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7596 Morel St
C Composite 58.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

7596 Morel St · New Orleans, LA 70128
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,218 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 111 Days on market
Built 1987 $114/sqft · 13% below area Est $154k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home featuring central A/C and desirable interior upgrades. The living room offers vaulted ceilings for an open feel and is wired for surround sound, as is the spacious primary bedroom. Kitchen includes granite countertops and ample cabinet storage. The primary suite features a walk-in closet for added convenience. It includes a large, fenced backyard great for outdoor enjoyment. Property is well-suited as a starter home or investment property.

Key facts

  • Interior upgrades
  • Central a/c
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

CENTRAL A/CINTERIOR UPGRADESVAULTED CEILINGSWIRED FOR SURROUND SOUNDGRANITE COUNTERTOPSAMPLE CABINET STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $139k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,490 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.89%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,260
List price
$139,000
Delta
-9.89%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7633 Stonewood St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,267 (+4%) 2mo $125,000 $99 83
7500 Avon Park Blvd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,238 (+2%) 15mo $80,000 $65 72
7663 Stonewood St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,375 (+13%) 7mo $90,000 $65 64
7631 Avon Park Blvd 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,041 (-14%) 2mo $85,000 $82 59
7562 Forum Blvd 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,380 (+13%) 1mo $98,000 $71 55
14737 Emory Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 10mo $145,000 $108 52
7575 Shorewood Blvd 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-11%) 14mo $59,900 $55 52
8016 W Little Woods Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+3%) 20mo $70,000 $56 50
7009 Pinebrook Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+15%) 11mo $169,900 $121 46
14516 Tilbury Rd 0.43mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,316 (+8%) 23mo $115,000 $87 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-10,448
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$6,492
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70128

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,441 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,152/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$303
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,202
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14031 Linden St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 23d 1 0.16mi
7501 Briarwood Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,850 $1.23 23d 1 0.30mi
14509 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,518 $1.32 23d 1 0.43mi
14530 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 3d 1 0.47mi
14530 Duane Rd New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 3d 1 0.47mi
14724 Emory Rd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 23d 1 0.47mi
7843 Sail St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,200 $0.80 23d 1 0.52mi
7849 Sail St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,200 $0.86 23d 1 0.52mi
7851 Sail St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,200 $0.86 23d 1 0.52mi
14900 Curran Rd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1221 $1,250 $1.02 23d 1 0.56mi
7808 Sun St New Orleans, LA 4.0 1.5 1500 $1,950 $1.30 23d 1 0.57mi
7825 Star St New Orleans, LA 2.0 1.0 982 $1,250 $1.27 23d 1 0.65mi
12345 I 10 Service Rd New Orleans, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 746 $1,125 $1.51 2d 200 1.03mi
11967 Curran Rd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,750 $1.59 3d 1 1.25mi
12151 I 10 Service Rd New Orleans, LA 1.0–2.0 1.0 770 $1,095 $1.42 2d 21 1.27mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 111 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 110 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 109 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 106 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 96 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 95 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 94 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 93 DOM
  15. 2026-02-27
    listed $139,000 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home featuring central A/C and desirable interior upgrades. The living room offers vaulted ceilings for an open feel and is wired for surround sound, as is the spacious primary bedroom. Kitchen includes granite countertops and ample cabinet storage. The primary suite features a walk-in closet for added convenience. It includes a large, fenced backyard great for outdoor enjoyment. Property is well-suited as a starter home or investment property.

  16. 2026-02-27
    listed $139,000 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath single-family home featuring central A/C and desirable interior upgrades. The living room offers vaulted ceilings for an open feel and is wired for surround sound, as is the spacious primary bedroom. Kitchen includes granite countertops and ample cabinet storage. The primary suite features a walk-in closet for added convenience. It includes a large, fenced backyard great for outdoor enjoyment. Property is well-suited as a starter home or investment property.

  17. 2014-11-26
    soldstatus $69,000
  18. 2014-11-25
    soldstatus $69,000
  19. 2014-09-04
    listed $79,500
  20. 2014-09-04
    listed $79,500
  21. 2013-03-26
    soldstatus $35,500
  22. 2012-10-19
    listed $41,000
  23. 2012-10-19
    listed $41,000
  24. 2005-04-08
    soldstatus $99,000
  25. 2004-11-23
    listed $102,000
  26. 2004-11-23
    listed $102,000
  27. 1987-07-02
    soldstatus $62,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,152 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,152 · $96/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,296
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$1,152
− Insurance
−$1,492
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,384
− Management
−$1,384
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$55
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13
After-tax cash flow
$2,259/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
City population
338,817
Population (ZIP)
22,973

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Asian 5% White 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Vietnamese 4% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.51%
Current HPI
247.7131
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+121.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $139,000 GSREIN
  • 2014-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-25 Sold (MLS) $69,000 GSREIN
  • 2014-09-04 Listed $79,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2014-09-04 Listed $79,500 GSREIN
  • 2013-03-26 Sold (MLS) $35,500 GSREIN
  • 2012-10-19 Listed $41,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2012-10-19 Listed $41,000 GSREIN
  • 2005-04-08 Sold (MLS) $99,000 GSREIN
  • 2004-11-23 Listed $102,000 GSREIN
  • 2004-11-23 Listed $102,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 1987-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $62,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,152 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…