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309 W Ruth Ave
B+ Composite 78.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0

$30,000

309 W Ruth Ave · Flint, MI 48505
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1955 4,356 sqft lot Est $33k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 2 bedroom 1 bath home with full basement.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Lot in the Robinwood subdivision; Lot dimensions approximately 4,356 sq ft (0.1 acre); Cross street: South of Carpenter / North of Homes

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Basement present; Total of 2 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $526 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($941 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $802 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $29,550 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.14%
Cap rate
27.32%
Cash-on-cash
75.08%
DSCR
4.34
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$33,264
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 W Ruth Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,008 (0%) 0mo $27,000 $27 100
813 Chatham Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 942 (-6%) 1mo $33,700 $36 64
626 W Austin Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 (+1) 869 (-14%) 1mo $34,000 $39 59
402 W Gracelawn Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 864 (-14%) 8mo $4,669 $5 56
5722 Susan St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 989 (-2%) 8mo $33,000 $33 56
5909 Edwards Ave 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-7%) 10mo $20,600 $22 55
306 W Parkway Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 918 (-9%) 8mo $14,900 $16 55
6611 Sally Ct 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+11%) 2mo $21,420 $19 48
7005 Daryll St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,093 (+8%) 8mo $43,000 $39 44
329 W Pulaski Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 923 (-8%) 9mo $31,000 $34 41
1510 Juliah Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-14%) 11mo $39,969 $46 33
638 W Pulaski Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 870 (-14%) 9mo $13,000 $15 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
79.4%
Equity multiple
5.36×
Total profit
$36,595
Equity at exit
$12,942
10-year hold
IRR
79.1%
Equity multiple
11.01×
Total profit
$84,043
Equity at exit
$19,530

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$941 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $580/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$198
Net cashflow
$526

Break-even live

Break-even rent $276
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 39%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $534 +0% $526 +5% $517 +10% $509
Rent -10% $451 -5% $488 +0% $526 +5% $563 +10% $600
Rate -1.0pp $541 -0.5pp $533 base $526 +0.5pp $518 +1.0pp $510

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
514 W Alma Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $925 $1.03 14d 1 0.24mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 22d 1 0.33mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI 2.0 1.5 1159 $947 $0.82 14d 1 0.41mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 14d 1 0.42mi
246 E York Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $895 $1.12 14d 1 0.43mi
411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,072 $0.79 14d 1 0.74mi
5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 940 $1,000 $1.06 14d 1 0.94mi
5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1150 $881 $0.77 14d 6 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $30,000 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $30,000 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $30,000 Active 21 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-05-11
    listed $30,000 Active
  7. 2026-05-10
    listed $30,000 Active 46-char remark
    Show marketing remark (46 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom 1 bath home with full basement.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$580 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$580 · $48/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,298
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$580
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$904
− Management
−$904
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$6,207
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,490
After-tax cash flow
$4,817/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $580 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…