2033 S Oldgate St · Sandusky, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
"Turnkey Investment Opportunity with Long-Term Secure Lease!Don't miss this fantastic opportunity to acquire a reliable, income-producing property with a responsible, long-term tenant alreadyin place. Enjoy the peace of mind that comes with a secure lease throughJuly 31, 2027, offering instant rental income for the new owner. Thishome is set up for an investor or a future owner looking for a smooth, guaranteed transition. The residence offers 3 comfortable bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms (one full, one partial). Significantly expand your living space with the partially finishedbasement, which adds valuable usability and includes a cozy, invitingfireplace, perfect for relaxing. The property
Key facts
- 8,124 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Meadowwood II subdivision; School district: Sandusky
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Garage door opener; Off-street paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Home warranty included; Lot approximately 0.1865 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (bedrooms included in room count)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (1.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.4% in Sandusky — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#63 in OH, #929 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, employment F.
- Sandusky City (town): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #583 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 128 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $111k; list at $180k implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,258
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2220 Fallen Timber Dr | 0.17mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-2%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $124 | 81 |
| 1996 E Oldgate Rd | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+4%) | 8mo | $259,900 | $208 | 75 |
| 1828 Bauer Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+4%) | 8mo | $212,000 | $170 | 71 |
| 2002 E Oldgate Rd | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+4%) | 13mo | $269,900 | $216 | 70 |
| 2116 Aspen Run Rd | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 8mo | $196,400 | $187 | 66 |
| 1333 E Perkins Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,226 (+2%) | 20mo | $165,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 2150 Aspen Run Rd | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-12%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $186 | 63 |
| 1329 E Perkins Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,287 (+7%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $54 | 61 |
| 1448 Dixon Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (-3%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $142 | 60 |
| 1475 Dixon Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,240 (+3%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $65 | 56 |
| 2706 12th St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,364 (+14%) | 12mo | $177,000 | $130 | 46 |
| 1465 Dixon Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,351 (+13%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $111 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-15,097
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $4,912
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44870
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,769 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$371
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Redwood Dr Sandusky, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $1,978 | $1.48 | 44d | 8 | 0.40mi |
| 1705 W Shoreway Dr Sandusky, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1512 | $1,412 | $0.93 | 44d | 6 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 694-char remark
-
2026-06-07$179,900 Active 133 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,351 · $196/mo
- Expected delta
- +$455/yr (+$38/mo · 24.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,224
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,896
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,698
- − Management
- −$1,698
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$278
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$67
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,717/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sandusky City
- NCES district ID
- 3904474
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,583
- Composite
- 25.1/100
- National rank
- #7532
- State rank
- #583 of 656 in OH
Livability — Sandusky
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #929
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sandusky, OH
- County
- Erie County · 39,883 people
- City population
- 39,883
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,883
- Household income
- $62,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1602.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 73,204 people
- By 2030
- 71,341 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 66,771 · -8.8%
- By 2050
- 62,512 · -14.6%
- By 2075
- 56,154 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 49,045 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.5% · R 56.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.0pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.6 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+11.3 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.99%
- Current HPI
- 209.6383
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sandusky, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+62.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Relisted — FAOR
- 2026-05-07 Delisted — FAOR
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — FAOR
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $179,900 FAOR
- 2026-04-06 Delisted — FAOR
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — FAOR
- 2026-03-04 Delisted — FAOR
- 2026-03-03 Relisted — FAOR
- 2026-02-01 Delisted — FAOR
- 2026-01-25 Relisted — FAOR
- 2025-12-26 Delisted — FAOR
- 2025-08-25 Listed $169,900 FAOR
- 2003-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,896 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…