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11638 Vista Park Dr
D Composite 41.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$795,000

11638 Vista Park Dr · Spanish Springs, NV 89441
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,636 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 2020 0.33 ac lot $302/sqft · 9% below area Est $871k · 9% under $40/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!

Key facts

  • Split floor plan
  • Large island
  • Granite countertops

Tags

SPLIT FLOOR PLANFROSTED GLASS BARN DOORSLARGE ISLANDPORCELAIN FARMHOUSE SINKGRANITE COUNTERTOPSELECTROLUX APPLIANCE PACKAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $795k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $758k (4.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $609k (23.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $609k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Spanish Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#35 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Washoe County School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #6 of 17 in NV (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Alyce Taylor Elementary (math 54% / reading 55%, grade C, #42 of 402 statewide, top 10%, 452 students, 27% FRL); Yvonne Shaw Middle School (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #14 of 109 statewide, top 13%, 712 students, 20% FRL); Spanish Springs High School (math 18% / reading 41%, grade F, #67 of 131 statewide, top 53%, 2,057 students, 17% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,085 units permitted in Washoe County in 2024 (1,634 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washoe County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($747k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $608,878 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.14%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$870,652
List price
$795,000
Delta
-8.69%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11760 Valley Crest Dr 0.35mi 4/3.0 2,762 (+5%) 8mo $754,000 $273 67
2330 Hickory Dr 0.43mi 4/3.0 2,458 (-7%) 2mo $668,929 $272 65
11636 Rustic View Ave 0.14mi 4/3.5 2,953 (+12%) 8mo $925,000 $313 62
510 La Tray Dr Unit Magnolia 83 0.61mi 4/3.0 2,729 (+4%) 2mo $725,000 $266 62
433 Pah Rah Ridge Dr Unit Willows 110 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,704 (+3%) 4mo $750,000 $277 62
309 Coyote Xing 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,343 (-11%) 2mo $757,000 $323 62
450 Hutchinson Dr Unit Willows 105 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,709 (+3%) 4mo $771,990 $285 61
260 Horizon Ridge Rd 0.47mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,556 (-3%) 8mo $749,000 $293 61
420 Pah Rah Ridge Dr 0.50mi 4/3.5 2,930 (+11%) 3mo $930,000 $317 51
520 La Tray Dr Unit Magnolia 82 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,389 (-9%) 3mo $640,000 $268 48
11565 Vinegar Peak Dr Unit Willows 118 0.64mi 4/3.5 2,933 (+11%) 3mo $795,000 $271 45
2282 Cloud Berry Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,262 (-14%) 7mo $615,000 $272 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.2%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-142,461
Equity at exit
$118,537
10-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-142,163
Equity at exit
$68,737

Cash invested: $222,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
71 Landlord-Friendly
State Nevada
71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; Clark County (Vegas) had pandemic backlogs; generally landlord-friendly but courts slow.

ZIP-level market 89441

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,089 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,169
Tax from tax record
$481 /mo · $5,770/yr
Insurance
$331
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,279
Net cashflow
$-211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $6,356
Max offer price $757,729
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $239 -5% $14 +0% $-211 +5% $-436 +10% $-661
Rent -10% $-692 -5% $-451 +0% $-211 +5% $30 +10% $270
Rate -1.0pp $189 -0.5pp $-9 base $-211 +0.5pp $-417 +1.0pp $-627

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$198,750
Closing costs
$23,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
430 Calle de la Plata Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 2056 $7,900 $3.84 25d 1 0.37mi
325 Pah Rah Ridge Dr Sparks, NV 5.0 4.0 3493 $4,000 $1.15 15d 1 0.58mi
11680 Campo Rico Ln Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 1902 $4,500 $2.37 45d 1 1.19mi
11680 Campo Rico Ln Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 1902 $4,500 $2.37 25d 1 1.19mi
640 Allerton Way Sparks, NV 3.0 2.0 2200 $3,200 $1.45 15d 1 1.26mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$40 · $480/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $795,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $795,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $795,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $795,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $795,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    pricedays on market $795,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $799,900 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $799,900 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $799,900 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $799,900 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $799,900 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $799,900 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $799,900 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $799,900 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $799,900 Active 61 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $799,900 Active 60 DOM
  17. 2026-05-07
    status Active 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!

  18. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract-Show 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!

  19. 2026-03-31
    listed $799,900 Active 1024-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1024 chars)

    Back on the market due to the buyer's circumstances. Home & pest inspections were completed. Welcome home to your peaceful sanctuary in the Shadow Ridge community, built by Ryder Homes. The home has a comfortable split floor plan with four bedrooms, 2.5 baths and a den space with frosted glass barn doors. Kitchen has a large island with a porcelain farmhouse sink, granite countertops and an Electrolux appliance package. Primary suite has sliding door access to the backyard patio. The ensuite has a garden tub, a large vanity with double sinks and a frameless glass shower. The convenient & spacious laundry/mud room has ample cabinet storage with a sink. The serenity continues into the private backyard with two paver patio areas and annual producing fruit trees (cherry, apple & nectarine). Continuing outside you have a finished garage with insulated garage door, RV parking with 12' steel gate and an additional man gate. Home is pre-wired for surround sound and priced to move. Come see it today!

  20. 2026-03-27
    historical
  21. 2026-03-25
    listed $799,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,770 · $481/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,770 · $481/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$73,065
− Mortgage interest
−$44,532
− Property taxes
−$5,770
− Insurance
−$3,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,845
− Management
−$5,845
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$23,127
Taxable loss
−$16,509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,962
After-tax cash flow
$1,430/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washoe County School District
NCES district ID
3200480
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,025
Composite
32.44/100
National rank
#5721
State rank
#6 of 17 in NV

Livability — Spanish Springs

Score
67/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#11102

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spanish Springs, NV
City population
13,854
Population (ZIP)
13,854

Population outlook (Washoe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
499,260 people
By 2030
523,429 · +4.8%
By 2040
564,420 · +13.1%
By 2050
595,548 · +19.3%
By 2075
652,375 · +30.7%
By 2100
661,518 · +32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Native American 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washoe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.3% · R 48.3% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 1.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.0 2020: D+4.5 2016: D+1.2 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.99%
Current HPI
330.2277
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.08%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted NNRMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent NNRMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $799,900 NNRMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed NNRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $799,900 NNRMLS

Property tax history

+50.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,770 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…