561 E M35 Hwy · Gwinn, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
Key facts
- Partial basement
- 173 feet of frontage
- 1.5 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#322 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Gwinn Area Community Schools (rural): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #439 of 540 in MI (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Marquette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marquette County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.21%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,418
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -10.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $2,876
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $23,846
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49841
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $986 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $443/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
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2026-06-19days on market $84,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 208 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 207 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 204 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 202 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 199 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-05-09price $84,900 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
-
2026-05-08price $84,900 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
-
2026-01-07price $95,000 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
-
2026-01-07price $95,000 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
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2025-11-13$114,900 Active 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
-
2025-11-13$114,900 Active 1064-char remark
Show marketing remark (1064 chars)
Set on approximately 1.5 acres with 173 feet of frontage along M-35, this Forsyth Township property offers an efficient home base in a highly convenient location just east of Gwinn. The main residence is a conventional 1 bedroom, 1 bath home with an easy-to-maintain footprint, partial basement (mechanical room only) and an attached 2-car heated garage, giving you comfortable living space plus room for vehicles, toys and a workshop without a lot of overhead. A secondary older single-wide mobile home with a conventional framed addition sits on the property as well – currently used as basic space, but it offers the next owner a chance to reimagine it as storage, hobby space, or a future project. The generous lot size give you elbow room and a more country feel while still being less than a mile from the M-553/M-35 intersection, Kwik Trip, and an easy drive to Marquette. If you’ve been looking for an economical home with garage, acreage, and some extra space to work with in an ideal, year-round accessible location, this one is worth a look.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $443 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $875 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$432/yr (+$36/mo · 97.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,835
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$443
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$947
- − Management
- −$947
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $1,848
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$444
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,696/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gwinn Area Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614690
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 19.98/100
- National rank
- #8670
- State rank
- #439 of 540 in MI
Livability — Gwinn
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #7930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,359
Population outlook (Marquette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,278 people
- By 2030
- 67,249 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 66,297 · -1.5%
- By 2050
- 65,241 · -3.0%
- By 2075
- 64,365 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 60,707 · -9.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marquette
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.7) · D 53.5% · R 44.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 8.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.7 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+14.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.41%
- Current HPI
- 214.0389
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-26.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $84,900 UPAR
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $95,000 UPAR
- 2025-11-13 Listed $114,900 UPAR
- 2025-11-13 Listed $114,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $443 · -50.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…