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246 248 Orchard St Multi-family
C Composite 55.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

246 248 Orchard St · Plymouth, PA 18651
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,800 sqft · MultiFamily · 112 Days on market
Poor condition 0.80 ac lot $80/sqft · 24% above area Est $181k · 24% over ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm onlyProof of funds required24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerSold as-is

Key facts

  • Bonus apartment
  • Shared backyard
  • 0.8 acre lot

Tags

BONUS APARTMENTSHARED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $225k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $745 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 8.3% in Plymouth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,068 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Wyoming Valley West SD (suburban): math 18% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #445 of 539 in PA (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $204,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.27%
Cash-on-cash
14.19%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,045
List price
$225,000
Delta
24.28%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
635-637 Lee St 0.26mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,592 (-7%) 9mo $240,000 $93 59
69 Nottingham St 0.30mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,414 (-14%) 14mo $217,500 $90 46
210 212 Center Ave 0.50mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,600 (-7%) 12mo $135,000 $52 46
162-164 Vanloon St 0.29mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,400 (-14%) 14mo $210,000 $88 42
214 216 Davis St 0.64mi 4/4.0 (-1) 2,700 (-4%) 18mo $210,222 $78 40
59-61 Hillside Ave 0.53mi 6/2.0 (+1) 3,000 (+7%) 20mo $84,000 $28 38
166 Center Ave 0.53mi 4/16.0 (-1) 2,400 (-14%) 23mo $255,000 $106 12

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$11,019
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
2.12×
Total profit
$70,853
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18651

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,911 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$611
Net cashflow
$745

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,968
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 69%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 3 1 $1,455
1× unit 2 1 $1,456
Total (2 units) $2,911

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $225,000 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 96 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 95 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 94 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 93 DOM
  16. 2026-05-17
    price $225,000 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm onlyProof of funds required24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerSold as-is

  17. 2026-02-26
    listed $230,000 Active 181-char remark
    Show marketing remark (181 chars)

    Tenant occupied!Sat and Sun 12pm to 2pm onlyProof of funds required24-hour notice to schedule. Great investment property or a perfect starter home. Agent related to sellerSold as-is

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,932
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,375
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,795
− Management
−$2,795
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable income
$5,694
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,367
After-tax cash flow
$7,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This multi-family property requires extensive repairs and updates, including a new roof, exterior siding, windows, and HVAC system. Significant value can be added through these improvements, making it a great investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of wear and potential water damage.
  • Major exterior siding — Peeling and faded paint.
  • Major interior walls — Signs of water damage and wear.
  • Major windows — Old and likely in need of replacement or caulking.
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — Likely outdated and in need of updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both New roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and appeal to buyers and renters.
  • Both Exterior siding and paint — Updating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both New windows — New windows would improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
  • Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing the home's value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Signs of wear and potential water damage. Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Peeling and faded paint. Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Signs of water damage and wear. Major $15,000–50,000
windows · Old and likely in need of replacement or caulking. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · Likely outdated and in need of updates. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both New roof — A new roof would significantly increase the home's value and appeal to buyers and renters.
  • Both Exterior siding and paint — Updating the exterior would improve curb appeal and increase the home's value.
  • Both New windows — New windows would improve energy efficiency and increase the home's value.
  • Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system would improve comfort and energy efficiency, increasing the home's value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wyoming Valley West SD
NCES district ID
4225950
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$42,437
Composite
25.38/100
National rank
#7470
State rank
#445 of 539 in PA

Livability — Plymouth

Score
66/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#12056

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plymouth, PA
Population (ZIP)
8,672

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 19% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.78%
Current HPI
229.6791
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $225,000 LCAR
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $230,000 LCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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