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22-24 Bethel St
B Composite 73.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

22-24 Bethel St · Hagerstown, MD 21740
6 bd · 0.0 ba · 2,480 sqft · SingleFamily · 27 Days on market
Built 1908 6,068 sqft lot Est $211k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

Key facts

  • 6,068 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1908

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.4% in Hagerstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#83 in MD, #3,170 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Washingtion County Public Schools (suburban): math 18% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #13 of 24 in MD (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ruth Ann Monroe Primary (567 students, 80% FRL); Northern Middle (math 10% / reading 32%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 848 students, 68% FRL); North Hagerstown High (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D-, #114 of 222 statewide, top 52%, 1,438 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 39% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 232 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $51k; list at $150k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.74%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71 East Ave 0.23mi 6/2.5 2,296 (-7%) 13mo $294,000 $128 56
220 N Locust St 0.22mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,400 (-3%) 23mo $197,500 $82 52
807 Mulberry Ave 0.59mi 6/2.0 2,816 (+14%) 14mo $238,000 $85 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$8,309
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
15.4%
Equity multiple
2.31×
Total profit
$54,975
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21740

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
383
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,921 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $585 -5% $533 +0% $481 +5% $429 +10% $377
Rent -10% $329 -5% $405 +0% $481 +5% $557 +10% $633
Rate -1.0pp $557 -0.5pp $519 base $481 +0.5pp $442 +1.0pp $403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
836 W Washington St Hagerstown, MD 5.0 1.5 1600 $1,950 $1.22 15d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2025-12-29
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-03
    historical
  3. 2025-11-07
    listed $150,000 Active
  4. 2025-11-06
    historical $150,000
  5. 2017-12-02
    historical 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  6. 2017-11-30
    soldstatus $51,000 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  7. 2017-11-30
    soldstatus $51,000 Sold 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  8. 2017-09-18
    status Contract 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  9. 2017-09-06
    status Active 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  10. 2017-08-22
    status Contract 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  11. 2017-08-05
    price $54,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  12. 2017-07-06
    price $59,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  13. 2017-06-07
    listed $69,900 Active 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

  14. 2017-06-07
    listed $54,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    Large home features 4 bed. , 3 bath, eat in kitchen with separate Dining room. Convenient in town location. with apartment over top of what use to be a duplex but is now a SFR

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,052
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,844
− Management
−$1,844
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$3,598
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$863
After-tax cash flow
$4,908/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washingtion County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400660
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$54,784
Composite
22.87/100
National rank
#8007
State rank
#13 of 24 in MD

Livability — Hagerstown

Score
77/100
State rank
#83
US rank
#3170

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hagerstown, MD
County
Washington County · 98,861 people
City population
64,792
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
64,792
Household income
$62,873
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
2832.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
151,614 people
By 2030
151,455 · -0.1%
By 2040
150,097 · -1.0%
By 2050
148,193 · -2.3%
By 2075
146,581 · -3.3%
By 2100
138,025 · -9.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 18% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.3% · R 60.4% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -23.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.0 2020: R+20.9 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -248.38%
Current HPI
264.8018
Rent YoY
▲ 4.00%
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.2% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-06 Coming Soon $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-12-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-11-30 Sold (MLS) $51,000 MRIS
  • 2017-11-30 Sold (MLS) $51,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-09-18 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-09-06 Relisted MRIS
  • 2017-08-22 Pending MRIS
  • 2017-08-05 Price Changed $54,900 MRIS
  • 2017-07-06 Price Changed $59,900 MRIS
  • 2017-06-07 Listed $69,900 MRIS
  • 2017-06-07 Listed $54,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…