1249 Cambell Way · Mount Pocono, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Set on a quiet, tree-lined street in Tobyhanna, this spacious two-story home offers a blend of character and potential. The exterior features light siding framed by mature greenery, giving the property a private, tucked-away feel. Inside, the layout opens with warm wood-look flooring that runs throughout the main level, connecting a bright living area with a fireplace to a generous kitchen and dining space. The kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, rich cabinetry, and a large center island that doubles as a gathering spot. Sliding glass doors lead to a screened porch and patio, perfect for enjoying the wooded surroundings. Upstairs, multiple bedrooms provide flexibility for family, g
Key facts
- Wood look flooring
- Bright living area
- Tree lined street
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $155 (about $12.92/month); Association lists no additional amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family house; Residential property; Level, wooded lot; Paved road access; Subdivision: Pocono Farms East
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as a house (single family)
- Exterior features: Deck; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; High ceilings; Open floorplan; Fireplace in the family room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $181 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (0.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $249k (0.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 5.1% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $207k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.10%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,824
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 Fergus Way | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,908 (-2%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $168 | 79 |
| 1717 Gordon Ln | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,811 (-7%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $138 | 69 |
| 328 Lamont Way | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 | 1,777 (-9%) | 10mo | $375,000 | $211 | 62 |
| 108 Black Bear Ln | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (-2%) | 4mo | $369,000 | $192 | 59 |
| 431 Northampton Rd | 0.42mi | 4/1.5 | 1,744 (-11%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $152 | 58 |
| 217 Coach Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,081 (+6%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $115 | 54 |
| 142 Dorchester Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.5 | 2,200 (+13%) | 4mo | $344,000 | $156 | 48 |
| 4161 Romeo Rd | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,100 (+8%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 5193 Seneca Way Way | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,804 (-8%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $147 | 42 |
| 106 Black Bear Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,112 (+8%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $133 | 40 |
| 159 Seminole Trail Trl | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,211 (+13%) | 9mo | $359,900 | $163 | 40 |
| 157 Seminole Trl | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,230 (+14%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $157 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $33,297
- Equity at exit
- $103,426
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $113,259
- Equity at exit
- $152,761
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,491 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$359 /mo · $4,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$523
- Net cashflow
- $181
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 238 Dorset Rd Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2164 | $2,200 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 217 Coach Rd Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2081 | $2,200 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 5108 Seneca Way Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2466 | $3,200 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2108 Cherry Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2416 | $3,000 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3222 Evergreen Cir Unit B Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6385 Cherokee Trl Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2028 | $3,500 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $249,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,310 · $359/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,310 · $359/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,890
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$4,310
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,391
- − Management
- −$2,391
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$1,877
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$450
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,621/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Pocono
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #3166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+20.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $249,900 PMAR
- 2026-03-02 Pending — PMAR
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $304,900 PMAR
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $319,900 PMAR
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $334,900 PMAR
- 2025-07-03 Listed $349,900 PMAR
- 2023-11-18 Price Changed $250,000 PMAR
- 2023-09-08 Price Changed $275,999 PMAR
- 2023-08-21 Listed $300,000 PMAR
- 2023-08-15 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2023-05-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-22 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-18 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2023-05-11 Listed $300,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-09 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-05-09 Listed $300,000 GLVRMLS
- 2023-05-09 Listed $300,000 PMAR
- 2005-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $207,411 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $4,310 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…