11638 Vista Park Dr · Spanish Springs, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.8/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$795,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!
Key facts
- Split floor plan
- Large island
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $795k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $758k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $609k (23.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $609k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Spanish Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#35 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Alyce Taylor Elementary (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #42 of 402 statewide, top 10%, 452 students, 27% FRL); Yvonne Shaw Middle School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #14 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 712 students, 20% FRL); Spanish Springs High School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #67 of 131 statewide, top 53%, 2,057 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($747k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.14%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $870,652
- List price
- $795,000
- Delta
- -8.69%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11760 Valley Crest Dr | 0.35mi | 4/3.0 | 2,762 (+5%) | 8mo | $754,000 | $273 | 67 |
| 2330 Hickory Dr | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 2,458 (-7%) | 2mo | $668,929 | $272 | 65 |
| 11636 Rustic View Ave | 0.14mi | 4/3.5 | 2,953 (+12%) | 8mo | $925,000 | $313 | 62 |
| 510 La Tray Dr Unit Magnolia 83 | 0.61mi | 4/3.0 | 2,729 (+4%) | 2mo | $725,000 | $266 | 62 |
| 433 Pah Rah Ridge Dr Unit Willows 110 | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,704 (+3%) | 4mo | $750,000 | $277 | 62 |
| 309 Coyote Xing | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,343 (-11%) | 2mo | $757,000 | $323 | 62 |
| 450 Hutchinson Dr Unit Willows 105 | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,709 (+3%) | 4mo | $771,990 | $285 | 61 |
| 260 Horizon Ridge Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,556 (-3%) | 8mo | $749,000 | $293 | 61 |
| 420 Pah Rah Ridge Dr | 0.50mi | 4/3.5 | 2,930 (+11%) | 3mo | $930,000 | $317 | 51 |
| 520 La Tray Dr Unit Magnolia 82 | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,389 (-9%) | 3mo | $640,000 | $268 | 48 |
| 11565 Vinegar Peak Dr Unit Willows 118 | 0.64mi | 4/3.5 | 2,933 (+11%) | 3mo | $795,000 | $271 | 45 |
| 2282 Cloud Berry Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,262 (-14%) | 7mo | $615,000 | $272 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-142,461
- Equity at exit
- $118,537
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-142,163
- Equity at exit
- $68,737
Cash invested: $222,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89441
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,089 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,169
- Tax from tax record
- −$481 /mo · $5,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$331
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,279
- Net cashflow
- $-211
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $239 | -5% $14 | +0% $-211 | +5% $-436 | +10% $-661 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-692 | -5% $-451 | +0% $-211 | +5% $30 | +10% $270 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $189 | -0.5pp $-9 | base $-211 | +0.5pp $-417 | +1.0pp $-627 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $198,750
- Closing costs
- $23,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 430 Calle de la Plata Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $7,900 | $3.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 325 Pah Rah Ridge Dr Sparks, NV | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3493 | $4,000 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11680 Campo Rico Ln Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $4,500 | $2.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 11680 Campo Rico Ln Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $4,500 | $2.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 640 Allerton Way Sparks, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $795,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $795,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $795,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $795,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $795,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $795,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $799,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $799,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $799,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $799,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $799,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $799,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $799,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $799,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $799,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $799,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!
-
2026-04-07historical Active Under Contract-Show 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!
-
2026-03-31$799,900 Active 1024-char remark
Show marketing remark (1024 chars)
Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!
-
2026-03-27historical
-
2026-03-25$799,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,770 · $481/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,770 · $481/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $73,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,532
- − Property taxes
- −$5,770
- − Insurance
- −$3,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,845
- − Management
- −$5,845
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$23,127
- Taxable loss
- −$16,509
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,962
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washoe County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200480
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,025
- Composite
- 32.44/100
- National rank
- #5721
- State rank
- #6 of 17 in NV
Livability — Spanish Springs
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #11102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Spanish Springs, NV
- City population
- 13,854
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,854
Population outlook (Washoe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 499,260 people
- By 2030
- 523,429 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 564,420 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 595,548 · +19.3%
- By 2075
- 652,375 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 661,518 · +32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washoe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.3% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.0 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+1.2 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.99%
- Current HPI
- 330.2277
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — NNRMLS
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — NNRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $799,900 NNRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — NNRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $799,900 NNRMLS
Property tax history
+50.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,770 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…