109 Stenson St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 109 Stenson Street in Rochester! This well-maintained 3-bedroom home offers a flexible layout and excellent value for both owner-occupants and investors alike. Featuring a spacious eat-in kitchen, this home provides plenty of room for cooking, dining, and entertaining. The first-floor bedroom offers convenience and versatility—perfect for guests, a home office, or single-level living. Upstairs includes additional bedrooms along with a finished attic space, ideal for storage or bonus use (unheated), as well as a walk-in closet area providing great additional storage. Laundry hookups are located in the basement for added convenience. Outside, enjoy a generous yard with space
Key facts
- First-floor bedroom
- Generous yard
- Finished attic space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story property; Existing construction; Aluminum siding; Block foundation
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Barbecue; Rectangular residential lot (60 x 175)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Walk-in pantry; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 8607% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $94k; list at $165k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.82%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,893
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -7.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Stenson St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,046 (+4%) | 21mo | $153,600 | $147 | 70 |
| 998 Mount Read Blvd | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+6%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $207 | 55 |
| 1008 Glide St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,106 (+10%) | 1mo | $200,000 | $181 | 54 |
| 175 Curlew St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (+6%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $114 | 52 |
| 381 Mcnaughton St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-10%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $161 | 47 |
| 946 Glide St | 0.62mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 881 (-12%) | 9mo | $133,000 | $151 | 36 |
| 180 Rockview Ter | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-6%) | 16mo | $160,000 | $171 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-9,761
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $29,378
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14606
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,528 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $186
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $279 | -5% $232 | +0% $186 | +5% $139 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $65 | -5% $125 | +0% $186 | +5% $246 | +10% $306 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $269 | -0.5pp $228 | base $186 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $99 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 Dodge St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,250 | $1.68 | 44d | 6 | 1.01mi |
| 108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 25 Karnes St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 155 Canal Landing Blvd Rochester, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1174 | $2,050 | $1.75 | 3d | 5 | 1.28mi |
| 1370 Ridgeway Ave Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 265 Driving Park Ave Unit 31 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,250 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 254 Lexington Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1097 Dewey Ave Unit B Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 15d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 69 Angle St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 287 Electric Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1297 | $1,500 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$165,000 Active 966-char remark
-
2026-04-17historical $1,780
-
2026-02-24price $1,780
-
2026-02-20$1,795
-
2015-12-17historical
-
2015-12-07$74,900
-
2015-11-25soldstatus $94,000
-
2013-03-19soldstatus $19,000
-
2012-12-10$32,500
-
2012-05-22$39,000
-
1998-04-24soldstatus $48,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,049 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,919 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$870/yr (+$72/mo · 82.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,334
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,049
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,467
- − Management
- −$1,467
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$516
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$124
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,351/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,538
- Household income
- $55,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 986.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.59%
- Current HPI
- 287.6868
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.28%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-96.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed for Rent $1,895 APPFOLIO
- 2026-04-29 Listed $165,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-17 Rental Removed $1,780 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $1,780 APPFOLIO
- 2026-02-20 Listed for Rent $1,795 APPFOLIO
- 2015-12-17 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-12-07 Listed $74,900 UNYREIS
- 2015-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2013-03-19 Sold (MLS) $19,000 UNYREIS
- 2012-12-10 Listed $32,500 UNYREIS
- 2012-05-22 Listed $39,000 UNYREIS
- 1998-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $48,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,049 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…