205 Cassandra Ln · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in Aurora Park subdivision. Home features a living room with fireplace, large den with a ton of built ins, galley-style kitchen and a large backyard. Call for your showing today!
Key facts
- Galley-style kitchen
- Large backyard
- 9,583 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.64%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,803
- List price
- $179,900
- Delta
- -12.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 Mosser Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 2,085 (+7%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $86 | 74 |
| 144 Gordon Crocket Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (-11%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $113 | 70 |
| 100 Lynn Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,762 (-9%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $131 | 64 |
| 408 Mosser Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,702 (-12%) | 4mo | $229,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 120 Sparrowhawk St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (-6%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 307 Aristotle Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,761 (-9%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $125 | 60 |
| 204 Sparrowhawk St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,825 (-6%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $137 | 55 |
| 102 Whipple Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,655 (-15%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $126 | 54 |
| 100 Caesar Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 | 2,108 (+8%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $107 | 53 |
| 123 Sparrowhawk St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,735 (-11%) | 5mo | $259,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 106 Whitewater Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (-14%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $177 | 39 |
| 147 Heathwood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,675 (-14%) | 12mo | $293,000 | $175 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-4,277
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $18,770
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70508
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,024 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,606/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Clearwater Dr Broussard, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1838 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 200 Tennyson Dr Broussard, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1843 | $2,300 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 200 Tennyson Dr Broussard, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $2,495 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 126 Heathwood Dr Broussard, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1989 | $2,500 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 404 Sparrowhawk St Broussard, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 620 W Main St Broussard, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $1,600 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 304 Barataria Bay Pt Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1712 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 303 Barataria Bay Pt Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1556 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 104 Avalon St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1895 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $179,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $194,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $194,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $194,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $194,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $194,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $194,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $194,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $194,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $194,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $194,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $194,500 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in Aurora Park subdivision. Home features a living room with fireplace, large den with a ton of built ins, galley-style kitchen and a large backyard. Call for your showing today!
-
2026-03-31$199,900 Active 217-char remark
Show marketing remark (217 chars)
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located in Aurora Park subdivision. Home features a living room with fireplace, large den with a ton of built ins, galley-style kitchen and a large backyard. Call for your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,606 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,606 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,606
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,943
- − Management
- −$1,943
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $2,583
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,592
- Household income
- $86,005
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1860.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 13% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 20% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.28%
- Current HPI
- 143.6305
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-2.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $194,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $199,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+22.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,606 · +169.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…