Multi-family
44-46 Orchard St · Wilkes-Barre, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover an excellent opportunity with this spacious side-by-side double in Wilkes-Barre, perfect for both investors seeking steady income or owner-occupants. Each unit features 3 bedrooms & 1 full bathroom, plus walk-up attics on both sides, offering valuable extra space or future expansion. Utilities are split for each unit making management straight forward whether you plan to rent both sides
Key facts
- 3,042 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,768/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1632% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.07%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,275
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44-46 Orchard St | 0.00mi | 6/2.0 | 2,025 (0%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $67 | 100 |
| 283 Academy St | 0.23mi | 6/2.0 | 2,276 (+12%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $110 | 68 |
| 93 97 Sambourne St | 0.29mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,914 (-6%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $91 | 61 |
| 26-28 Barney St | 0.30mi | 6/2.0 | 1,870 (-8%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $75 | 58 |
| 174 Academy St | 0.17mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,160 (+7%) | 23mo | $190,000 | $88 | 57 |
| 131-133 Grove St | 0.61mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,240 (+11%) | 1mo | $263,000 | $117 | 44 |
| 16-18 Griffith Ln | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-9%) | 18mo | $189,900 | $103 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $39,076
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.05×
- Total profit
- $158,071
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18702
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,768 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$581
- Net cashflow
- $909
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,037 | -5% $973 | +0% $909 | +5% $845 | +10% $781 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $690 | -5% $800 | +0% $909 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $1,128 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,002 | -0.5pp $956 | base $909 | +0.5pp $861 | +1.0pp $812 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,768 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,384 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,384 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,768 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533 S Franklin St Wilkes Barre, PA | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2810 | $3,000 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 381 S River St Wilkes-Barre, PA | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1908 | $2,400 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 279 Hazle St Wilkes Barre, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 249 Parrish St Wilkes Barre, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2214 | $2,000 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-26$184,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,216
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$2,774
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,657
- − Management
- −$2,657
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable income
- $8,467
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilkes-Barre Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226300
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,420
- Composite
- 21.22/100
- National rank
- #8409
- State rank
- #469 of 539 in PA
Livability — Wilkes-Barre
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilkes-Barre, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- City population
- 73,981
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,970
- Household income
- $56,378
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1632.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.99%
- Current HPI
- 216.9373
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.84%
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-03-26 Listed $184,900 LCAR
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $270 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…