35 East Ln · Burlington, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 6,996 sq ft lot
- 4 garage spots
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ownership is fee simple; Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with inside access for 4 cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Above-grade finished living area reported (Assessor)
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Structure listed as detached; Property condition reported as below average; Above-grade and below-grade structures noted; Year built reported by assessor
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Lot measures approximately 70 x 100
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level; Two full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Doors swing inward (accessibility feature); No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $422 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#89 in NJ, #2,359 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F.
- Willingboro Public School District (suburban): math 5% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #433 of 472 in NJ (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $250k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.24%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,558
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 E River Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (0%) | 4mo | $306,000 | $213 | 86 |
| 41 Eastgate Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (0%) | 2mo | $385,000 | $268 | 78 |
| 142 Eastbrook Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-8%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $261 | 72 |
| 534 Charleston Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (+0%) | 2mo | $407,000 | $282 | 69 |
| 86 E River Dr | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+9%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 42 Maplewick Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-4%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $253 | 62 |
| 77 Harrington Cir | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+9%) | 4mo | $345,000 | $220 | 59 |
| 30 Gallaway Ln | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,267 (-12%) | 2mo | $355,000 | $280 | 51 |
| 14 Mayapple Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+13%) | 0mo | $332,999 | $205 | 47 |
| 11 Guild Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (+7%) | 5mo | $355,865 | $231 | 44 |
| 22 Gaylord Cir | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,267 (-12%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $241 | 44 |
| 65 Barnwell Ln | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,624 (+13%) | 4mo | $257,000 | $158 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-13,404
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $23,766
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08046
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,037 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$563 /mo · $6,753/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$638
- Net cashflow
- $422
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Elridge Ln Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,650 | $1.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 10 Melville Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 89 Hampshire Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $3,400 | $2.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 48 Marboro Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $3,995 | $2.67 | 3d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 89 Oakcrest Ln Westampton, NJ | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1358 | $2,500 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4 Elliot Ln Westampton, NJ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,900 | $1.93 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 20 Mosshill Ln Unit 4BR Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 34 Hopkins Ln Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,200 | $1.89 | 1d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17 Bonnie Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,890 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 62 Sharpless Blvd Westampton, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1490 | $2,275 | $1.53 | 1d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 29 Hinsdale Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $3,750 | $2.39 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 61 Pennant Ln Willingboro, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,800 | $2.02 | 1d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 51 Peacock Ln Willingboro, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $2,550 | $1.86 | 1d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-13status $249,900 Pending 50 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $249,900 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-04-16$249,900 Active
-
1990-07-02soldstatus $60,000
-
1985-01-01soldstatus $60,000
-
1983-04-01soldstatus $51,000
-
1979-04-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,753 · $563/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,753 · $563/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$6,753
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,916
- − Management
- −$2,916
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $1,347
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,743/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Willingboro Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 3418000
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,064
- Composite
- 17.37/100
- National rank
- #9074
- State rank
- #433 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #2359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Burlington County · 323,710 people
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,981
- Household income
- $98,178
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 342.0
Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 453,425 people
- By 2030
- 452,359 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 445,033 · -1.9%
- By 2050
- 431,760 · -4.8%
- By 2075
- 406,277 · -10.4%
- By 2100
- 364,732 · -19.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 14% White 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 4% Romanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Burlington
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -273.52%
- Current HPI
- 348.3441
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
+524.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1990-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1985-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1983-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
- 1979-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $6,753 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…