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-08status $110,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$110,000 Active 1037-char remark
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2026-04-30historical
-
2026-03-02price $110,000
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2026-02-06$120,000 Active
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2026-02-02historical
-
2022-04-09price $1,225
-
2019-09-03soldstatus $89,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!
-
2019-08-05status Pending
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!
-
2019-07-15$89,500 Active
Show marketing remark (256 chars)
AFFORDABLE RENOVATION ON QUIET BLOCK - PRICED TO SELL! -This house is brand new inside, featuring: new kitchen, updated bath, fresh paint, new floors, new carpet, recessed lighting, small yard & much more!PRICED TO SELL. HURRY THIS ONE WILL NOT LAST!
-
1991-12-23soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,740 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,740 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,740
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,196
- − Management
- −$1,196
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$99
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$24
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,229
- Household income
- $51,587
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3644.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 17% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -318.58%
- Current HPI
- 291.4926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+292.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-02 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2022-04-09 Price Changed $1,225 RENT.
- 2019-09-03 Sold (MLS) $89,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-08-05 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-07-15 Listed $89,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1991-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+27.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,740 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…