Multi-family
610 Ontario St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Welcome to 610 Ontario Street, a fully updated multi-family property located in Buffalo’s Riverside neighborhood. This beautifully remodeled 3/3 double offers the perfect blend of modern updates and strong investment potential. Each unit features 3 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, thoughtfully updated with today’s buyer in mind. Recent renovations include new vinyl plank flooring throughout, fresh paint, updated fixtures, and improvements to major systems, providing a truly move-in-ready experience for both owners and tenants. The property has been extensively improved inside and out, including updated plumbing, electrical, and exterior enhancements, making it a solid, low-maintena
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Modern updates
- Remodeled double
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Two total units in the building; Two units in the community
- Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance and utilities (see remarks); Tenant pays all utilities
Exterior
- Parking: Garage available (1 space); Additional parking: two or more spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story multi-family (2 units); Residential 2-unit zoning; Resale property
- Construction: Frame construction; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Each unit has 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom (2 full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating (natural gas); Stove heating option
- Interior features: Full basement; Dining area combined with living room
- Laundry & utility: Separate gas meters for each unit; Separate electric meters for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $785 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Recommended offer: $256k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,912/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 2177% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $260k implies a 643% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.95%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $364,702
- List price
- $259,900
- Delta
- -28.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Philadelphia St | 0.19mi | 6/2.0 | 2,160 (-1%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $79 | 85 |
| 129 Philadelphia St | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,292 (+5%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $109 | 74 |
| 311 Newfield St | 0.44mi | 6/2.0 | 2,129 (-2%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $101 | 70 |
| 301 Roesch Ave | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 | 2,000 (-8%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 102 Ullman St | 0.53mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,098 (-4%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $79 | 61 |
| 908 Tonawanda St | 0.72mi | 6/2.0 | 2,332 (+7%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $62 | 53 |
| 50 Argus St | 0.40mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,009 (-8%) | 12mo | $230,000 | $114 | 53 |
| 312 Victoria Blvd | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,302 (+5%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 101 Baxter St | 0.64mi | 6/2.0 | 2,000 (-8%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $70 | 52 |
| 395 Ontario St | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,908 (-13%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $142 | 48 |
| 68 Baxter St | 0.64mi | 6/2.0 | 2,430 (+11%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $68 | 47 |
| 27 Baxter St | 0.61mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,028 (-7%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $106 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $23,156
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.12×
- Total profit
- $154,081
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14207
- Home prices YoY
- -18.9%
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,912 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$44 /mo · $528/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$612
- Net cashflow
- $785
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,912 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,456 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,456 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,912 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1285-char remark
-
2026-04-24$259,900 Active 1285-char remark
-
2020-02-19historical
-
2019-12-18price $94,900
-
2019-10-23price $99,900
-
2019-06-14status Active
-
2019-06-05status Pending Sale
-
2019-06-02$129,000 Active
-
2016-01-01historical
-
2015-10-25price $75,000
-
2015-10-14price $79,900
-
2015-09-24price $89,900
-
2015-09-03$99,900 Active
-
2014-08-27soldstatus $35,000
-
1997-12-09soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $528 · $44/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,460 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,932/yr (+$161/mo · 365.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,944
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$528
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,796
- − Management
- −$2,796
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $5,406
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,297
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,327
- Household income
- $39,753
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2177.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.74)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 40% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 16% Asian 15% Two or more races 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 18% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Arab 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.42%
- Current HPI
- 233.0902
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.19%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+939.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $259,900 WNYREIS
- 2020-02-19 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2019-12-18 Price Changed $94,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-10-23 Price Changed $99,900 WNYREIS
- 2019-06-14 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2019-06-05 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2019-06-02 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-01-01 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2015-10-25 Price Changed $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-10-14 Price Changed $79,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-09-24 Price Changed $89,900 WNYREIS
- 2015-09-03 Listed $99,900 WNYREIS
- 2014-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1997-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $528 · +49.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…