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610 Ontario St Multi-family
B Composite 72.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$259,900

610 Ontario St · Buffalo, NY 14207
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,184 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1920 3,360 sqft lot $119/sqft · 29% below area Est $365k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Welcome to 610 Ontario Street, a fully updated multi-family property located in Buffalo’s Riverside neighborhood. This beautifully remodeled 3/3 double offers the perfect blend of modern updates and strong investment potential. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, thoughtfully updated with today’s buyer in mind. Recent renovations include new vinyl plank flooring throughout, fresh paint, updated fixtures, and improvements to major systems, providing a truly move-in-ready experience for both owners and tenants. The property has been extensively improved inside and out, including updated plumbing, electrical, and exterior enhancements, making it a solid, low-maintena

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Modern updates
  • Remodeled double

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYREMODELED DOUBLEMODERN UPDATESSTRONG INVESTMENT POTENTIALVINYL PLANK FLOORINGFRESH PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units in the building; Two units in the community
  • Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance and utilities (see remarks); Tenant pays all utilities

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage available (1 space); Additional parking: two or more spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story multi-family (2 units); Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Existing structure
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Each unit has 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating (natural gas); Stove heating option
  • Interior features: Full basement; Dining area combined with living room
  • Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $256k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,912/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $260k implies a 643% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $256,001 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.95%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$364,702
List price
$259,900
Delta
-28.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
74 Philadelphia St 0.19mi 6/2.0 2,160 (-1%) 5mo $170,000 $79 85
129 Philadelphia St 0.21mi 6/2.0 2,292 (+5%) 9mo $250,000 $109 74
311 Newfield St 0.44mi 6/2.0 2,129 (-2%) 6mo $215,000 $101 70
301 Roesch Ave 0.32mi 6/2.0 2,000 (-8%) 6mo $250,000 $125 66
102 Ullman St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,098 (-4%) 3mo $165,000 $79 61
908 Tonawanda St 0.72mi 6/2.0 2,332 (+7%) 2mo $145,000 $62 53
50 Argus St 0.40mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,009 (-8%) 12mo $230,000 $114 53
312 Victoria Blvd 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,302 (+5%) 1mo $320,000 $139 52
101 Baxter St 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,000 (-8%) 5mo $140,000 $70 52
395 Ontario St 0.42mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,908 (-13%) 8mo $270,000 $142 48
68 Baxter St 0.64mi 6/2.0 2,430 (+11%) 5mo $165,000 $68 47
27 Baxter St 0.61mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,028 (-7%) 11mo $215,000 $106 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$23,156
Equity at exit
$38,752
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$154,081
Equity at exit
$22,471

Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14207

Home prices YoY
-18.9%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
14.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $528/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$612
Net cashflow
$785

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,918
Max offer price $259,900
Occupancy floor 68%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,912

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,975
Closing costs
$7,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending 1285-char remark
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $259,900 Active 1285-char remark
  3. 2020-02-19
    historical
  4. 2019-12-18
    price $94,900
  5. 2019-10-23
    price $99,900
  6. 2019-06-14
    status Active
  7. 2019-06-05
    status Pending Sale
  8. 2019-06-02
    listed $129,000 Active
  9. 2016-01-01
    historical
  10. 2015-10-25
    price $75,000
  11. 2015-10-14
    price $79,900
  12. 2015-09-24
    price $89,900
  13. 2015-09-03
    listed $99,900 Active
  14. 2014-08-27
    soldstatus $35,000
  15. 1997-12-09
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$528 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,460 · $205/mo
Expected delta
+$1,932/yr (+$161/mo · 365.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,944
− Mortgage interest
−$14,558
− Property taxes
−$528
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,796
− Management
−$2,796
− Depreciation
−$7,561
Taxable income
$5,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,297
After-tax cash flow
$8,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
26,327
Household income
$39,753
Rent vs Own
65.0% rent · 35.0% own
Severe rent burden
2177.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.42%
Current HPI
233.0902
Rent YoY
▲ 8.19%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+939.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $259,900 WNYREIS
  • 2020-02-19 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2019-12-18 Price Changed $94,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-10-23 Price Changed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2019-06-14 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2019-06-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2019-06-02 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2016-01-01 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2015-10-25 Price Changed $75,000 WNYREIS
  • 2015-10-14 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-09-24 Price Changed $89,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-09-03 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
  • 2014-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $528 · +49.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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