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2605 E 4th Ave
C Composite 56.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$148,500

2605 E 4th Ave · Hibbing, MN 55746
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · Other public records · 53 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $121/sqft · 64% above area Est $115k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this charming, move-in-ready residence featuring a versatile layout. A large, welcoming front entryway/mud room leads you into the main level, which boasts a spacious living room, a formal dining room - perfect for entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen, a full bathroom, and the flexibility of one or two bedrooms. Brand new appliances include a microwave, electric range, and refrigerator. Upstairs, you'll discover a peaceful retreat. This level features two bedrooms, a very large full bathroom, and bountiful storage options. Make sure you take time to peak at the storage in the East bedroom. The soft, plush carpeting on the stairs and in all upper-level bedrooms is in great

Key facts

  • Formal dining room
  • Full bathroom
  • Spacious living room

Tags

FRONT ENTRYWAY MUD ROOMSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING ROOMWELL APPOINTED KITCHENFULL BATHROOMBOUNTIFUL STORAGE OPTIONS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Metal siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Washer
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $148k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
  • Recommended offer: $144k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.4% in Hibbing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in MN, #2,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hibbing Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #150 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 8635% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $148k implies a 395% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,045 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.89%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,029
List price
$148,500
Delta
29.10%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,176
Equity at exit
$22,142
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$35,697
Equity at exit
$12,840

Cash invested: $41,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55746

Home prices YoY
-18.7%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,776 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$779
Tax from tax record
$151 /mo · $1,810/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,255
Max offer price $148,500
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,125
Closing costs
$4,455
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1627 E 29th St Hibbing, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,535 $1.28 44d 1 1.03mi
100 Southview Dr Hibbing, MN 1.0–3.0 1.0 833 $1,072 $1.29 13d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $148,500 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $148,500 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $148,500 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $148,500 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $148,500 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $148,500 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $148,500 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $149,500 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,500 Active 43 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,500 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,500 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $149,500 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,500 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 36 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 35 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,500 Active 34 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $149,500 Active 33 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    price $149,500 838-char remark
  19. 2026-05-08
    listed $1,700
  20. 2026-04-23
    listed $155,000 Active 838-char remark
  21. 2023-10-01
    historical $1,200
  22. 2023-09-19
    listed $1,200
  23. 1999-10-07
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,810 · $151/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,810 · $151/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,317
− Mortgage interest
−$8,318
− Property taxes
−$1,810
− Insurance
−$742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,705
− Management
−$1,705
− Depreciation
−$4,320
Taxable income
$2,715
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$652
After-tax cash flow
$4,291/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hibbing Public School District
NCES district ID
2713980
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$41,666
Composite
40.7/100
National rank
#3667
State rank
#150 of 301 in MN

Livability — Hibbing

Score
79/100
State rank
#103
US rank
#2307

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hibbing, MN
County
Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
City population
16,730
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,730
Household income
$55,823
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
623.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.85%
Current HPI
220.7198
Rent YoY
Metro
Duluth, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+395.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $148,500 RAOR
  • 2026-05-24 Rental Removed $1,700 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted RAOR
  • 2026-05-20 Delisted RAOR
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $149,500 RAOR
  • 2026-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,700 BUILDIUM
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $155,000 RAOR
  • 2023-10-01 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 2023-09-19 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
  • 1999-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,810 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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