17 High Rd · Forestville, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +8.6/15.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enclosed porch at the front entrance will welcome all your visitors or a spot for you to enjoy your rocking chairs. Living room is large and bright. A separate dining area provides space for all your entertaining needs. The kitchen is large and includes a laundry area (newer washer & dryer) + a full bath and an enclosed small porch for the side kitchen entrance. 4 bedrooms and a full bath are on the 2nd floor. The property has a large back and side yard. 2 car garage with remotes in the rear off the alley so no need to scrape your windshield in the winter!
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1880
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Not in a federal flood zone; Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: Detached rear-entry garage with two spaces; On-street parking available; Garage has an automatic opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Cable TV available; Hot water provided by coal
- Home design: Semi-detached house; Above-grade finished living area reported
- Construction: Brick, frame, and aluminum siding exterior; Stone and other foundation; Asphalt roof; Double-hung windows; Unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Gutter system; Sidewalks; Fully fenced yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the upper level (4 total listed rooms designated as bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on the main level and one on the upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Coal-fired heating; Baseboard hot water heating
- Interior features: Stove that can burn coal; Living room and dining room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $472 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#650 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Minersville Area SD (town): math 21% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #420 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.40%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $112,640
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- -2.43%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 High Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-2%) | 13mo | $110,000 | $67 | 77 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $16,608
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.34×
- Total profit
- $72,103
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17901
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $472
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $548 | -5% $510 | +0% $472 | +5% $434 | +10% $396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $410 | +0% $472 | +5% $533 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $527 | -0.5pp $500 | base $472 | +0.5pp $443 | +1.0pp $414 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 504 Laurel St Minersville, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-12status $109,900 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 365-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-02historical $109,900 333-char remark
-
2019-02-25soldstatus $39,000
-
2019-02-22soldstatus $39,000 Closed 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Enclosed porch at the front entrance will welcome all your visitors or a spot for you to enjoy your rocking chairs. Living room is large and bright. A separate dining area provides space for all your entertaining needs. The kitchen is large and includes a laundry area (newer washer & dryer) + a full bath and an enclosed small porch for the side kitchen entrance. 4 bedrooms and a full bath are on the 2nd floor. The property has a large back and side yard. 2 car garage with remotes in the rear off the alley so no need to scrape your windshield in the winter!
-
2019-01-29status Pending 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Enclosed porch at the front entrance will welcome all your visitors or a spot for you to enjoy your rocking chairs. Living room is large and bright. A separate dining area provides space for all your entertaining needs. The kitchen is large and includes a laundry area (newer washer & dryer) + a full bath and an enclosed small porch for the side kitchen entrance. 4 bedrooms and a full bath are on the 2nd floor. The property has a large back and side yard. 2 car garage with remotes in the rear off the alley so no need to scrape your windshield in the winter!
-
2018-12-11$45,000 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Enclosed porch at the front entrance will welcome all your visitors or a spot for you to enjoy your rocking chairs. Living room is large and bright. A separate dining area provides space for all your entertaining needs. The kitchen is large and includes a laundry area (newer washer & dryer) + a full bath and an enclosed small porch for the side kitchen entrance. 4 bedrooms and a full bath are on the 2nd floor. The property has a large back and side yard. 2 car garage with remotes in the rear off the alley so no need to scrape your windshield in the winter!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,496
- − Management
- −$1,496
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $4,159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$998
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minersville Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215510
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,865
- Composite
- 29.77/100
- National rank
- #6433
- State rank
- #420 of 539 in PA
Livability — Forestville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #6317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Schuylkill County · 22,371 people
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,371
- Household income
- $62,484
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 622.0
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 5% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.14%
- Current HPI
- 200.6516
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.70%
- Metro
- Pottsville, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+144.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Coming Soon $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2019-02-22 Sold (MLS) $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-29 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-11 Listed $45,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2026): $6,855 · +319.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…