906 Irvine Ave NW · Bemidji, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,609
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Convenient in-town location with easy access to Bemidji amenities. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, one on the main level and another in the finished basement Additional highlights include a detached 1-stall garage and two porches for season enjoyment. This property also has a current rental permit with the city.
Key facts
- Easy access
- In-town location
- Two porches
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 3.6% in Bemidji — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#252 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Bemidji Public School District (rural): math 42% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #173 of 301 in MN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 165 units permitted in Beltrami County in 2024 (81 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $647 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $94k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.66%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $22,148
- Equity at exit
- $13,957
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $72,026
- Equity at exit
- $8,094
Cash invested: $26,211 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56601
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 346
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$491
- Tax from tax record
- −$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $561
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $614 | -5% $587 | +0% $561 | +5% $534 | +10% $508 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $439 | -5% $500 | +0% $561 | +5% $621 | +10% $682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $608 | -0.5pp $584 | base $561 | +0.5pp $536 | +1.0pp $512 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,402
- Closing costs
- $2,808
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 48 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $93,609 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $96,309 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $96,309 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $96,309 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $96,309 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $96,309 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $96,309 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $96,309 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $96,309 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $96,309 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-01status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Convenient in-town location with easy access to Bemidji amenities. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, one on the main level and another in the finished basement Additional highlights include a detached 1-stall garage and two porches for season enjoyment. This property also has a current rental permit with the city.
-
2026-04-25historical 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Convenient in-town location with easy access to Bemidji amenities. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, one on the main level and another in the finished basement Additional highlights include a detached 1-stall garage and two porches for season enjoyment. This property also has a current rental permit with the city.
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-04-14$99,900 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Convenient in-town location with easy access to Bemidji amenities. This home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 full baths, one on the main level and another in the finished basement Additional highlights include a detached 1-stall garage and two porches for season enjoyment. This property also has a current rental permit with the city.
-
2026-03-27historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2025-11-18price $102,000
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2025-10-28price $108,000
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2025-10-21price $111,000
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2025-10-17price $116,000
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2025-10-10price $120,000
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2025-09-29price $125,000
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2025-09-23price $130,000
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2025-09-15price $138,000
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2025-09-12$180,000 Active
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2025-06-11historical $1,000
-
2025-05-22$1,000
-
2025-04-04historical $1,000
-
2025-02-21$1,000
-
2024-10-10historical $950
-
2024-10-02price $950
-
2024-09-06$1,000
-
2022-03-31price $900
-
2015-10-01soldstatus $45,000
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2015-09-29soldstatus $45,000
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2015-04-20$49,900
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2014-07-12historical
-
2013-07-11$49,900
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2013-07-09$49,900
-
2013-07-01historical
-
2012-04-17$54,900
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2012-04-17$54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,462 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,244
- − Property taxes
- −$1,462
- − Insurance
- −$468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,473
- − Management
- −$1,473
- − Depreciation
- −$2,723
- Taxable income
- $5,571
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,337
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,389/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bemidji Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2704440
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,735
- Composite
- 39.22/100
- National rank
- #4013
- State rank
- #173 of 301 in MN
Livability — Bemidji
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #5416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bemidji, MN
- County
- Beltrami County · 34,784 people
- City population
- 34,784
- Metro
- Bemidji, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,784
- Household income
- $72,262
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Beltrami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,437 people
- By 2030
- 46,736 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 46,804 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 46,299 · -0.3%
- By 2075
- 44,037 · -5.2%
- By 2100
- 38,567 · -16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Native American 8% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 19% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beltrami
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.3% · R 52.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.8pp toward R · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+9.8 2012: D+9.9 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.95%
- Current HPI
- 261.5734
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.02%
- Metro
- Bemidji, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+82.0% since first listed31 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $102,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $108,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $111,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $116,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-23 Price Changed $130,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Price Changed $138,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-12 Listed $180,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-11 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-05-22 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-04 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2025-02-21 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-10 Rental Removed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2024-10-02 Price Changed $950 BUILDIUM
- 2024-09-06 Listed for Rent $1,000 BUILDIUM
- 2022-03-31 Price Changed $900 BUILDIUM
- 2015-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-29 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-20 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-07-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-11 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-09 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-17 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-17 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,462 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…