2403 Annapolis Rd · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR THE SAVVY INVESTOR LOOKING FOR THEIR NEXT TURN KEY OPPORTUNITY. This porch front rowhome has a main level with a living room, dining room, and spacious kitchen, upper level with 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath. Convenient to downtown Baltimore, 295, and 95. Sold As-Is. Buyer responsible for clearing any vacant property notice after settlement if one exists.
Key facts
- Built 1920
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ground rent of $66 payable annually; Ownership: Ground rent
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Estimated year built
- Construction: Brick construction; Other foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: In city limits (Baltimore City); No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Basement present (other type)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.98%
- DSCR
- 4.38
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2318 Sidney Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 2mo | $72,500 | $65 | 94 |
| 2316 Cedley St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (+2%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $122 | 84 |
| 2405 Westport St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+7%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $63 | 74 |
| 2113 Sidney Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 2mo | $72,500 | $58 | 66 |
| 2521 S Paca St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (+3%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $26 | 65 |
| 2630 Alaska St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-10%) | 7mo | $85,000 | $84 | 64 |
| 2625 Waterview Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+12%) | 6mo | $94,200 | $75 | 62 |
| 2619 Northshire Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-9%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 2439 Ridgely St | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,152 (+3%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 2628 Northshire Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-9%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $171 | 56 |
| 2639 Northshire Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-9%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 2839 Hinsdale Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,024 (-9%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $148 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 72.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $61,298
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 75.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.68×
- Total profit
- $130,652
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21230
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $846/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$453
- Net cashflow
- $1,239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,279 | -5% $1,259 | +0% $1,239 | +5% $1,219 | +10% $1,200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,069 | -5% $1,154 | +0% $1,239 | +5% $1,325 | +10% $1,410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,274 | -0.5pp $1,257 | base $1,239 | +0.5pp $1,221 | +1.0pp $1,203 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2056 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2454 Terra Firma Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,650 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2200 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,569 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 607 Cheraton Rd Brooklyn, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1931 Griffis Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,349 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3004 Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,395 | $1.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3017 Janice Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,995 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2745 Round Rd Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 756 | $1,800 | $2.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2600 W Patapsco Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 856 | $1,309 | $1.53 | 3d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 2868 Potee St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,599 | $2.22 | 3d | 22 | 1.08mi |
| 2500 Insulator Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 988 | $4,786 | $4.84 | 3d | 152 | 1.16mi |
| 1900 S Hanover St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $3,932 | $4.49 | 2d | 66 | 1.17mi |
| 111 W Heath St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1263 | $2,850 | $2.26 | 3d | 7 | 1.18mi |
| 1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1746 S Hanover St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,700 | $1.81 | 11d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1718 S Hanover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1296 | $2,700 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1839 S Charles St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1238 | $2,600 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1516 Clarkson St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,795 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1608 S Hanover St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1346 | $3,000 | $2.23 | 18d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1815 S Charles St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,100 | $1.74 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 511 Seagull Ave Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,550 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1601 S Hanover St Apt 1R Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1403 Race St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1008 | $2,200 | $2.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1942 Light St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $2,200 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1068 | $1,955 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 130 Reedbird Ave Brooklyn, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1108 Sterrett St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1631 S Charles St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1460 | $2,607 | $1.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 126 Burnett St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 984 | $2,200 | $2.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1703 Patapsco St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 4.5 | 960 | $3,000 | $3.12 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1232 | $2,999 | $2.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 8 E Randall St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1148 | $2,600 | $2.26 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1710 Marshall St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $2,500 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,950 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 49 E Heath St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 858 | $1,800 | $2.10 | 12d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1503 S Charles St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,375 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1303 James St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,350 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1312 S Hanover St Apt 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,200 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-02remarks 377-char remark
-
2026-06-02$69,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $846 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $846 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,905
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$846
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,072
- − Management
- −$2,072
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $14,616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,363/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,977
- Household income
- $91,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1463.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -311.43%
- Current HPI
- 284.338
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.00%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-86.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2020-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $528,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-02 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-07-30 Listed — MRIS
Property tax history
+10.1%/yrLatest (2025): $846 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…