9714 Donnelly Ave · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom ranch in nice, quiet neighborhood, Refinished Hardwood Floors throughout, New Kitchen and Bathroom, New Roof, Fresh Paint Inside and Out, Seller is still making finishing touches, For any questions contact the listing agent The seller and agent are related. The seller is a licensed agent in KS and MO.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Large backyard
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a flood plain
- HOA & community: No association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car) with garage facing front
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Attached single-family residence; Ranch style; Facing information not provided
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Basement with concrete construction; Estimated age: 51–75 years
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; City lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Ranch floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Hickman Mills C-1 (urban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #314 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.42%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8306 E 99th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 6mo | $119,950 | $100 | 87 |
| 8416 E 97th Ter | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,191 (-1%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $197 | 86 |
| 9744 Wallace Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (-4%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $200 | 84 |
| 7809 E 99th Ter | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-2%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $162 | 73 |
| 9407 Palmer Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,170 (-2%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $167 | 68 |
| 9625 Booth Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.5 | 1,299 (+8%) | 9mo | $209,900 | $162 | 65 |
| 7940 E 102nd St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-4%) | 5mo | $154,900 | $134 | 62 |
| 9214 Manchester Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (+2%) | 1mo | $182,488 | $148 | 62 |
| 9414 Lewis Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $135 | 61 |
| 8501 E 93rd St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 0mo | $227,900 | $175 | 60 |
| 9210 Marsh Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $192 | 52 |
| 9219 Lewis Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,073 (-11%) | 3mo | $164,900 | $154 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $4,967
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $58,726
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64134
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,029/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $420 | -5% $380 | +0% $340 | +5% $301 | +10% $261 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $279 | +0% $340 | +5% $401 | +10% $462 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $376 | base $340 | +0.5pp $304 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9727 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,706 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 9809 Wallace Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,500 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 9811 Marsh Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 8407 E 98th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,395 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 8407 E 98th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,395 | $1.48 | 17d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 820 E 93rd Ter Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,165 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9307 Stark Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,385 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9309 Farley Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 999 | $1,411 | $1.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 8713 E 92nd Pl Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,550 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8501 E 92nd St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1107 | $1,745 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 8506 E 91st Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1020 | $1,450 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 9214 Farley Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,686 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8300 E 104th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,450 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8300 E 104th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,400 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 8509 E 91st St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10408 Smalley Ct Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,599 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 10401 Richmond Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 8921 E 90th Ter Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1298 | $1,831 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 8001 E 89th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,545 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 7902 E 89th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1068 | $1,516 | $1.42 | 18d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 9444 Newton Ave Unit 9400A Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,155 | $1.15 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9444 Newton Ave Unit 9329C Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 954 | $1,155 | $1.21 | 18d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9444 Newton Ave Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 957 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 3d | 26 | 1.08mi |
| 9444 Newton Ave Unit 9446D Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,025 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8812 Manchester Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,586 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 8002 E 88th Pl Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $1,495 | $1.52 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10000 Bennington Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1032 | $1,550 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10607 Richmond Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,499 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10719 Bristol Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,456 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 8700 E 87th St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,481 | $1.44 | 18d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 9516 Raytown Rd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 17d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 8622 E 108th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 993 | $1,995 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 9909 Wheeling Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 17d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8600 Everett St Raytown, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 956 | $1,550 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 8620 E Utopia Dr Raytown, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $1,249 | $1.46 | 3d | 10 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $140,000 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$150,000 Active
-
2025-12-05historical
-
2025-07-15$550,000 Active
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2016-02-08soldstatus
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2016-02-05soldstatus Sold 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Clean 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom ranch in nice, quiet neighborhood, Refinished Hardwood Floors throughout, New Kitchen and Bathroom, New Roof, Fresh Paint Inside and Out, Seller is still making finishing touches, For any questions contact the listing agent The seller and agent are related. The seller is a licensed agent in KS and MO.
-
2016-01-22status Pending 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Clean 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom ranch in nice, quiet neighborhood, Refinished Hardwood Floors throughout, New Kitchen and Bathroom, New Roof, Fresh Paint Inside and Out, Seller is still making finishing touches, For any questions contact the listing agent The seller and agent are related. The seller is a licensed agent in KS and MO.
-
2016-01-15$49,950 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Clean 3 Bedroom 1 Bathroom ranch in nice, quiet neighborhood, Refinished Hardwood Floors throughout, New Kitchen and Bathroom, New Roof, Fresh Paint Inside and Out, Seller is still making finishing touches, For any questions contact the listing agent The seller and agent are related. The seller is a licensed agent in KS and MO.
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2014-05-28soldstatus
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1994-06-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,029 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,358 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$329/yr (+$27/mo · 32.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,029
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,481
- − Management
- −$1,481
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$457
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,627/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hickman Mills C-1
- NCES district ID
- 2914340
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,908
- Composite
- 11.2/100
- National rank
- #9725
- State rank
- #314 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $58,170
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 718.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -157.94%
- Current HPI
- 277.895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.73%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+200.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $150,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-05 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Listed $550,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-05 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-22 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-15 Listed $49,950 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-06-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,029 · -13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…