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19405 Pierson St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,000

19405 Pierson St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,011 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1948 5,663 sqft lot Est $107k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * * CALLING ALL INVESTORS! This newly remodeled 3-bedroom, 2-bath brick bungalow is the perfect addition to your investment portfolio or an ideal starter home. With over $30K in upgrades, this turnkey property is move-in ready and maintenance-free. Recent 2022 updates include a new roof, furnace, hot water tank, refinished hardwood floors, updated bathrooms with new vanities, new blinds, and a fully renovated kitchen with new countertops. Investors will appreciate that the current owner/management company has a pre-qualified tenant ready to move in, though the home is being marketed to both investors and first-time buyers. With current rent comps in the area averaging $1,250/month, and yearly expenses - including taxes and insurance - totaling less than $3,000, this property offers a strong ROI and a healthy cap rate. Located in the quiet and well-maintained Martins Subdivision, this is an opportunity you don't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • New furnace
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW FURNACEHOT WATER TANKREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED BATHROOMSNEW VANITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick construction
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot about 0.13 acres (43 x 132)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $79,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$107,166) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 23 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $65k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
11.15%
Cash-on-cash
17.34%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,166
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19711 Chapel St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+0%) 1mo $120,000 $118 80
19734 Westbrook St 0.27mi 3/1.0 950 (-6%) 2mo $63,500 $67 76
19145 Fielding St 0.26mi 3/1.5 924 (-9%) 1mo $98,000 $106 71
21338 Pembroke Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 930 (-8%) 1mo $115,000 $124 69
20300 Chapel St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,043 (+3%) 1mo $122,500 $117 63
19212 Northrop St 0.73mi 3/1.0 981 (-3%) 2mo $65,000 $66 59
21700 Pembroke Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,089 (+8%) 3mo $155,000 $142 59
18924 Bentler St 0.51mi 3/1.0 920 (-9%) 3mo $74,900 $81 59
18925 Bentler St 0.52mi 3/2.0 937 (-7%) 1mo $79,900 $85 58
19971 Patton St 0.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 901 (-11%) 3mo $54,000 $60 55
18424 Fielding St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+9%) 3mo $40,000 $36 55
19749 Huntington Rd 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,093 (+8%) 0mo $169,999 $156 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$14,959
Equity at exit
$11,779
10-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
4.29×
Total profit
$72,873
Equity at exit
$6,830

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,809/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$320

Break-even live

Break-even rent $968
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $593 -5% $566 +0% $320 +5% $297 +10% $275
Rent -10% $211 -5% $265 +0% $320 +5% $374 +10% $428
Rate -1.0pp $359 -0.5pp $340 base $320 +0.5pp $299 +1.0pp $278

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 6d 1 0.27mi
19810 Blackstone St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1216 $1,395 $1.15 45d 1 0.28mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 18d 1 0.41mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 45d 1 0.45mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 6d 1 0.46mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 4d 1 0.55mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 16d 1 0.57mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 6d 1 0.64mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 18d 1 0.66mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 0.70mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 12d 1 0.71mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 45d 1 0.72mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 25d 1 0.73mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.75mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 25d 1 0.78mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 25d 1 0.79mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 16d 1 0.82mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 6d 1 0.83mi
17624 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,695 $1.35 45d 1 0.85mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 18d 1 0.87mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 18d 1 0.87mi
20555 Lahser Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 737 $975 $1.32 45d 2 0.87mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 25d 1 0.87mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 45d 1 0.89mi
18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 45d 1 0.92mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 45d 1 0.94mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,373 $1.80 13d 1 0.94mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 25d 1 0.94mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 18d 1 0.96mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 45d 1 1.00mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 45d 1 1.02mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 18d 1 1.03mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 18d 1 1.03mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 45d 1 1.08mi
47129 Wedgewood Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 45d 1 1.08mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 18d 1 1.11mi
17255 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 12d 1 1.11mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 25d 2 1.12mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 45d 2 1.12mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $79,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,809 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,809 · $317/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,468
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$3,809
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$2,906
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$697
After-tax cash flow
$3,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.1% since first listed
49 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-10-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-27 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-24 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-22 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-22 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-12-13 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-02 Sold (MLS) $8,000 REALCOMP
  • 2008-10-29 Listed $15,400 REALCOMP
  • 2006-10-06 Sold (MLS) $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-10-06 Sold (MLS) $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-14 Listed $84,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-14 Listed $84,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-07-11 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-15 Listed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-06-09 Listed $117,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-15 Listed $117,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-04-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-04-29 Listed $117,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-06 Listed $117,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-02-06 Listed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2001-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2001-01-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2000-12-29 Sold (MLS) $97,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-11-07 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-09-18 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP
  • 1997-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1997-01-20 Sold (MLS) $62,500 REALCOMP
  • 1996-10-12 Listed $62,500 REALCOMP
  • 1995-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,809 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…