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8641 Ashley Way
B Composite 70.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

8641 Ashley Way · Douglasville, GA 30134
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Townhouse public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1982 4,051 sqft lot $100/sqft · 11% below area Est $146k · 11% under ↓ 50% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Ashley Oaks! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome is perfectly positioned for consistent rental income in a high-demand Douglasville location. Featuring a low-maintenance exterior and functional, efficient layout, it's an ideal addition for both seasoned investors and those just getting started. Located just minutes from shopping, dining, and I-20, this community offers the convenience tenants are looking for-helping support long-term occupancy and steady returns. Bulk purchase opportunity available-this property is part of an 18-unit portfolio within Ashley Oaks, offering a rare chance to scale quickly in one community. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure your first investment, this is one you don't want to pass up.

Key facts

  • High demand location
  • Minutes from dining
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

LOW MAINTENANCE EXTERIORFUNCTIONAL EFFICIENT LAYOUTHIGH DEMAND LOCATIONMINUTES FROM SHOPPINGMINUTES FROM DINING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $129k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.5% in Douglasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#82 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime F, amenities F.
  • Douglas County (suburban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #92 of 174 in GA (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 293 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Douglas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,260 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.31%
Cash-on-cash
14.33%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$145,708
List price
$129,000
Delta
-11.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8691 Ashley Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+0%) 2mo $152,300 $117 94
8692 Ashley Way 0.10mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+0%) 7mo $56,000 $43 89
8694 Ashley Way 0.10mi 2/2.5 1,364 (+5%) 7mo $57,000 $42 78
8678 Ashley Way 0.07mi 2/2.5 1,110 (-14%) 0mo $135,000 $122 71
8676 Ashley Way 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,110 (-14%) 7mo $66,000 $59 67
8538 Westchester Dr 0.46mi 2/1.5 1,334 (+3%) 8mo $160,000 $120 65
8815 W Chase Dr 0.71mi 2/2.5 1,452 (+12%) 4mo $145,000 $100 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,747
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$18,240
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30134

Home prices YoY
-22.4%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
293
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,672 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,910/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,126
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6363 Melrose St Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,550 $1.63 43d 1 0.19mi
6765 W Strickland St Unit B Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 978 $1,295 $1.32 2d 1 0.60mi
6787 Strickland St Douglasville, GA 1.0 1.0 950 $625 $0.66 43d 1 0.62mi
8424 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 880 $1,187 $1.35 43d 1 0.80mi
9018 Stoneleigh Trce Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,600 $1.55 18d 1 0.90mi
8500 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0 947 $1,665 $1.76 3d 1 0.95mi
8040 Colquitt St Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1046 $1,295 $1.24 20d 1 1.00mi
7029 Branch Crossing Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1338 $1,200 $0.90 18d 1 1.09mi
2017 Roseleigh Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1508 $2,300 $1.53 5d 1 1.10mi
2019 Roseleigh Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1508 $2,300 $1.53 5d 1 1.10mi
8288 Chicago Ave Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,510 $1.44 2d 1 1.12mi
6297 Redcliff Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1223 $1,789 $1.46 16d 1 1.16mi
8242 Durelee Ln Douglasville, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1210 $1,395 $1.15 43d 1 1.20mi
4647 Big B Rd Douglasville, GA 3.0 1.5 1600 $1,570 $0.98 4d 1 1.21mi
6314 New Gate Dr Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1848 $1,980 $1.07 43d 1 1.28mi
7068 Littlebrook Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1809 $1,900 $1.05 5d 1 1.34mi
4839 Lehigh Dr Douglasville, GA 2.0 2.0 1300 $4,500 $3.46 43d 1 1.34mi
4140 Kingsbere Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,200 $1.40 2d 1 1.46mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 22d 1 1.49mi
7796 Mountain Creek Way Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,800 $0.99 16d 1 1.49mi
4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $1,950 $1.24 24d 1 1.50mi
4406 Ryan St Douglasville, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $2,000 $1.28 43d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-03-30
    listed $129,000 New 776-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Ashley Oaks! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome is perfectly positioned for consistent rental income in a high-demand Douglasville location. Featuring a low-maintenance exterior and functional, efficient layout, it’s an ideal addition for both seasoned investors and those just getting started. Located just minutes from shopping, dining, and I-20, this community offers the convenience tenants are looking for—helping support long-term occupancy and steady returns. Bulk purchase opportunity available—this property is part of an 18-unit portfolio within Ashley Oaks, offering a rare chance to scale quickly in one community. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure your first investment, this is one you don’t want to pass up.

  15. 2026-03-30
    listed $129,000 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Ashley Oaks! This 2-bedroom, 2-bath townhome is perfectly positioned for consistent rental income in a high-demand Douglasville location. Featuring a low-maintenance exterior and functional, efficient layout, it’s an ideal addition for both seasoned investors and those just getting started. Located just minutes from shopping, dining, and I-20, this community offers the convenience tenants are looking for—helping support long-term occupancy and steady returns. Bulk purchase opportunity available—this property is part of an 18-unit portfolio within Ashley Oaks, offering a rare chance to scale quickly in one community. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure your first investment, this is one you don’t want to pass up.

  16. 2026-03-17
    historical
  17. 2026-03-17
    historical
  18. 2026-02-10
    status Back On Market
  19. 2026-02-10
    status Active
  20. 2026-02-03
    historical Active Under Contract
  21. 2026-02-03
    historical Active Under Contract
  22. 2025-12-20
    price $130,860
  23. 2025-12-20
    price $130,860
  24. 2025-12-19
    listed $185,000 New
  25. 2025-12-19
    listed $185,000 Active
  26. 2021-07-27
    soldstatus $917,000
  27. 2011-12-01
    soldstatus $287,000
  28. 2011-12-01
    soldstatus $372,000
  29. 2011-07-21
    soldstatus $260,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,910 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,910 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,064
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,910
− Insurance
−$645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,605
− Management
−$1,605
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable income
$3,320
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$797
After-tax cash flow
$4,381/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas County
NCES district ID
1301860
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$55,335
Composite
25.84/100
National rank
#7353
State rank
#92 of 174 in GA

Livability — Douglasville

Score
71/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#6971

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Douglasville, GA
County
Douglas County · 141,416 people
City population
114,380
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
47,580
Household income
$76,574
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
1339.0

Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,022 people
By 2030
173,956 · +6.7%
By 2040
196,859 · +20.8%
By 2050
220,017 · +35.0%
By 2075
279,831 · +71.7%
By 2100
322,702 · +97.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Douglas

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.4) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
+29.6pp toward D · 2008: 1.8pp · 2024: 31.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.4 2020: D+25.1 2016: D+10.8 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.36%
Current HPI
243.9426
Rent YoY
▬ 0.03%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-50.4% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $129,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $129,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Relisted FMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Contingent FMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $130,860 FMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $130,860 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $185,000 FMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $185,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $917,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $372,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $287,000 Public Records
  • 2011-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,910 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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