21911 SE 107th Pl #15 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this spacious Manufactured Home in a welcoming 55+ community. Featuring 1,344 sq ft, this home has 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and an open-concept layout. This offers you comfort, functionality, and plenty of storage. All appliances are included, making it truly move-in ready. Take advantage of community amenities like the clubhouse and pool, perfect for relaxing or socializing. The big covered deck and carport offer opportunities for outside living. Affordable lot rent of $939 per month. Park approval is required, and financing resources are available to help make your move simple. Let us know how we can help make your move easy.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community amenities
- Carport
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $673 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.6% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.22%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $161,158
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -6.92%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21908 107th Ave SE #22 | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $80 | 82 |
| 21821 107th Pl SE #13 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $67,000 | $47 | 79 |
| 22065 106th Pl SE #75 | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,450 (+8%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $34 | 77 |
| 21916 107th Pl SE | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $161,200 | $112 | 76 |
| 21914 106th Pl SE #36 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $126 | 66 |
| 10921 SE 227TH Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $124 | 55 |
| 11143 SE 226th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,183 (-12%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $131 | 50 |
| 22620 SE 109th Pl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-14%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $156 | 43 |
| 22628 110th Ct SE | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 5mo | $165,000 | $143 | 42 |
| 22603 115th Pl SE | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 3mo | $470,000 | $306 | 40 |
| 22627 112th Ave SE | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 9mo | $459,000 | $299 | 37 |
| 11427 SE 226th St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 7mo | $390,000 | $339 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $19,730
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $77,293
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98031
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $673
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $776 | -5% $725 | +0% $673 | +5% $621 | +10% $569 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $502 | -5% $587 | +0% $673 | +5% $758 | +10% $844 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $748 | -0.5pp $711 | base $673 | +0.5pp $634 | +1.0pp $594 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21822 107th Pl SE #6 Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,525 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 11500 SE 221st Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1770 | $3,100 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10820 SE 211th Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 907 | $1,966 | $2.17 | 0d | 20 | 0.57mi |
| 11101 SE 208th St Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $2,026 | $2.09 | 0d | 18 | 0.58mi |
| 11211 SE 226th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1012 | $2,250 | $2.22 | 19d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 10530 SE 229th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 20803 110th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1361 | $2,845 | $2.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 20805 109th Ln SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,700 | $2.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 20506 103rd Ave SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $2,295 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 12012 SE 210th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1230 | $1,820 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 23613 112th Ave SE Apt J103 Kent, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 22328 88th Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1714 | $3,695 | $2.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 22804 90th Way S Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $1,794 | $1.97 | 0d | 19 | 1.15mi |
| 9915 SE 235th Pl Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,750 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 23721 108th Ave SE Kent, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 23817 108th Ave SE Kent, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,815 | $2.08 | 4d | 6 | 1.22mi |
| 10811 SE 239th Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $1,898 | $2.07 | 0d | 25 | 1.24mi |
| 21627 127th Pl SE Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,095 | $2.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 24028 110th Pl SE Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $2,214 | $2.11 | 0d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 9333 S 200th St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,450 | $2.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,077
- − Management
- −$2,077
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $6,044
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,451
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,622/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and improve curb appeal, but is otherwise in good condition and move-in ready.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn and dated appearance
- Moderate Kitchen countertops — Worn and dated appearance
- Minor Bathtub and fixtures — Functional but may need updating
Value-add opportunities
- Both Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping will improve curb appeal and potentially increase value.
- Both Painting — Touching up the paint will improve the home's appearance and value.
- Both New flooring — Replacing the carpet with a more modern and durable flooring option will improve both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn and dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Kitchen countertops · Worn and dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathtub and fixtures · Functional but may need updating | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Kitchen renovation — Updating the kitchen will improve both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhancing the landscaping will improve curb appeal and potentially increase value. ↑
- Both Painting — Touching up the paint will improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both New flooring — Replacing the carpet with a more modern and durable flooring option will improve both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,094
- Household income
- $105,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1151.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.77)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Asian 27% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 7% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -673.58%
- Current HPI
- 308.1747
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.53%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listed $150,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…