22-24 Bethel St · Hagerstown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
Key facts
- 6,068 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1908
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ruth Ann Monroe Primary (567 students, 80% FRL); Northern Middle (math 10% / reading 32%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 848 students, 68% FRL); North Hagerstown High (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D-, #114 of 222 statewide, top 52%, 1,438 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 39% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $51k; list at $150k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,800
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 East Ave | 0.23mi | 6/2.5 | 2,296 (-7%) | 13mo | $294,000 | $128 | 56 |
| 220 N Locust St | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,400 (-3%) | 23mo | $197,500 | $82 | 52 |
| 807 Mulberry Ave | 0.59mi | 6/2.0 | 2,816 (+14%) | 14mo | $238,000 | $85 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $8,309
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $54,975
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21740
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,921 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $585 | -5% $533 | +0% $481 | +5% $429 | +10% $377 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $329 | -5% $405 | +0% $481 | +5% $557 | +10% $633 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $557 | -0.5pp $519 | base $481 | +0.5pp $442 | +1.0pp $403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 836 W Washington St Hagerstown, MD | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,950 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2025-12-29status Pending
-
2025-12-03historical
-
2025-11-07$150,000 Active
-
2025-11-06historical $150,000
-
2017-12-02historical 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-11-30soldstatus $51,000 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-11-30soldstatus $51,000 Sold 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-09-18status Contract 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-09-06status Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-08-22status Contract 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-08-05price $54,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-07-06price $59,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-06-07$69,900 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
-
2017-06-07$54,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,844
- − Management
- −$1,844
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,598
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washingtion County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400660
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,784
- Composite
- 22.87/100
- National rank
- #8007
- State rank
- #13 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hagerstown
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #3170
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hagerstown, MD
- County
- Washington County · 98,861 people
- City population
- 64,792
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 64,792
- Household income
- $62,873
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2832.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 151,614 people
- By 2030
- 151,455 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 150,097 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 148,193 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 146,581 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 138,025 · -9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -248.38%
- Current HPI
- 264.8018
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.00%
- Metro
- Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+173.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-07 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-11-06 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-12-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-11-30 Sold (MLS) $51,000 MRIS
- 2017-11-30 Sold (MLS) $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-09-18 Pending — MRIS
- 2017-09-06 Relisted — MRIS
- 2017-08-22 Pending — MRIS
- 2017-08-05 Price Changed $54,900 MRIS
- 2017-07-06 Price Changed $59,900 MRIS
- 2017-06-07 Listed $69,900 MRIS
- 2017-06-07 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…