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44-46 Orchard St Multi-family
B- Composite 68.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

44-46 Orchard St · Wilkes-Barre, PA 18702
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,025 sqft · MultiFamily · 6 Days on market
Built 1951 3,042 sqft lot Est $184k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover an excellent opportunity with this spacious side-by-side double in Wilkes-Barre, perfect for both investors seeking steady income or owner-occupants. Each unit features 3 bedrooms & 1 full bathroom, plus walk-up attics on both sides, offering valuable extra space or future expansion. Utilities are split for each unit making management straight forward whether you plan to rent both sides

Key facts

  • 3,042 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 6 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $909 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
  • Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.7% in Wilkes-Barre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wilkes-Barre Area SD (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #469 of 539 in PA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,768/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 1632% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.8% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
12.19%
Cash-on-cash
21.07%
DSCR
1.94
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$184,275
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44-46 Orchard St 0.00mi 6/2.0 2,025 (0%) 0mo $135,000 $67 100
283 Academy St 0.23mi 6/2.0 2,276 (+12%) 1mo $250,000 $110 68
93 97 Sambourne St 0.29mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,914 (-6%) 14mo $175,000 $91 61
26-28 Barney St 0.30mi 6/2.0 1,870 (-8%) 18mo $140,000 $75 58
174 Academy St 0.17mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,160 (+7%) 23mo $190,000 $88 57
131-133 Grove St 0.61mi 7/3.0 (+1) 2,240 (+11%) 1mo $263,000 $117 44
16-18 Griffith Ln 0.66mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (-9%) 18mo $189,900 $103 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$39,076
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
4.05×
Total profit
$158,071
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18702

Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,774/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$581
Net cashflow
$909

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,037 -5% $973 +0% $909 +5% $845 +10% $781
Rent -10% $690 -5% $800 +0% $909 +5% $1,018 +10% $1,128
Rate -1.0pp $1,002 -0.5pp $956 base $909 +0.5pp $861 +1.0pp $812

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,768

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
533 S Franklin St Wilkes Barre, PA 6.0 3.0 2810 $3,000 $1.07 44d 1 0.21mi
381 S River St Wilkes-Barre, PA 6.0 2.0 1908 $2,400 $1.26 44d 1 0.30mi
279 Hazle St Wilkes Barre, PA 5.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 14d 1 0.75mi
249 Parrish St Wilkes Barre, PA 5.0 2.0 2214 $2,000 $0.90 14d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-26
    listed $184,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,216
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$2,774
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,657
− Management
−$2,657
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$8,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,032
After-tax cash flow
$8,875/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkes-Barre Area SD
NCES district ID
4226300
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$37,420
Composite
21.22/100
National rank
#8409
State rank
#469 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkes-Barre

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkes-Barre, PA
County
Luzerne County · 118,885 people
City population
73,981
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
Population (ZIP)
41,970
Household income
$56,378
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1632.0

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 9%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.99%
Current HPI
216.9373
Rent YoY
▲ 6.84%
Metro
Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Pending LCAR
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $184,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $270 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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