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D+ Composite 47.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

2033 S Oldgate St · Sandusky, OH 44870
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,199 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 134 Days on market
Built 1963 8,124 sqft lot Est $170k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

"Turnkey Investment Opportunity with Long-Term Secure Lease!Don't miss this fantastic opportunity to acquire a reliable, income-producing property with a responsible, long-term tenant alreadyin place. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a secure lease throughJuly 31, 2027, offering instant rental income for the new owner. Thishome is set up for an investor or a future owner looking for a smooth, guaranteed transition. The residence offers 3 comfortable bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms (one full, one partial). Significantly expand your living space with the partially finishedbasement, which adds valuable usability and includes a cozy, invitingfireplace, perfect for relaxing. The property

Key facts

  • 8,124 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1963

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Meadowwood II subdivision; School district: Sandusky

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Garage door opener; Off-street paved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Home warranty included; Lot approximately 0.1865 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.4% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
  • Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $111k; list at $180k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.26%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,258
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2220 Fallen Timber Dr 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,170 (-2%) 0mo $145,000 $124 81
1996 E Oldgate Rd 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+4%) 8mo $259,900 $208 75
1828 Bauer Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+4%) 8mo $212,000 $170 71
2002 E Oldgate Rd 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+4%) 13mo $269,900 $216 70
2116 Aspen Run Rd 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-12%) 8mo $196,400 $187 66
1333 E Perkins Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,226 (+2%) 20mo $165,000 $135 64
2150 Aspen Run Rd 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-12%) 10mo $195,000 $186 63
1329 E Perkins Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,287 (+7%) 13mo $70,000 $54 61
1448 Dixon Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,158 (-3%) 5mo $165,000 $142 60
1475 Dixon Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,240 (+3%) 8mo $80,000 $65 56
2706 12th St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,364 (+14%) 12mo $177,000 $130 46
1465 Dixon Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,351 (+13%) 9mo $150,000 $111 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-15,097
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$4,912
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44870

Active inventory
209
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$371
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,489
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
122 Redwood Dr Sandusky, OH 2.0 2.0 1337 $1,978 $1.48 44d 8 0.40mi
1705 W Shoreway Dr Sandusky, OH 3.0 2.0 1512 $1,412 $0.93 44d 6 0.56mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $179,900 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    remarks 694-char remark
  3. 2026-06-07
    listed $179,900 Active 133 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,896 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,351 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$455/yr (+$38/mo · 24.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,224
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,896
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,698
− Management
−$1,698
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$67
After-tax cash flow
$2,717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sandusky City
NCES district ID
3904474
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$34,583
Composite
25.1/100
National rank
#7532
State rank
#583 of 656 in OH

Livability — Sandusky

Score
83/100
State rank
#63
US rank
#929

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sandusky, OH
County
Erie County · 39,883 people
City population
39,883
Metro
Sandusky, OH
Population (ZIP)
39,883
Household income
$62,082
Rent vs Own
39.1% rent · 60.9% own
Severe rent burden
1602.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
73,204 people
By 2030
71,341 · -2.5%
By 2040
66,771 · -8.8%
By 2050
62,512 · -14.6%
By 2075
56,154 · -23.3%
By 2100
49,045 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
2008→2024 swing
-28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.99%
Current HPI
209.6383
Rent YoY
Metro
Sandusky, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Relisted FAOR
  • 2026-05-07 Delisted FAOR
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted FAOR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,900 FAOR
  • 2026-04-06 Delisted FAOR
  • 2026-04-04 Relisted FAOR
  • 2026-03-04 Delisted FAOR
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted FAOR
  • 2026-02-01 Delisted FAOR
  • 2026-01-25 Relisted FAOR
  • 2025-12-26 Delisted FAOR
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $169,900 FAOR
  • 2003-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,896 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…