1011 Maple St W · Fayetteville, TN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$52,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is. Cash preferred but will consider financed all offers.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 31 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 795 square feet (assessor)
Exterior
- Parking: No covered spaces; No designated parking total listed
- Utilities: Water: Other; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Existing construction
- Construction: Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 0.16 acres (approximately 52 x 145); Lot size calculated from plat
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Cooling present (type: Other)
- Interior features: No basement; Other flooring
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $53k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 2.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#204 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Fayetteville (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #114 of 139 in TN (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ralph Askins School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 555 students, 0% FRL); Fayetteville High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 383 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 173 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.33%
- DSCR
- 2.93
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $25,479
- Equity at exit
- $7,888
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.46×
- Total profit
- $66,009
- Equity at exit
- $4,574
Cash invested: $14,812 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37334
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$277
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $298/yr
- Insurance
- −$22
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $535
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,225
- Closing costs
- $1,587
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Walnut Ave N Fayetteville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,000 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 406 Hedgemont Ave Unit C Fayetteville, TN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1815 Wilson Pkwy Fayetteville, TN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $710 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 614 Moyers Ave Fayetteville, TN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,400 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending
-
2026-05-01price $52,900
-
2026-04-24price $54,900
-
2026-04-20price $64,900
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-04-14price $69,900
-
2026-04-10status Pending
-
2026-04-02$74,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $298 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $376 · $31/mo
- Expected delta
- +$78/yr (+$6/mo · 26.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,049
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,963
- − Property taxes
- −$298
- − Insurance
- −$264
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,044
- − Management
- −$1,044
- − Depreciation
- −$1,539
- Taxable income
- $5,897
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,002/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayetteville
- NCES district ID
- 4701200
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,291
- Composite
- 16.93/100
- National rank
- #9138
- State rank
- #114 of 139 in TN
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #204
- US rank
- #16029
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, TN
- City population
- 24,168
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,168
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,400 people
- By 2030
- 34,550 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 34,345 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 33,310 · -3.2%
- By 2075
- 30,199 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 24,960 · -27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.2% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+59.0 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.76%
- Current HPI
- 288.9104
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-29.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $52,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $54,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $64,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $69,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $74,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $298 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…