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1249 Cambell Way
C+ Composite 61.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,900

1249 Cambell Way · Mount Pocono, PA 18466
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,954 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2005 0.28 ac lot Est $305k · 18% under $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Set on a quiet, tree-lined street in Tobyhanna, this spacious two-story home offers a blend of character and potential. The exterior features light siding framed by mature greenery, giving the property a private, tucked-away feel. Inside, the layout opens with warm wood-look flooring that runs throughout the main level, connecting a bright living area with a fireplace to a generous kitchen and dining space. The kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, rich cabinetry, and a large center island that doubles as a gathering spot. Sliding glass doors lead to a screened porch and patio, perfect for enjoying the wooded surroundings. Upstairs, multiple bedrooms provide flexibility for family, g

Key facts

  • Wood look flooring
  • Bright living area
  • Tree lined street

Tags

TREE LINED STREETLIGHT SIDINGWOOD LOOK FLOORINGBRIGHT LIVING AREAFIREPLACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $155 (about $12.92/month); Association lists no additional amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family house; Residential property; Level, wooded lot; Paved road access; Subdivision: Pocono Farms East
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house (single family)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Fireplace in the family room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (0.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $249k (0.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $207k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $249,081 (0.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.10%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,824
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
141 Fergus Way 0.14mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,908 (-2%) 7mo $320,000 $168 79
1717 Gordon Ln 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,811 (-7%) 5mo $250,000 $138 69
328 Lamont Way 0.28mi 4/3.0 1,777 (-9%) 10mo $375,000 $211 62
108 Black Bear Ln 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,920 (-2%) 4mo $369,000 $192 59
431 Northampton Rd 0.42mi 4/1.5 1,744 (-11%) 1mo $265,000 $152 58
217 Coach Rd 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 2,081 (+6%) 6mo $240,000 $115 54
142 Dorchester Dr 0.59mi 4/2.5 2,200 (+13%) 4mo $344,000 $156 48
4161 Romeo Rd 0.74mi 4/2.0 2,100 (+8%) 6mo $215,000 $102 46
5193 Seneca Way Way 0.75mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,804 (-8%) 6mo $265,000 $147 42
106 Black Bear Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,112 (+8%) 8mo $280,000 $133 40
159 Seminole Trail Trl 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,211 (+13%) 9mo $359,900 $163 40
157 Seminole Trl 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,230 (+14%) 10mo $350,000 $157 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$33,297
Equity at exit
$103,426
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$113,259
Equity at exit
$152,761

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,491 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$359 /mo · $4,310/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$181

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,262
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
238 Dorset Rd Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.5 2164 $2,200 $1.02 43d 1 0.36mi
217 Coach Rd Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 2081 $2,200 $1.06 43d 1 0.38mi
5108 Seneca Way Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.5 2466 $3,200 $1.30 43d 1 0.96mi
2108 Cherry Dr Tobyhanna, PA 5.0 3.5 2416 $3,000 $1.24 43d 1 1.01mi
3222 Evergreen Cir Unit B Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,950 $1.50 44d 1 1.18mi
6385 Cherokee Trl Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 3.0 2028 $3,500 $1.73 43d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $249,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $249,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,310 · $359/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,310 · $359/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,890
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$4,310
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,391
− Management
−$2,391
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$1,877
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$450
After-tax cash flow
$2,621/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+20.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $249,900 PMAR
  • 2026-03-02 Pending PMAR
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $304,900 PMAR
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $319,900 PMAR
  • 2025-07-28 Price Changed $334,900 PMAR
  • 2025-07-03 Listed $349,900 PMAR
  • 2023-11-18 Price Changed $250,000 PMAR
  • 2023-09-08 Price Changed $275,999 PMAR
  • 2023-08-21 Listed $300,000 PMAR
  • 2023-08-15 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2023-05-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-22 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-18 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2023-05-11 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-09 Coming Soon BRIGHT MLS
  • 2023-05-09 Listed $300,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Listed $300,000 PMAR
  • 2005-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $207,411 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $4,310 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…